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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Recently, three migration pacts have been signed by Australia that facilitate Indian migration, namely: The Australia-India Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (ECTA), signed by the former Morrison Coalition government. Australia-India Migration and Mobility Partnership Agreement, signed by the current Albanese Labor government. The Mechanism for Mutual Recognition of Qualifications, signed by the current Albanese Labor

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 07:53 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 06:56 Source

The two-month-long siege is a “clear and calculated effort to collectively punish over two million civilians and to make Gaza unliveable”.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 06:10 Source

The European Union, that grand and failing dream of technocrats, is dying. Its decline is not sudden or dramatic but a slow unraveling, a bureaucratic collapse in which every policy designed to sustain it only hastens its demise.

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 05:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 00:05 Source

On Tuesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released dwelling approvals data for March, which recorded an 8.8% monthly fall to 15,220 approvals. House approvals fell by 4.5% in March, while unit & apartment approvals fell by 15.1%. Annual approvals rose to 180,740, up 10% on the June 2024 low of 164,254. As illustrated below,

The post Australia’s housing target decimated again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 00:01 Source
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The Tally Room Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 23:03 Source

For tonight’s update, I’m going to first touch on the races I included in this morning’s post and how they have changed. Those are the seats that are conventional close races.

Then I will turn my focus to the seats where the two-candidate-preferred count has been recalibrated to a different pair of candidates. In these seats there has been some significant progress today towards resolving these seats.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 20:04 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 19:00 Source

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_oW5B0uh0n8Massive Escalation: Russia Announced that NATO Launched Preparations for Seizure of KALININGRAD

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 17:37 Source

Creating negotiating leverage? Trump and Bessent are delusional. Russia already knows that there is, “no daylight” between the US and Ukraine. Were it not for US actions to quash previous negotiations, to supply weapons, ammunition and intelligence, and to fund Ukraine’s government, this war would be over. If Trump thinks that this gives him leverage to pressure Putin to end the war, then it is just one more example of Trump’s detachment from reality. 

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 16:07 Source

AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225                    

The post Macro Afternoon: 6 May 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:39 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:36 Source

I spent most of the election weekend down in Sydney, finishing a book in my hotel room and giving a talk at that architecture conference.

It went very well, thank you.

Both the talk—and, of course, the election.

It had been a while since I’d spent much time in the centre of Sydney. When I go down, I usually stay out at Bondi—my old hood. But I hadn’t been in the city proper for any serious stretch of time since the light rail went into George Street, and I was really surprised by how much of a difference it’s made to the CBD.

Like, completely transformed it.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:36 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:33 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:17 Source

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 14:43 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 14:40 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 14:00 Source

I reported last week on the latest results from Realestate.co.nz, showing that the national average asking price of homes listed on the site declined for the second consecutive month in April to $851,746, down 3.8% from $884,995 in February. The decline in prices was attributed to a growing glut of homes listed for sale, which

The post New Zealand’s house price crash steepens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source

JKM LNG futures are still signalling gasmageddon for Australia later this year. Adjusted for an AUD at 70 cents, plus regasification costs, imported LNG will still be coming in at about $19Gj versus $12Gj today. The gas cartel will respond to LNG imports by restricting supply so that global prices become the marginal price setter.

The post A second chance for Jim Chalmers to prevent gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The ferrous complex is still struggling. Forgive some of the delayed pricing on the chart. SGX is sitting around $96. The latest CISA output data looks more like 2022 than 2024. Though I have to caution that this series has broken down versus official output somewhat this year. The challenges remain. Goldman. The Chinese government’s

The post Iron ore enters the danger zone appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 12:50 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The first term of the Albanese government saw net overseas migration to Australia surge to a record high. It also saw temporary visa numbers balloon nearly 500,000 higher than the pre-pandemic peak: Total international student enrolments also hit a record high of nearly 1.1 million at the end of 2024, nearly 250,000 higher than the

The post Indian students and migration agents celebrate Labor victory appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 12:28 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 12:00 Source

From Goldman: From a macro perspective, we leave our forecasts for Australia unchanged given the outcome was not a surprise and the ALP’spost-Budget policy announcements have been fairly modest (0.0-0.1% of GDP). We note most of the policies announced in the Budget on 25 March, including income tax cuts for households, have already been legislated.

The post Labor win immaterial for rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The following graphic from CoreLogic shows Australia’s housing affordability was the worst on record at the end of 2024. In particular, the dwelling value to income ratio was a record high 8.0 as of 31 December 2024, and the percentage of income required to service a median new mortgage was a record high 50.5%. A

The post Another ‘extend and pretend’ mortgage arrives in Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

NAB chief economist Sally Auld has predicted heavy interest rate cuts this year, beginning with a 0.50% cut at the 20 May meeting. “We expect the RBA to cut by 50bps in May, followed by 25bps in July, August, November and February”, Auld wrote in her May update. “With the current setting of monetary policy

The post Will the RBA rain rate cuts? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear on the rally nobody wanted. Now what? SPX is hitting some sort of short term trend line here. We moved above the 50 day, but are still slightly below the 200 day. The death cross is still in place, but as we pointed out a few weeks ago, last time we got

The post Now what for stocks? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 10:27 Source

Eighty-nine. That’s the magic number. It will take at least 89 cardinals to elect Pope Francis’ successor. [The author has returned to UCA News after a year away].

That’s the two-thirds supermajority of the 133 men who will enter the Sistine Chapel on 7 May for the largest conclave in history. It would have been even larger had two other cardinal-electors not been too ill to participate.

 

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