Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 13:30 Source

In most places, debate ultimately yields change. Not in Australia. Here we have fake debate and feasting vested interests. The on-again, off-again debate about negative gearing has been settled for now with Housing Minister Claire O’Neil ruling out any change, a day after Anthony Albanese poured cold water on implementing new tax changes before the

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The ferrous complex is doing the seasonal thing. MySteel output is very strong this week. But can it be believed? MySteel has diverged wildly from CISA and NBS in the last few months. CISA and NBS usually track each other closely, so I am looking for a very weak July this week in NBS data.

The post A steel mystery emerges appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on equity internals. A zero-sum doughnut “Getting a doughnut” in bonus is what all junior investment bankers fear. Somewhat common in 2002 and 2003 and very common in 2008. Probably very rare in today’s evergreen bull. Separate from bonuses, it was striking to us this Saturday morning when we looked at our

The post When will the AI bubble burst? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Over the last year in particular, the impact of international students on the nation’s rental market has sparked significant controversy. The debate has prompted a wide range of papers and reports on the issue, with the quality varying dramatically. In the July Reserve Bank bulletin, the denizens of Martin Place shared their perspective on the

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Government-funded jobs have artificially fueled Australia’s jobs boom over the past two years. As illustrated below by Alex Joiner from IFM Investors, around 80% of jobs created over the past two years have been in the non-market sector, which is reliant on government funding. The non-market sector generated around 658,000 jobs between Q1 2023 and

The post Australia’s job boom is over appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Sticky: No
THE BLOT REPORT Monday, August 11, 2025 - 11:25 Source

The first attempt to isolate a pancreatic extract by means of which the levels of blood glucose could be normalised in dogs was described by a Romanian researcher called Nicolae Paulescu1, but his experiments were interrupted by the First World War and were never acknowledged appropriately. However, after the war, in 1921, a young surgeon named Frederick Banting and his assistant Charles Best, from the University of Toronto, worked out how to remove insulin from a dog’s pancreas.

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Last week, Statistics New Zealand reported that the nation’s unemployment rate rose to 5.2% in Q2 2025, the highest rate since Q4 2016. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand’s underemployment rate also surged, suggesting significant surplus capacity in the labour market. The rise in New Zealand’s labour underutilisation rate comes

Sticky: No
Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, August 11, 2025 - 10:32 Source

When I first mapped out the latest (and last) return to the Axis of Time universe, I thought I could wrap it up neatly in three books. One tight trilogy, finishing in November this year. Job done.

Hmmm. Yeah, nah. That’s… not going to happen.

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 10:30 Source

In July last year, Stage Three tax cuts delivered the average household $2.200 per annum. These tax cuts have helped support a modest recovery in consumer spending. Perhaps the largest reason why the boost has been so modest, and is falling away fast, is that while the tax cut delivered an incremental gain in income,

The post Gas cartel devours tax and rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Sticky: No
MacroBusiness Monday, August 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Earlier this year, economist Chris Murphy noted that the historical effective average income tax rate in the first two decades of this century was 23%. Even with stage three income tax cuts worth around $23 billion per year, Murphy warned that bracket creep would lift the average tax rate by two percentage points to 25%

The post Australian workers face decades of pain appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Sticky: No
xkcd.com Monday, August 11, 2025 - 10:00 Source

 Contemporaneous documentation of the initial events is often sparse, and in fact people often get testy and uncooperative when we urge better documentation for the historical record.

Sticky: No

Pages