Monday 4:38pm – As everyone had called, the Liberal Party has lost their third seat in South Australia’s to Labor’s Charlotte Walker. That is a 4-2 split. It’s worth remembering that traditionally these 4-2 splits are rare. Prior to 2025, Labor had gained two 4-2 splits (with the Democrats the fourth “left” senator) in NSW in 1990 and 1998, two in Tasmania in 2007 and 2010, and one in Western Australia in 2022.
South Australia was the most certain for 2025, but 4-2 splits also remain possible in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia, with the possibility of a 4-1-1 split in Tasmania also possible.
We don’t have specific times for any of the other button pushes, although Northern Territory seems likely to be tomorrow, Tasmania and the ACT look close to being complete, and New South Wales is a long way off.
I’m going to use this live blog to post the final results, and if we know in advance I’ll flag when the button pushes are due here.