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Major bank rings recession alarm bells

March 1, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

Westpac chief economist, Luci Ellis, told The AFR that Australia’s economy may have contracted in the December quarter despite historically high net overseas migration. While Westpac expects that the economy grew by 0.2% in the three months to December, Ellis said that she “couldn’t rule out the initial [GDP growth] print being negative”. A negative

Why Aussie interest rates are going back to zero

March 1, 2024 - 10:00 -- Admin

Honestly, they’re like Daleks, these official economists: A surge in employment combined with scant investment by firms to improve output triggered a sharp drop in worker productivity, limiting prospects for income growth without fanning inflation, the Productivity Commission said in its annual report. Across the economy, productivity fell 3.7% in 2022-23, as output growth failed

Philippines hard man upsets Aussie China grovellers

March 1, 2024 - 09:40 -- Admin

Lol: Australia and the Philippines will deepen maritime co-operation, including security for civilian shipping and surveillance, as President Ferdinand Marcos jnr warns his country is on the front line of Chinese efforts that threaten regional peace. In a forthright address to federal parliament, Mr Marcos repeated his vow the Philippines would not surrender a square

ASIO drama queen won’t divulge name

March 1, 2024 - 09:20 -- Admin

I assume this pantomime serves the purpose of creating an atmosphere of fear among existing pollies: A former politician labelled a traitor by ASIO director-general Mike Burgess is “no longer a security concern”, the spy chief declared as he refused to identify the person and a raft of ex-MPs demanded their names be cleared. As

Macro Morning

March 1, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

The latest US core inflation print came in slightly lower than expected and combined with some dovish Fed comments gave Wall Street a leg up which should push the equity complex higher here in Asia to finish the trading week on a good note. The USD rose eventually amid some volatility around the print while

Iron ore downgraded

March 1, 2024 - 08:00 -- Admin

Rebar and SGX futures cannot catch a bid: Early next week is the “Two Sessions” in Beijing with markets expecting a 5%ish growth target. It will need to pack more punches than just that number to lift iron ore. Assuming a 2024 CPI and GDP deflator of a marginally improved -1%, 4% real growth with

Australian rental growth re-accelerates

March 1, 2024 - 00:05 -- Admin

CoreLogic reported that Australian rental growth re-accelerated in February, with the monthly rate of change rising to 0.9%, the highest reading since March last year. This re-acceleration also saw the rolling quarterly change in rents rise to 2.4%, the highest since May last year. As shown above, Perth leads rental growth across both houses and

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