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Articles from MacroBusiness

Renewable projects turn into giant financial sinkholes

June 16, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Anybody who believes that meeting Labor’s 82% Renewable Energy Target (RET) by 2030 is achievable or affordable is delusional. To achieve Labor’s fantastical target, most of Australia’s baseload coal generation—the backbone of the nation’s electricity grid—would need to be shut down and replaced with intermittent and weather-dependent wind and solar generation, backed up with battery

Chinese credit and economy slide

June 16, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

May Chinese credit was soft. The recent acceleration in total social financing stalled at 8.7% year-on-year stock growth. And don’t forget that a lot of this is debt swaps with local governments, so the real number is more like 8%. Other indicators are pretty soft as well. Power is tepid. Tourism remained tepid. Exports are

Iron ore market sickens

June 16, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

How long can steel fall and iron ore not? Coking coal is still sliding as well, which offers some explanation. Flat steel demand remains stagnant. Long steel is wrecked. Output is getting pulverised. One wonders if the mooted 50 mt in output cuts are taking effect. The steel market appears sick.

Israel and Iran same old, same old?

June 16, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Markets are half-panicked by the latest Middle East war. Oil Israel’s attacks on Iranian air defense systems and nuclear capabilities re-opens awide range of possible avenues via which oil supply could be disrupted. Importantly, it may also derail the process of US-Iran nuclear deal talks which were scheduled to continue in Oman on Sunday, although

Macro Morning

June 16, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Friday’s session was dominated by the Israeli-Iranian war with an initial flight to safety to USD that then faded, coupled with an actual rise in Treasury yields. This is not usual in times of high risk and is a symptom of the flailing global monetary order. The 30 year yield finished close to the 5%

Abolish EV subsidies

June 16, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

I am philosophically opposed to taxpayers providing subsidies for private car transportation. Most of these subsidies flow to higher-income earners. Therefore, these subsidies serve as a prime example of the reverse Robin Hood phenomenon, where the rich benefit at the expense of the poor. Electric vehicle (EV) subsidies are exceptionally costly and egregious. The Fringe

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