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Aussie consumers remain trapped in recession

March 14, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Q4 2024 national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggested that households remained in recession. Real per capita household consumption declined for a record eighth consecutive quarter. This followed a record 8% decline in real per capita household disposable income. On Thursday, CBA released its Household Spending Insights (HSI) for February, which

Transition from fossil fuels, ‘slow, expensive, painful’

March 14, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

I posted two charts on Thursday showing the monumental task of transitioning Australia off fossil fuels. According to the federal government’s 2024 Australian Energy Update, only 9.4% of Australia’s energy consumption in FY2023 was from renewable sources. The breakdown of energy consumption by fuel source was as follows as of FY2023: Coal: 25.9% Oil: 38.9%

Pilbara killer or just killer?

March 14, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

I have long argued that RIO’s treasonous Simandou mine is the Pilbara and QLD killer via crashing iron roe and coking prices. Increasingly, it is also a plain and simple killer of human beings. 13 worker deaths reported at Simandou since June 2023, sources and documents say Some safety guidelines not implemented, according to sources

Stocks puke again

March 14, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear technicals still say buy! Inverse fear correction VIX is getting “sick” of the SPX move lower. Source: Refinitiv VVIX definitely not buying it VIX is muted, but VVIX is even more muted. Volatility markets showing green shoots of hope? Source: Refinitiv 12th of March = low point & turning point That’s it

Macro Morning

March 14, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Wall Street tumbled further overnight as the Fat Fuhrer again showed his exemplary trade making deals with a blustery response to the EU counter tariff schemes, all the while insulting the Irish PM to his face and giving short sellers a great opportunity to dump tech stocks. The USD is still somewhat mixed following the

Charting Australia’s world-record income collapse

March 14, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

On Wednesday, I posted charts showing the record decline in Australian real per capita household disposable income. Annual real per capita household disposable income fell for a record tenth consecutive quarter, down 8.1% from the Q2 2022 peak. The magnitude of this decline is illustrated in the following chart, which compares the current episode against

Macro Afternoon

March 13, 2025 - 17:30 -- Admin

Asian share markets are somewhat mixed yet again traders try to decipher where the battle lines are being drawn in the ongoing trade wars started by the increasingly isolated USA. The USD is trying to fight back but is seeing continued weakness against Euro and Pound Sterling with a mild bounceback in Yen this afternoon,

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