Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:46
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Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:37
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Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:06
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Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 14:08
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 14:00
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 2.5%, with another 0.5% worth of rate cuts expected by the end of 2026. As shown below by Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro, the fall in the OCR has reduced the cost of new mortgages, which should have increased housing demand The post The endless decline of New Zealand house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:35
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Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:34
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:30
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It is big. Very big. The Market Ear. But it can get bigger! Or not… A period of sorting and cleansing is underway For a time, the dominant narrative suggested that AGI was only two or three years away — that “magic AI” would emerge and rapidly take off into superintelligence. As discussed on the The post Measuring the AI bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:00
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Iron ore soared overnight thanks to Jay Powell. Unsustainable. Steel demand in China remains down year to date, but up for the week year on year. Steel production is far above last year. But this is misleading. My Steel is supposed to, but obviously doesn’t, cover EAF. Steel recycling has collapsed. In raw volume terms The post Iron ore roars as green steel dies appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 12:30
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Goldman with the note. As we flagged in a note earlier this year, spending on the NDIS has risen from 0% of GDP a decade ago to almost 2% of GDP currently (~A$50bn), around double initial projections, with the overshoot largely driven by higher take-up rates among children with autism and psychosocial conditions. While the The post The great disabling to slow appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 12:00
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There are two key migration data sets published by the ABS. These are regularly utilised by analysts, the media, and the government. There is the official quarterly net overseas migration (NOM) data, which is published on a six- to nine-month delay. The latest official data available is for Q4 2024, eight months ago, and the The post ABS migration censorship controversy explodes appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 11:30
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There was the Henry Tax Review, left gathering dust on the shelf. Now, there is the heavily prescribed Productivity Roundtable, which will do likewise. A cowardly Albo has ruled everything out. The Australian. Anthony Albanese has laid down his conditions for economic reform in an era of growing polarisation, declaring any policy changes need to The post Aussie economy doomed under Cowardly Albo appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 11:27
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 11:00
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Australia is slowly transforming into 1984’s Ministry of Truth. First, we saw the Albanese government backflip and announce that Australians under 16 would be banned from accessing YouTube. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese also wants to make Australia’s draconian media ban global. Albanese announced that he will promote Australia’s world-first social media age ban and encourage |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 10:30
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Australian consumers have been trapped in a recession. The March quarter national accounts showed that real per capita household consumption has been negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. As illustrated below by CBA, the Australian consumer is the largest component of the economy. And the sluggish pace The post RBA rate cuts pull Aussie consumers out of recession appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 10:23
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 10:00
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Are we getting somewhere? The Australian. The top Abu Dhabi executive spearheading its $30bn Santos takeover has opened crunch talks with the Australian Workers Union which took aim at Santos’s venture in Gladstone for sucking up third party gas to meet its LNG export contracts. Mohamed Al Aryani, president of international gas at ADNOC’s XRG, The post Unions must embrace Peter Dutton’s gas reservation appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 10:00
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John Quiggin
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 09:49
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Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please. I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 09:30
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DXY is down, down. AUD is up, but it’s still a grind. Lead boots to the moon! Commods too. Big bear intact. EM launch! Junk vertical! Yields pounded! Stocks roar! So many exclamation marks in one post means it can only be dovish Fed. Jay Powell at the bottom of the Jackson Hole. Putting the The post Scorched by an Australian dollar rocket appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 09:00
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Risk markets loved Fed Chair Powell’s long awaited speech at the central back fest at Jackson Hole with a dovish tilt seemingly suggesting that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September, but only if inflation remains contained from the Trump regime’s tariffs. The hint gave Wall Street the signal to buy after five straight The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 08:45
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The FBI raided the D.C.-area home of former Trump National Security Advisor John Bolton on Friday. |
Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 08:43
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Executives at Walt Disney Studios are reportedly pressing Hollywood creatives for movie ideas that will bring young men back to the theaters. According to Variety, Disney is hoping to get Gen Z men, which it defines as ages 13 to 28, interested in original films. |
Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 08:00
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Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 06:44
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When I was growing up in central Pennsylvania, my working-class family took vacations to places we could drive to—for example, Pine Creek Gorge upstate, better known to locals as the Pennsylvania Grand Canyon, or Delaware, where an aunt and uncle lived on the way to Rehoboth Beach. To this day, neither of my parents have been on an airplane, or west of the Mississippi River. The first time I flew anywhere was the summer after I graduated from college.
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 06:00
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Since U.S. President Donald Trump kicked off the current round of trade tensions with China back in April with the ‘Liberation Day’ announcement of widespread tariffs on Chinese-made goods, Beijing has responded by aggressively limiting the exports of vital rare earth minerals not only to the United States but also to the rest of the The post China could halt high tech Western manufacturing appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 05:55
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MacroBusiness
Monday, August 25, 2025 - 00:05
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Independent economist Chris Richardson published the following chart on Twitter (X) showing that Australia has experienced one of the poorest increases in living standards over the past decade among advanced OECD nations. “The good news is that Australia’s average has improved since my last update”, Richardson wrote. “The bad news is we still have a The post Australia’s economic ‘lost decade’ appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Sunday, August 24, 2025 - 17:39
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MacroBusiness
Sunday, August 24, 2025 - 16:00
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By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA It was a relatively quiet week locally. Consumer sentiment lifted to a 3½ year high, providing further evidence the household consumption recovery is gaining momentum. The Economic Reform Roundtable was held in Canberra from Tuesday to Thursday. Offshore, geopolitical events dominated headlines. Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks tookcentre stage, but no The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness. |