Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Australian Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy admitted to a Senate inquiry this week that the Albanese government would easily exceed the May federal budget’s net overseas migration (NOM) projections. “Lower-than-expected migrant departures mean that net overseas migration is likely to be higher in 2023-24 and 2024-25 than forecast at budget”, he said. “Rather than depart, many

Read more Views: 56
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Scott Rubner at Goldman Sachs. Mechanical rebalance flows to create institutional “FOMO” feedback loop into the best seasonals of the year.ESA Index (S&P +236bps), NQA Index (NDX +186bps), RTYA Index (RTY+604bps), VIX-4.8 pts. These are the 5 biggest flows that I am tracking this morning (Unwinds of election hedges, Re-levering, Buybacks, FOMO, Vanna). The year-end

The post Year-end party begins appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 58
Renew Economy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 12:47 Source
Read more Views: 54
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on the gold puke. All good things… ….must come to an end. Gold is puking, putting in the biggest down candle in forever as it breaks below the short term trend channel. The 50 day comes in around $2635, and the bigger trend line around $2600. Refinitiv Can’t handle the dollar Gold

The post The gold crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 45
The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 12:05 Source

It takes some skill to make Donald J. Trump look good. Two Democrats have succeeded in doing so: Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Kamala Harris in 2024. The conceit of both presidential campaigns, and the belief that attacking a staggeringly grotesque moral character for being such, was laughable. (When a Clinton mocks groping philanderers and…

The post The Price of Eggs: Why Harris lost to Trump appeared first on The AIM Network.

Read more Views: 47
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 12:05 Source

After the US election, what should you be doing? Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, discusses this topic. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos. Damien Klassen is Chief Investment Officer at the Macrobusiness Fund, which is powered by Nucleus

The post MB Fund Podcast: What Now? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 38
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 12:00 Source

With 60-100% Trump tariffs incoming, China is completely stuffed. Then again, it was already completely stuffed so does it matter? The answer hangs on the response. China does not have much leverage over US trade: I doubt it will do countervailing tariffs. More likely, it will devalue CNY and target specific American trade for bans

The post How stuffed is China? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 51
Renew Economy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 11:40 Source
Read more Views: 49
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 11:30 Source

NSW Premier Chris Minns published a propaganda article in the Daily Telegraph calling on residents to get behind the government’s plan to plaster Sydney with high-rise apartment towers: Sydney isn’t a museum. A city like Sydney – a great city – should have the confidence to grow and change with the times. Most importantly, we need

The post Sydney’s ‘Bold Vision’ for high rise slums appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 50
The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 11:28 Source

Climate Council Media Release DONALD TRUMP can act like a cheerleader for the coal, oil and gas industry but he can’t change the way the wind is blowing on clean energy, says the Climate Council. Climate Council CEO Amanda McKenzie said: “As Trump dials up the climate delay and denial, Australia can keep dialling back…

The post Clean energy progress won’t be Trumped appeared first on The AIM Network.

Read more Views: 45
The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 11:20 Source

Black Dog Institute Media Alert A landmark Lancet Commission report reveals cultural and societal issues are driving an increase in self-harm, underscoring the urgent need for governments to address this crisis. Over the last five years, a global team of more than 40 experts has brought together new perspectives on self-harm, bringing knowledge from those…

Read more Views: 42
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 11:00 Source

China fanboi, James Curran, has wasted no time in trashing the national interest. …opposition foreign affairs spokesman Simon Birmingham, urge Albanese to take the drastic step of recalling Kevin Rudd, Australia’s ambassador to the US. This assumes that, due to critical comments he made of Trump some years ago, Rudd will find Trump’s White House

The post Kevin Rudd must develop a mysterious illness appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 50
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) November Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP), released on Tuesday, stated that Australian housing prices had risen despite higher interest rates because of robust population growth (read immigration). “Population growth over the tightening phase has contributed to increased demand for housing, which (combined with a lack of new supply) has

Read more Views: 48
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 10:00 Source

SHFE didn’t panic yesterday. Dalian was not so good overnight. What does China do now with 60-100% Trump tariffs imminent and its demographic construction engine fading? We will know in a few days. It will surely have to turn more of its stimulus to domestic demand, not just derisking. However, I still don’t expect a

The post Trump adds chill to iron ore ice age appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 51
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 09:30 Source

Bloomberg has smashed the recalcitrant RBA: Australia truly is an island. When it comes to monetary policy, the country is at risk of becoming a serious — and embarrassing — outlier. The global cycle of interest-rate cuts is well advanced and inflation looks beaten. Yet you wouldn’t know it from the words and actions of

The post Bloomberg shoots down RBA bullhawks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 49
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 09:00 Source

As the world awakes to the new United Fascist States of America, US stock markets have soared alongside the USD on the Trump/GOP clean sweep while European shares retreated. The election outcome is fraught with opportunity in all risk markets with volatility likely to continue in the coming days as traders reweight the new world

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 45
Renew Economy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 08:34 Source
Read more Views: 82
Your Democracy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:25 Source

AS THE INTERCEPT, LIKE MOST LEGACY MEDIA, FOAMS AT THE MOUTH AT THE ELECTION OF A "lawless authoritarian AND AN adjudicated rapist" FOR PRESIDENT OF THE USA (AKA OF "THE FREE WORLD" — A EUPHEMISM FOR DECEITFUL COLONIALISM OF THE WEST [AND OF THE PLANET] BY EMPIRE AMERICA), WE CAN'T ANALYSE A MILLION VIEWS BY A MILLION ANALYSTS AS TO WHAT WENT WRONG FOR SOME, ESPECIALLY SHRIEKING WOMEN OF THE LEFT, AND WHAT WENT GOOD FOR OTHERS — INCLUDING SHRIEKING MAGA WOMEN.....

Read more Views: 77
Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:06 Source

I did surprisingly well yesterday in not following the news. Honestly, it turned out to be easier than I expected once I had a sense of what was actually happening. I’m not sure I’ll be following the news for the next couple of weeks—maybe even the next four years.

Read more Views: 55
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:00 Source

The key macroeconomic data for Australia shows that this century’s immigration boom has been deleterious to the nation’s productivity and living standards. The following chart plots Australia’s long-run trend per capita GDP growth against labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) and the immigration rate (net overseas migration as a share of the population). Clearly, productivity

Read more Views: 51
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 06:44 Source

DXY whoa! AUD was hammered but bounced into Chinese stimmies: North Asia is now a race to the bottom: Oil and gold are stranded. The latter has a long history of up the escalaor and down the lift: Dirt hosed: Miners too: And EM: Junk is not out of the woods: As yields price out

The post Australian dollar crushed by American boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 51
Your Democracy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 05:40 Source

Donald Trump has been declared the winner of the 2024 presidential race, prompting a meltdown in the Kamala Harris camp and the US corporate media – who are struggling to understand what went wrong.

Wall Street analyst Charles Ortel gives the top three reasons behind Trump's victory:

Read more Views: 57
The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 01:05 Source

I do love my morning beach walks. Between 6 and 7, ride the bike down to the beach, greet the various regulars down there, James collecting bits of glass washed up overnight among the shells, Rob and Luke, taking the dogs for a run, Janet likes a swim before heading off to work. The wildlife…

The post How Bad (or Good) is it Today? appeared first on The AIM Network.

Read more Views: 71
Club Troppo Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 00:11 Source

If scientific fraud represents five per cent of scientific papers, we might well expect that we have a great deal of philosophic fraud as well. But in philosophy, how can we detect the fraudsters?

 

Read more Views: 226
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 00:10 Source

The war of words between the Albanese government and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) over inflation and interest rates is heating up. Following last week’s decline in headline CPI, Treasurer Jim Chalmers celebrated that inflation was now within the RBA’s target range. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told a business dinner on Wednesday that inflation

The post RBA blames government for inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 62
Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 23:44 Source
Read more Views: 58
Your Democracy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 20:54 Source

There is something rather like irony for both parties in this omnishambles US election: whichever one loses, it will be all their own fault. Michael Pascoe.

If the Republicans had chosen Nikki Haley instead of Trump, the election would be as good as over. She would have creamed it, tapping into voter dissatisfaction without stirring voter fear. 

Read more Views: 77
Your Democracy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 18:49 Source

Former president Donald Trump has taken to the stage in Florida to claim victory in the US election.

It is expected that he has secured enough votes to win the electoral college, with JD Vance as his vice president. 

Read more Views: 88
MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 16:30 Source

Asian stock markets have seen a big boost across the region as the US election results come in with a Trump win most likely, giving USD a big boost alongside other risk markets. Euro reversed course alongside Yen while Australian dollar has been slammed back below the 65 cent level. Oil futures are being pushed

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 85
Club Troppo Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 15:29 Source

As the US presidential election count continues, it becomes increasingly likely that Donald Trump will win. It appears that the majority of Americans believe that Trump is more trustworthy than Kamala Harris on economic issues, and they say that the economy is their principal concern.

The irony in this belief is that it is the opposite of the real situation, at least if we assume that Trump will carry out the promises that he has made.

Read more Views: 89

Pages