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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 13:24 Source

ANZ with report. Australia’s annual greenhouse gas emissions declined 1.2% in the year ending March 2025, according to the National Greenhouse Gas Inventory. This follows a flat annual result over the year to December 2024. Excluding the land use, land use change and forestry4 (LULUCF) sector, annual emissions fell 1.0% in the year to March

The post Aussie carbon emissons fall, sort of… appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The blueprint for how to fix Australia’s tax system was spelled out 15 years ago by the Henry Tax Review. Unfortunately, both sides of government ignored its recommendations. Fast forward to today, and the federal budget is facing a decade of budget deficits amid the unwinding of commodity prices, the ageing population, and increasing spending

The post How Jim Chalmers should tackle reform appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The cartel is back, baby. And so are ludicrous electricity prices. Bowen is the great fiddler. The Australian. The Albanese government’s planned overhaul of household electricity price caps could put small energy retailers surviving on razor-thin profit margins out of business. Federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen confirmed the government would review the Default Market Offer

The post Bowen fiddles while energy burns appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 11:56 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the May labour force report, which reported a steady unemployment rate of 4.1% despite the loss of 2,500 jobs. The unemployment remained steady due to the 0.1% fall in the labour force participation rate. However, despite the loss of jobs, monthly hours worked jumped by 1.3% in

The post Australia’s job market is weaker than it looks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on a rapidly exhausting market. Shorts stopped out Recent equity strength has been fueled by underweight positioning and a brutal short squeeze. But signs of relief are emerging — UBS reports the strongest hedge fund deleveraging since March, with sharp short covering. Nasdaq short interest is now in the 25th percentile, showing just

The post Stocks hit the ceiling appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 11:01 Source

IAEA chief Rafael Grossi has confirmed that his agency has no firm evidence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program, debunking the justification used by Israel to launch its aggression last week. Sputnik asked commentators including a renowned Iraq War whistleblower to weigh in why Israel and Washington neocons are so eager to beat the drums of war.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Labor’s Powering Australia Plan claimed that it would cut NEM wholesale power rates by $11 per MWh (from $62 to $51) by 2025. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese praised RepuTex Energy’s analysis as “the most comprehensive modelling ever done for any policy by any ­opposition in Australia’s history since Federation”. Albanese also regularly claimed that Labor

The post Labor drowns in energy lies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY went nowhere. AUD recovered some. Lead boots are going sideways. Oil short? Metals bifurcating. Biug miner bear one for the ages. EM meh. Junk hasn’t budged. Long end sort of OK. Stocks nothing burger. Here are the Fed headlines. *FED HOLDS BENCHMARK RATE IN 4.25%-4.5% TARGET RANGE *FOMC MEDIAN FORECAST STILL SHOWS 50 BPS

The post Australian dollar resilience returns appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 10:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s annual R&D spending has also fallen to only 1.68% of GDP, well below the OECD average (3%) and the lowest among developed nations. As a result, the Albanese government has launched a review into Australia’s R&D, which is analysed below by independent commentator and MB Subscriber, Stephen Saunders. By Stephen Saunders Thus far, Australia’s

The post Australia is a R&D wasteland appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 09:15 Source

I’ve previously posted a number of times before about the dataset I have compiled of election results since 2004, adjusted for 2025 electoral boundaries.

Most recently, prior to the election, I specifically did a comparison of the 2007 and 2022 electoral map: two elections with similar two-party-preferred votes and a similar number of seats with a two-party-preferred majority for each major party.

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Renew Economy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 09:15 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 09:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the Federal Reserve hold fire in their latest FOMC meeting although the reasons were more domestic than foreign macro problems as the Trump regimes tariff tirades are really starting to slowdown the US economy. The potential entry of the US into the fraca in the Middle East gave risk markets further pause but

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 08:38 Source

Pandering to the strategic goals of the United States, which puts a target on our nation’s forehead, our Government keeps lying to us. Michael Pascoe with some uncomfortable truths.

First, a little context, a little perspective, before getting to our government blatantly and consistently lying to us:

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Master Builders Australia (MBA) has used a submission to the Productivity Commission to argue that the federal government should provide tax incentives to builders who meet industry standards. The MBA argues that this would help boost competition, investment, and productivity in the sector, while also reducing the cost of building new homes. MBA CEO Denita

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Your Democracy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 06:44 Source

On a threatening June evening, America’s army turned 250 and put on a show that revealed more than it intended.

Tanks and missile carriers rolled down Pennsylvania Avenue. Fighter jets flew over the Capitol dome. The President, visibly aged, saluted the display, a general on each side.

 

Stewart Sweeney

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Your Democracy Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 06:30 Source

One underrated voice in President Trump’s ear has broken his silence on the ongoing Israel-Iran war with a lengthy and powerful statement this morning that contains significant historical context. 

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MacroBusiness Thursday, June 19, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s unemployment rate is currently 4.1%, a historically low figure. The low unemployment rate has been driven by the boom in non-market (government-funded) roles, such as those related to the NDIS. The latest batch of data suggests that job growth has stalled, portending rising unemployment. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, last

The post Australia’s job boom turns bust appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 17:12 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 16:34 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 16:30 Source

The Israel-Iran war continues to dominate risk markets as the TACO-in-Chief threatens to join in with bunker busters and demands unconditional surrender. The dealmaker in action! The USD remains weak against almost all the undollars while domestic Japanese data is keeping Yen weak after the BOJ taper plan announcement. The Australian dollar is hovering around

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 14:51 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has slashed the official cash rate by 2.25%, which has lowered mortgage rates by around 2% over the past year. The sharp reduction in interest rates by the Reserve Bank is partly due to the heavy decline in New Zealand home prices. According to Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro,

The post Housing crash forces Reserve Bank to cut rates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Usually, you want to buy a commodity when it is cheap and its producer is expensive. This is because low prices curb supply in commodities relatively quickly, so high mining valuations are usually a sign that the market is bottoming out. I have been expecting this kind of cycle to play out repeatedly with lithium

The post Thinking about lithium? Don’t appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 13:17 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 13:17 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 13:00 Source

If there is one thing that MAGA hates, it’s neocons. Those fanciful folk who thought they could lead the world to US nirvana at the point of an assault rifle. Pre-emption was their code, and regime change was their method. They tried in Afghanistan and failed. Then Iraq and failed slightly less. MAGA hates them

The post Trump is a military chicken, too appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 12:52 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 18, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Some nice new charts from IEEFA on the great gas gouge. It’s China that’s sucking the life out of the East Coast economy. Of course, China sends the gas back elaborately transformed into battleships. But somehow that doesn’t seem like a good exchange. There’s loads of uncontracted gas to deploy the Dutton reservation policy (and

The post It’s China that’s killing East Coast energy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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