Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary

Articles from MacroBusiness

Baby bonus generation adds to housing pressures

June 24, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Net overseas migration is undoubtedly the most significant driver of housing demand in Australia. Australia’s population grew by 445,900 in 2024 (equivalent to a Canberra), driven by net overseas migration of 340,600. Net overseas migration remained above the pre-pandemic peak of 315,700 in Q4 2008, accounting for 76% of total population growth. Another overlooked factor

Victoria disease is spreading to all Australia

June 24, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

S&P with the report. Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index(1): 51.2 (May: 50.5). 3-month high. Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index(2): 51.3 (May: 50.6). 3-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing Output Index(3): 50.4 (May: 49.8). 2-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI (4): 51.0 (May: 51.0). Growth in new work was notably driven by domestic clients

Proof Aussies don’t want to live in apartments

June 24, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Policymakers want Australians to live in shoebox apartments to alleviate the structural undersupply of housing in our major cities and accommodate endless population growth. Their mandate contradicts the views of Australians, who prefer to live in detached homes. In May, the average price premium for a detached property in Australia’s major cities was 174%, according

Mortgages arrears surge to decade highs

June 24, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

In the debate surrounding the so-called “Mortgage Cliff” and the impact of inflation and higher interest rates on households, the possibility of a strong rise in mortgage arrears has been written off in many quarters. Yet with the release of the latest Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) data from ratings agency Fitch, that is exactly

Does Australia need a war between the states and Albo?

June 24, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

In a recent speech to the Queensland Parliament, Mermaid Beach Liberal Party MP Ray Stevens called for the return of vagrancy laws in order to prosecute the “presumably homeless people” increasingly cropping up in his electorate in “some of the most sought after locations anyone could wish for—absolute beachfront”. In a vacuum, one can empathise

Victoria’s economy is gravely ill

June 24, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Victoria’s economy has become a national disaster. The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) annual state accounts for 2023-24 revealed that Victoria’s per capita GDP fell by 1.2% annually and has only increased by 10.4% since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. Victoria’s growth compares poorly against the 1.0% national decline in per capita GDP in

China’s thousand year property crash

June 24, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The ferrous complex is hardly inspiring confidence. Steel output cuts should eventually force more price weakness upstream to iron ore. Meanwhile, Goldman has finally cottoned on to the structural nature of the Chinese property crash. It is forever. Gauging China’s new urban housing demand: In a recent comprehensive update, we re-examine China’s underlying demand for

Macro Morning

June 24, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Everything is awesome as a potential ceasefire in the Middle East is underway, following an Iranian attack on a US military base in Qatar was thwarted. This has sent risk significantly higher, dumping USD and oil prices in the process, negating all the fallout from the entry of the Trump regime into the war. Euro

Pages