Goldman kicks us off. China’s Q3 GDP report came in marginally above market consensus (though in line with our forecast) amid mixed September activity data — industrial production (IP )meaningfully beat market expectations, retail sales was in line, while fixed assetinvestment (FAI) missed notably, reflecting that the economy remains bifurcated. Real GDP growth moderated to
The Market Ear melts up. Things can always melt up No, the 1999 analogy is not very likely, but imagine the AI narrative goes really crazy? After all, everybody tends to underestimate all moves. Full note here. Source: LSEG Workspace Never forget Santa coming this year again? Source: Equity Clock That was quick “US ETF shorts
A further rally on Wall Street overnight due to more solid earnings which overshadowed the subprime drama in regional banks, helped along by a positive reaction here in Asia in yesterday’s session to strong Chinese GDP numbers. The AUKUS trap seems to be closing as the Trump regime signed a minerals deal with Albo in
DXY is up. So is AUD. And CNY. Gold is unstoppable. Oil screwed. Metals confused. Miners rising debasement out of the bear market but the iron ore challenge looms. EM to the moon. Junk less worried. Yields down. Stocks up. Not much data again. More soothing from the loon on trade but today’s gong
Australia’s auction market performed solidly again over the weekend, despite a high number of listings. According to Cotality, the national preliminary auction clearance rate rose to 73.8%, up from 73.0% the weekend prior and 58.2% in the same weekend of last year. “The clearance rate is an indicator that prices are going to continue to
Asian share markets have rebounded strongly on the TACO trade as the Trump regime looks like folding yet again over its tariff threats on China while the USD tries to take back a lot of lost ground against the majors but is only barely making headway. The latest Chinese GDP print didn’t scare the Australian
New Zealand experienced one of the developed world’s largest rises in home values over the first 25 years of this century. However, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand dwelling values have recently crashed back to 2019 levels, representing one of the largest property busts in the developed world. One year
There are two main reasons why the federal government supports running a high immigration program. First, immigration benefits overall economic growth, as measured by headline GDP. Running a high immigration policy allows the federal government to pretend to be a competent economic manager, even when per capita GDP growth is poor and individual living standards
So says Societe General. The AU unemployment rate jumped to 4.46% in September, above any of the Bloomberg survey forecasts. An upward revision to August leaves the average 3Q rate in line with the RBA’s latest SoMP view of 4.3%. However, the uptick skews risk higher for 4Q. Markets have been wrong-footed by single prints
I agree. Though I would buy any decent pullback. The Market Ear. Easy tiger The fundamental gold story hasn’t changed: inflation hedging, rate cuts, and reserve diversification. But the tactical setup has: sentiment, positioning, and volatility all scream too crowded. Gold may still be the “right” asset — just at the wrong price, right now. Gold