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Articles from MacroBusiness

Australia’s public sector booms, private sector busts

September 4, 2024 - 10:30 -- Admin

The GDP partials released on Tuesday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that public sector spending is driving Australia’s economy. Total public demand is expected to contribute 0.4 ppt to the quarterly change in GDP, easily the largest contributor to the expected 0.3% quarterly growth: The lion’s share of public sector activity stems

RBA rate cuts may determine whether Albo keeps his job

September 4, 2024 - 10:00 -- Admin

Most opinion polls have federal Labor and the Coalition roughly neck-and-neck, with a hung parliament looking increasingly likely. We also know from the latest RedBridge polling that the Albanese government is failing to connect with voters over the cost-of-living, with only 24% of Australians surveyed stating that they could name a single thing that had

Treasurer Chalmers lies about lying

September 4, 2024 - 09:30 -- Admin

Australian politics is full of mise en abyme, the endless regress of self-referentiality into a meaningless abyss. Nobody better exemplifies this than Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers who is so inept and cowardly that he has to lie about being so, the reasons for it, and then lie about those lies as well! Take today: Speaking

Macro Morning

September 4, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

The late start to the trading week as US markets reopened is one most would like to restart again as risk aversion due to possible slower growth across China and the US from their respective PMI prints sent everything down overnight. Commodities led the way as USD shored up against the majors, with Wall Street

Iron ore miners crash

September 4, 2024 - 08:30 -- Admin

SHFE and SGX were both hammered yesterday. The jaws are closed: Dalian is at the cliff: Coking coal is over it: Big miners crashed 5% apiece in New York: Scuttlebutt is informative: China’s manufacturing activity sank to a six-month low in August, an official survey showed, pressuring policymakers to press on with plans to direct

Australia’s two-speed housing market

September 4, 2024 - 08:00 -- Admin

CoreLogic’s latest dwelling value results showed that the major capital city markets are two-speed, with Sydney and Melbourne recording slow or negative growth. By contrast, Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane continue to boom: The growing supply of homes for sale in Melbourne and Sydney has contributed to the slowing of dwelling values. The following table from

Macro Afternoon

September 3, 2024 - 16:30 -- Admin

Asian share markets are fairly directionless as they await the lead from a closed Wall Street that will likely reopen tonight slightly in the red with all eyes on this Friday’s US jobs report. Before that we get the latest ISM manufacturing print whereas today there was a sneak peek in Australian GDP figures, which

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