QLD, TAS & NT federal redistributions – estimates of margins
In recent months, federal redistributions have been completed for Tasmania, the Northern Territory and Queensland, with Queensland’s being finalised on January 5.
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New year, new data
Over the break I’ve been working to expand the size of this website’s data repository. If you’re new to this, the repository publishes state and local election results that may not otherwise be available in an easy-to-access format.
I’ve added five more datasets over the new year:
Tasmania goes to the polls – March 3
It appears that the Tasmanian premier, Will Hodgman, will today call the state election for March 3. For the first time since 2002, the Tasmanian election won’t coincide with the South Australian election, set for March 17.
New dataset – Victorian 2014 election
I’ve got a new addition to the data repository – my collection of complete and clean election datasets. I’ve now posted the results of the 2014 Victorian state election. This dataset includes:
Bennelong – different swings but no big change
There wasn’t much suspense in last night’s by-election results – it was clear early on that Labor wasn’t coming close to the swing they needed to win the seat. There was a sizeable swing (approximately 5.7% after preferences) which dented the Liberal margin. If this swing was repeated at an election the current government would easily lose its majority, but it would be dangerous to extrapolate this result to a general election.
Bennelong by-election live
6:00 – Polls have just closed in the Bennelong by-election. I’ll be covering this by-election live tonight, hopefully including some projections and geographic breakdowns (although I’m still finishing them off). We should start having results between 6:30 and 7pm.
Queensland election dataset – pre-poll voting keeps growing
I’ve just finished pulling together all of the data from the recent Queensland state election and have added it to my data repository.
This dataset includes:
Tasmanian election 2018 – read the guide
The Tasmanian election is due to be held by May 2018 – and if the last three elections are any guide, the election will likely be held in March.
In addition to the South Australian guide posted on Monday, I’ve now completed a similar guide for the five Tasmanian state electorates.
Here are the links to the five electorate guides:
Nick Xenophon’s vote – does it hit Labor or Liberal harder?
Last week, I posted data showing the Nick Xenophon Team vote at the 2016 Senate election broken down by state electorate.
Launching the guide to SA 2018
As we near the conclusion of 2017’s election season, with the Bennelong by-election this weekend, I have finished my first major guide for 2018: for the South Australian state election on March 17.
I have completed seat guides for all 47 electorates, as well as a guide to the Legislative Council and summaries of the key seats and the redistribution.