I’ve recently finished adding three more datasets to the Tally Room data repository – the repository now contains complete datasets for the 2002, 2006 and 2010 South Australian elections. This includes full lists of booths (including geolocation), candidates and electorates, as well as results for both houses down to the polling place level.
I’ve recently been made aware of a process in the Northern Territory which is reviewing the ward structures of local councils following last year’s council elections.
I’m particularly concerned by a proposal to break up the City of Palmerston into tiny wards, seemingly as a solution to an informal voting problem, and to foreshadow a similar change in Alice Springs for a future review.
6:00 – Polls just closed in the by-election in the Northern Territory assembly electorate of Fannie Bay. This seat was represented by former chief minister Michael Gunner, who resigned last month after retiring from the territory’s leadership earlier this year.
Some of you may not be aware that this website contains a data repository with election results data from all over Australia. The repository contains tidy data with clear IDs that link the different tables together and make it easy to analyse a whole state’s election results in one go. I started the repository when I found myself having to do a lot of work to compile state election results in a usable format.
A lot of analysis of the recent federal election used aggregate data and made assumptions about individual voting trends, but now we have some data that can actually answer these questions. Ben is joined in this episode by Shaun Ratcliff from YouGov to discuss the Australian Cooperative Election Survey, which allows analysts to make conclusions about individual voting trends.
We discuss trends in terms of income, wealth, gender, age, LGBTQI+ voters and cultural diversity.
The Victorian Electoral Commission has recently published a report laying out their estimates of the two-candidate-preferred margins in every electorate for the upcoming Victorian state election, after taking account of the redistribution.
There will be a by-election later this month in the Northern Territory electorate of Fannie Bay, covering parts of the northern suburbs of Darwin. The seat was held by former chief minister Michael Gunner, who resigned last month after stepping down from the leadership in May.
I won’t be covering this by-election much, but there is a guide where you can discuss what happens.
We’re about four months out from the Victorian state election, and I’ve just finished a quick update to my list of candidates for that election, as included in my election guide.
As of yesterday, the results of the 2022 federal election have been finalised and move to the results archive. One of the last pieces of data to be compiled is a breakdown of two-party-preferred preference flows for each party.
The two-party-preferred vote, by definition, splits up every vote between Coalition and Labor. Since voters are required to number every box, all votes end up in one pile or the other.
While the federal election is now over, the two biggest state elections in Australia are just around the corner: Victoria in November, and New South Wales in March 2023.
I released my Victorian election guide at the start of the year, but I have now finished compiling my New South Wales election guide.