Here’s the complete Victorian election guide
I’ve finished posting the Victorian state election guide today, with all of the remaining seats available on the website now.
You can use this map to click through to any seat guide:
Articles from The Tally Room
Primary tabs
Vic 2018 – first draft of the candidate list
I’ve been trickling out seat guides for the Victorian election gradually for the last while. I’ve now posted 53 out of 88 lower house profiles, and guides to all eight upper house regions. At the moment I’m posting two seats per day.
As part of this work I’ve been tracking candidates who are running, and I thought I would publish my spreadsheet for anyone to access.
Podcast #8 – Wagga Wagga results and Banks
I’m joined by Ben Spies-Butcher and Amanda McCormack to discuss the Wagga Wagga by-election, the state of NSW politics six months before the state election, and the federal seat of Banks.
We also discussed Ann Sudmalis’ retirement announcement and Kerryn Phelps’ candidacy announcement.
Links to things discussed in the show:
Federal election guide finalised
For those who haven’t already noticed, I wanted to let you know that the guide to the next federal election is now finished and up on the website in total.
The guide includes profiles of all 151 House of Representatives races, and all eight Senate contests.
You can use these links to see a full list of lower house links:
Podcast #4 – by-election results with William Bowe
Today’s episode is a slightly shorter interview with the Poll Bludger, William Bowe, where we run through the results of the by-elections and what they might mean.
Braddon and Longman – the maps
The by-elections last night ended up being quite clear and not particularly close in the end. I’ve put together a few maps to highlight some interesting elements.
This first map shows Longman. You can toggle between three different results layers: the 2PP vote, the 2PP swing to Labor, and the swing to One Nation.
Darling Range by-election live
6:00 – Polls have just closed in the state by-election in the Western Australian seat of Darling Range. I expect we’ll start to see results in about half an hour. I’ll be running a booth-matching model tonight. For now the results tables are at the bottom but I’ll move them to the top once there is something useful within. In the meantime, why not take a read of my guide to this by-election?
Vic redistribution finalised – the end of Batman
The Australian Electoral Commission released the final decisions for the Victorian federal redistribution earlier today. Most of the changes were very minor, with no seats experiencing a large change in margin. The switch of Dunkley from Liberal to notional Labor has been maintained.
Women in parliament – still marginal
There has been a lot of discussion recently about the lack of representation of women in the Liberal Party, and it got me thinking about what sort of seats tend to be represented by women. Do they tend to hold safer seats, or more marginal seats? I recently noticed that most coalition women hold marginal seats, in the context of Jane Prentice and Ann Sudmalis facing preselection threats.