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Articles from The Tally Room

WA’s upper house shifting to one big electorate

September 15, 2021 - 22:24 -- Admin

The current voting system for the Western Australian upper house is set to be overhauled after the WA state government accepted the recommendations of its expert panel earlier today. The panel has recommended the abolition of all regions used to elect the upper house, with 37 members1 to be elected by one statewide electorate, thus abolishing the severe malapportionment that has given far more power to rural voters.

Papua New Guinea’s latest attempt at redistribution

September 11, 2021 - 14:18 -- Admin

Papua New Guinea’s parliament is elected from single-member electorates which are meant to be regularly reviewed and redrawn, as they are in Australia. Yet the current boundaries have not been significantly changed since the 1977 election. The Boundaries Commission is having another go now, but the proposed changes have limited relationship to the actual population imbalances.

Daly by-election guide, and new data

September 2, 2021 - 09:30 -- Admin

I have now published a guide to the by-election in the Northern Territory seat of Daly, which will be held on the 11th of September. Daly is a very marginal Country Liberal seat and may well be in play. There aren’t really enough election-day booths in rural NT electorates to do my typical booth maps, so I’ve tried a different format which also includes pre-poll booths.

Stretton by-election guide

July 21, 2021 - 12:30 -- Admin

There is a by-election coming up this Saturday in the Queensland state seat of Stretton, following the death of Labor MP Duncan Pegg in early June.

The seat covers the southern fringe of the City of Brisbane, close to the border with Logan. Pegg held the seat by a 14.8% margin in 2020.

It seems very likely that Labor will retain the seat.

My hiatus over the last few weeks has delayed the production of a seat guide but it is now available. Check it out.

Victorian state redistribution – margin estimates

July 21, 2021 - 09:30 -- Admin

I will firstly acknowledge that I am very late in publishing these figures. I’ve just finished moving house during the first two weeks of lockdown and it has pushed back my timelines.

Anyway, this post contains my estimates of the two-candidate-preferred margins, the primary vote for the main parties, and my estimate of the figures for the Legislative Council regions. In particular the Labor vote has changed significantly in the renamed North-Eastern Metropolitan region.