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Cook by-election incoming

January 23, 2024 - 13:48 -- Admin

News has broken today that former Liberal prime minister Scott Morrison will be retiring from politics at the end of February, thus triggering a by-election for his seat of Cook.

There is a federal by-election for the seat of Dunkley due at the start of March, and a Queensland state by-election for the seat of Inala due in the middle of the month, but Morrison’s timing will push the Cook by-election into April or later.

NT 2024 – guide launched

January 16, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

Northern Territory voters will go to the polls in August this year to elect a new Legislative Assembly. Labor has held power for two terms, since 2016. The party has changed leaders twice during the last term, with Natasha Fyles stepping down in December to be replaced by Eva Lawler. While polling is limited for the NT, it seems like there could be a real prospect of a change of government.

NSW ward redistributions completed

December 11, 2023 - 09:30 -- Admin

New South Wales councils will be up for election in September 2024, and the process of redrawing ward boundaries for these elections has now concluded. I have now finished making my new boundary map. In this post I’ve run through what changes happened in the 16 redrawn councils, and posted a map showing how the wards have changed in those councils.

Podcast #110: Generational gaps in Australian politics

December 8, 2023 - 07:00 -- Admin

Ben is joined by Shaun Ratcliff from Accent Research to discuss his recent report looking at differences in voting trends across the generations. We discuss how Millenials and Gen Z voters are much more left-wing than Baby Boomers, explore some theories as to why, and look at evidence as to which of those theories may be right. We then discuss what this implies for the next few decades of Australian politics.

WA state redistribution – boundaries finalised

December 3, 2023 - 13:00 -- Admin

The final electoral boundaries for the next Western Australian state election were released on Friday morning. The changes mostly replicated the draft boundaries released in July, although there were a few small changes, and some dramatic changes to two seats were mostly reversed.

In this post I’ll run through the major changes, what has changed since the draft map, and I’ve also included a map of the boundaries and tables of the result estimates (both primary votes and 2CP).

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