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Federal 2019 – the race in regional Queensland

May 15, 2019 - 12:30 -- Admin

There are ten seats in Queensland outside of the south-eastern corner, including central and northern Queensland plus a handful of seats further inland. The Liberal National Party holds eight of these seats, along with one Labor and one seat held by Katter’s Australian Party, but a number of these LNP seats are in play at this election.

There are five marginal seats I’m paying attention to in this post.

Federal 2019 – the race in southern NSW and the ACT

May 14, 2019 - 08:30 -- Admin

For my next regional focus I decided to split regional New South Wales into two areas: north and south. Today I’ll be looking at the seven seats in southern NSW, plus the three seats in the ACT.

Labor holds six of these seats, the Liberal Party holds three, and the seat of Riverina is held by Nationals leader and deputy prime minister Michael McCormack.

There are four seats that I think are worth paying attention to.

United Australia – where might their vote come from?

May 13, 2019 - 09:30 -- Admin

Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party is running a big campaign in this federal election, with a big-budget national advertising campaign. It’s hard to know how well they will perform, but it’d be silly to ignore a party with such a big campaign.

In one sense the party is new, but it’s actually a successor to Palmer’s United Australia Party, who ran in the 2013 federal election. That campaign was similar, with a big-budget campaign spread over the whole country.

Federal 2019 – the race in Sydney

May 9, 2019 - 08:30 -- Admin

There are 29 federal electorates in the greater Sydney region (including the Central Coast and Blue Mountains) – it’s the most populous region in Australia.

The region contains sixteen Labor seats, twelve Liberal seats and one independent seat.

I’ve identified seven seats that I think are particularly worth watching in Sydney, below the fold.

Federal 2019 – the race in Western Australia

May 7, 2019 - 08:00 -- Admin

Western Australia has sixteen seats in the House of Representatives, and these seats strongly favour the Liberal Party. Labor holds five seats, while the Liberal Party holds the other eleven.

The Liberal Party has dominated Western Australia at federal elections since Kim Beazley’s departure from federal politics over a decade ago. Polling earlier in the current term suggested a reversion towards Labor, but the latest polling suggests Labor is only on track to gain a small swing.