There are ten seats in Queensland outside of the south-eastern corner, including central and northern Queensland plus a handful of seats further inland. The Liberal National Party holds eight of these seats, along with one Labor and one seat held by Katter’s Australian Party, but a number of these LNP seats are in play at this election.
There are five marginal seats I’m paying attention to in this post.
We are now three days away from polls opening in the federal election, and I’ve seen a number of commenters posting their broader predictions about which seats they think will flip on Saturday, so I thought it was time to post a thread for everyone to chip in and put their predictions on the record.
Ben is joined by William Bowe and Elizabeth Humphrys to discuss anti-politics and election night – in particular what seats are worth watching and when you should expect results to come in.
Thanks to 2SER radio in Sydney for the use of their studio.
For my next regional focus I decided to split regional New South Wales into two areas: north and south. Today I’ll be looking at the seven seats in southern NSW, plus the three seats in the ACT.
Labor holds six of these seats, the Liberal Party holds three, and the seat of Riverina is held by Nationals leader and deputy prime minister Michael McCormack.
There are four seats that I think are worth paying attention to.
Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party is running a big campaign in this federal election, with a big-budget national advertising campaign. It’s hard to know how well they will perform, but it’d be silly to ignore a party with such a big campaign.
In one sense the party is new, but it’s actually a successor to Palmer’s United Australia Party, who ran in the 2013 federal election. That campaign was similar, with a big-budget campaign spread over the whole country.
We’ve now got one more week before election day and a few people have been asking me for advice about how to plan out their preferences in the Senate.
There are 25 federal electorates in the Melbourne metropolitan area. Labor won 16 of these seats in 2016, with the Liberal Party winning eight and the Greens winning one.
There are eight seats I wanted to zoom in on in today’s post, with the map below the fold:
There are 29 federal electorates in the greater Sydney region (including the Central Coast and Blue Mountains) – it’s the most populous region in Australia.
The region contains sixteen Labor seats, twelve Liberal seats and one independent seat.
I’ve identified seven seats that I think are particularly worth watching in Sydney, below the fold.
Ben was joined by Rodney Smith from the University of Sydney to discuss the surge in pre-poll voting and the key races in New South Wales.
Western Australia has sixteen seats in the House of Representatives, and these seats strongly favour the Liberal Party. Labor holds five seats, while the Liberal Party holds the other eleven.
The Liberal Party has dominated Western Australia at federal elections since Kim Beazley’s departure from federal politics over a decade ago. Polling earlier in the current term suggested a reversion towards Labor, but the latest polling suggests Labor is only on track to gain a small swing.