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Articles from MacroBusiness

Macro Morning

January 9, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Wall Street had another tipsy session overnight as the latest US initial jobless claims came in slightly lower than expected with the Trump tariff shotgun approach still weighing on risk markets, let alone the bluster about invading Canada and Greenland. Bond markets settled down somewhat but remain volatile while the USD continues to come back

What’s stopping the RBA from cutting rates?

January 9, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Wednesday’s monthly inflation data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggested that underlying (trimmed mean) inflation is falling faster than projected by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The Q3 national accounts, released last month by the ABS, reported annual GDP growth of 0.8%, also well below the RBA’s forecasts. The Q3 wage price

Lower interest rates needed to boost housing construction

January 9, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

CBA economist Harry Ottley published the following chart showing the massive disconnect between dwelling approvals and the Albanese government’s 240,000 annual housing target. As you can see, annual approvals in the year to November (175,270) were around 25% below the 240,000 target. “The number of dwellings being approved clearly remains well below what is required

Macro Afternoon

January 8, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian stocks are generally lower due to individual local conditions and not the overall macro view although the slump on Wall Street overnight is not helping risk markets overall. Chinese shares are reeling with some regulatory changes on trade while Japanese equities are treading water on rate hike speculation. Local shares are going the other

Inflation data great news for RBA

January 8, 2025 - 11:55 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the monthly inflation gauge for November, which recorded headline CPI inflation of 2.3% year-on-year, slightly above expectations of a 2.2% rise. ABS head of prices statistics, Michelle Marquardt, noted: “Annual CPI inflation has risen since last month, in part due to the timing of electricity rebates. In

Australia nears gas disaster

January 8, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

In 2013, Labor Resources Minister Gary Grey made the unfortunate decision to allow the Gladstone liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals to be developed without the need to reserve gas for domestic users. “Let me say very clearly, a reservation policy could not lead to lower gas prices or more gas”, Grey told reporters at the

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