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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 11:30 Source

I would have thought it was obvious. His government has done everything in its power to destroy working people’s living standards while pretending to be working class. There’s a line that Prime Minister Anthony Albanese trots out whenever he gets the chance. “My mother raised me with three great faiths,” he says. “The South Sydney

The post Why everybody hates Albo appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 11:14 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 11:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Basically, nobody can afford to pay more. CoreLogic with the report. National rent values rose 0.4% in the December quarter, the smallest Q4 change in rents since 2018. The pace of national rental growth continued to slow in 2024, with rents up 4.8% over the year after surging 8.1% in 2023, according to CoreLogic’s latest

The post Albo’s horror rent shock peaks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Speed limit c arcminutes^2 per steradian

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 10:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 10:30 Source

RBC is the most bearish LNG price forecaster I can find but that isn’t going to help Australia. Looking ahead, as we detailed in our LNG deep dive recently, we see a wave of new LNG supply—the biggest yet—to take global exports closer to 440mt (605bcm) in 2025, 480mt (660bcm) in 2026 and 620mt (855bcm)

The post LNG imports will burst the Aussie housing bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 10:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The first battle between bond vigilantes and King Trump has gone to the former. Members of President-elect Donald Trump’s incoming economic team are discussing slowly ramping up tariffs month by month, a gradual approach aimed at boosting negotiating leverage while helping avoid a spike in inflation, according to people familiar with the matter. One idea involves

The post Markets buckle King Trump appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY took a breather last night. AUD reversed. CNY is hanging on. Oil fell. Base metals meh. Miners rose on a Pilbara cyclone. EM lol. Junk is stalled. US yields eased. Stocks were soft. AUD positioning continues to get shorter, which is opening the way for much bigger counter-trend rallies. It is the reverse for

The post Whole world gets short Australian dollar appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street is again failing to find traction following last Friday night’s retracement with tech stocks again pulling the edifice down while European shares rebounded slightly despite the higher Euro. The USD is actually now losing ground against the undollars on a slightly weaker than expected PPI print overnight, particularly Euro and Pound Sterling but

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 08:54 Source

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 08:15 Source

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oHfQo9lBTSs

Is Chuck Schumer trying to turn Hegseth’s Senate hearing into a ‘circus’? Bartiromo

 

Sen. Shelley Moore Capito, R-W.Va., previews the Senate’s highly anticipated confirmation hearings for Trump’s Cabinet members.

 

SEE ALSO: 

the YD continuum since 2005....

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 06:52 Source

A week out from the presidential inauguration in Washington and what stands out is the sheer mischief and wildness of Donald Trump and Elon Musk, like two schoolboys running amok in the tuckshop of world politics.

With it comes a wide range of reactions to Trump, from the cheerleaders to those who fear Trump’s words may actually have meaning.

 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 06:29 Source

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 15, 2025 - 00:10 Source

Domain has published a stunning set of charts showing how Australian housing affordability is the worst on record by nearly every measure. First, the national dwelling value-to-income ratio hit an equal record high of 8.0 in the September quarter of 2024, up from a 20-year average of 6.7. Second, in the September quarter of 2024,

The post Australian housing is unaffordable by every measure appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 21:46 Source

Trump allies prepare bill to let him buy GreenlandUS House Republicans have introduced a ‘Make Greenland Great Again Act’

President-elect Donald Trump’s Republican allies in the US House of Representatives have introduced draft legislation aiming to authorize negotiations for the United States to buy Greenland from Denmark.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 21:28 Source

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius is in Kyiv on an unannouned visit, quite probably his last before next month's German election. He said he'd discuss continued European support, with Trump's return near in the US.

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 17:30 Source

Asian stock markets are in the main doing a lot better in reaction to a somewhat mixed first session overnight on Wall Street as concerns over the incoming Trump tariffs waned. The USD is pulling back slightly against the undollars following an overreaction to Friday night’s NFP print with Euro heading back above the 1.02

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 13:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear tackles the bond back-up. Decouple Bond markets decoupled: Western yields are soaring, while China yields are collapsing. Source: Macrobond Odd UK 10Y at highest level since ‘08, US closing in on peak, EZ sideways, China decline ongoing. Source: Macrobond Not normal In previous Fed rate-cutting cycles, 10yr UST yields tended to rally

The post Bond vigilantes take an axe to King Trump appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 12:23 Source

I had reason to withdraw some cash this morning. Nothing anyone needs to know about, especially not the authorities. Just… reasons.

Luckily, I was passing through the city, which is one of the few places my Very Large Bank still maintains a branch, let alone a cash machine. My Very Large Bank has decided to get out of the business of real money because, I dunno, it costs too much or something.

So, there I was, at the cash machine, card in hand trying to withdraw the folding stuff. The first hurdle I hit was a message telling me there wasn’t enough money in the account.

Bullshit.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 12:01 Source

European members of NATO need to drastically increase their military spending or start studying Russian, the US-led bloc’s secretary-general, Mark Rutte, has said.

Rutte’s remarks came during a question and answer period at the end of the joint meeting of the European Parliament’s Committee on Foreign Affairs (AFET) and the Subcommittee on Security and Defence (SEDE) on Monday.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 12:00 Source

If you want to know why China is no longer able to stimulate its economy the way it once did via property and infrastructure, look no further than land sales, which are running at post-GFC levels. Worse, most sales are local governments selling to themselves via special purpose vehicles, the very definition of robbing Peter

The post Chinese land sales cancel stimulus appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 11:37 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Chinese December steel exports continued their strong run at 9.7mt, up 26% year on year, driven in part by tariff frontrunning. That paled next to iron ore imports, which went within a whisker of a record at 12.49mt. On the day, the import numbers were enough to excite markets, which lifted both steel and iron

The post Iron ore booms as Chinese steel decarbonises my butt appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 11:10 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 14, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Alas for Australia. Cheap gas everywhere and not a molecule to use. The local gas price is still at a nosebleed $13.50Gj. Enough to drive electricity prices 150% higher year on year. The culprit is more European gas shock as Russian tighten again. Goldman has more. While NW Europe January temperature forecasts have remained colder

The post Another European gas shock lands in Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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