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The Australian Independent Media Network Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 16:18 Source

Tide Communications Media Release Australian Unity, one of the nation’s first wellbeing companies, has released its latest Wellbeing Index survey report in partnership with Deakin University. The survey, conducted in June 2024, measured subjective wellbeing in more than 2,000 adults aged 18 years and older across a series of personal and national areas, including the economy,…

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 16:03 Source

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 15:12 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 15:11 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 14:00 Source

New Resolve Political Monitor polling shows voters have swung away from the federal Greens. The Greens’ net likeability rating has dropped to minus 19 percentage points, down from minus 1 in the previous federal election. Bandt’s net likeability rating has dropped to minus 15 percentage points, with only independent senator Lidia Thorpe (minus 40 percentage

The post Australians turn against fake Greens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Gold is a nice snapshot of everything that is going wrong with commodities today. The DXY steamroller is loose. Real yields too. Overbought, oh dear. This is not over. We have not seen a macro regime so hostile to gold and commodities since 2015, when the Chinese economy was slowing and the US economy was

The post Sell commodities, gold appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 13:04 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 13:00 Source

If you want to know why the Trump administration is back, look no further than Australia’s fake left so ably represented at The Guardian. The paper frequently complains about the housing market while using smug videos from patronising and economically ignorant Millennials as support. Kyle Ward wants to own a home. He and his wife have

The post The Guardian dystopia cancels youth home ownership appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear on Yardeni’s Roaring Twenties Animal Spirits Roaring 2020s, Animal spirits, Trump 2.0 and world peace….How bullish can you get? Here is Yardeni’s new take on the current backdrop. “We are raising our S&P 500 year-end targets as follows: 6100 (2024), 7000 (2025), and 8000 (2026). We are now targeting 10,000 by the

The post Stocks in the Roaring Twenties appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 12:24 Source

Yawn. Bitcoin continued its relentless surge higher, climbing above $88,000 for the first time, boosted by President-elect Donald Trump’s embrace of digital assets and the prospect of a Congress featuring pro-crypto lawmakers. Trump’s decisive victory in the presidential election has prompted celebratory chest-thumping from the digital-asset industry, which spent over $100 million backing a range of crypto-friendly

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Thankfully, peak oil demand is almost here as China decreases the energy-intensity of GDP, and OPEC has way too much product. At $70, oil supply is gushing while demand withers. It’s all coming from non-OPEC. OPEC spare capacity is huge and deficits are increasingly too: If Trump delivers Ukraine peace and Russian barrels re-emerge, the

The post OPEC is going out of business appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 11:42 Source

The Great War continues, more than 100 years later

Yesterday was November 11, the anniversary of the armistice which ended fighting on the Western Front of what was then called the Great War. It’s always an occasion for sad reflection on my part, thinking about the pointlessness of the massive sacrifices of the War, which achieved nothing except to set the scene for worse disasters to come.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 11:30 Source

In April, former Treasury economist Stephen Anthony summed up the Victorian government’s management of the state as follows: “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency departments can’t afford clean linen, primary schools can’t fix heaters”. “Things are about

The post Victoria is as broken as its crumbling roads appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 11:05 Source

Westpac with the note. Westpac Consumer Sentiment up 5.3% to 94.6. Consumers now optimistic about outlook for economy and finances. Responses over the week show a pull-back after the US election. Job loss fears drop to a 19-month low. Consumers’ Christmas spending plans more ‘average’ than ‘austere’. Jobs, falling inflation, and rate cuts coming when

The post Consumer fear eases appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 11:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders Here we go again. The ABC claims Australia “doesn’t have” a population plan. But we do – it’s massive. Can Donald Trump’s victory change that at all? Forever, influential pro-migration stakeholders have wrung their hands in mock distress. By golly, if only we had a “population plan”. We should have an “immigration

The post Could the US election result derail a Big Australia? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 10:56 Source

US President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Republican Congresswoman Elise Stefanik, a staunch ally of Israel and a foreign policy hawk, to serve as the next ambassador to the UN.

“I am honored to nominate Chairwoman Elise Stefanik to serve in my Cabinet as US Ambassador to the United Nations. Elise is an incredibly strong, tough, and smart America First fighter,” Trump said in a statement to the media on Monday.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 10:40 Source

There was a famous saying about how people who live by the sword, die by the sword… which is ridiculous on so many levels apart from the fact that you have to infer so much meaning that the saying makes no literal sense… I mean, if you said those who live by the river, die…

The post Down The Rabbit Hole, Said Humpty Trumpty…and we followed! appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 10:30 Source

ABC Radio Nation aired a segment on the “battle between millennials and boomers”. The segment couched Australia’s housing crisis as a conflict between the ‘Yes in my backyard’ (YIMBY) movement, who want greater density in established suburbs and the inner-city, against the ‘Not in my backyard’ (NIMBY) movement, which objects to forced densification. We have seen

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Chinese credit is still buggered. Total social financing in October was soft at CNY1.36tr. The growth in the stock of credit continues to shrink, down to a record low 7.8%. Under the bonnet, household credit grew  a bit at CNY160bn but it was mostly short-term debt not mortgages. Not much joy for property stabilisation. Most

The post Chinese credit into the pit appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 09:30 Source

Steel futures have not updated. Dalian is breaking down: The blows are coming from all directions: “Not only has China’s recent stimulus package fallen short of investor expectations, but the weekend’s fresh disappointments from the inflation report and FDI data have also reinforced the view that China is still far from stabilizing its beleaguered economy,”

The post Iron and steel bust resumes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 09:15 Source

For this post, I am looking at how the parties have done in the Victorian council elections, and I run through a quick summary of how each council went.

As of the time of writing, all but three of the wards I am tracking have been finalised. The Wilton and Yamala wards in Frankston and the Westerfolds ward in Manningham have reported primary votes, but no preference distribution. For this analysis I am assuming the primary vote leaders win here.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 09:02 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 08:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 08:00 Source

Earlier this month, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced that if re-elected, the federal government would erase 20% of student debt. The Greens have taken the policy to the next level, promising to waive the student debts of 3 million graduates and make university and TAFE education free at a proposed cost of more than $120

The post Labor/Greens student debt waiver is reverse Robin Hood appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 07:00 Source

Anyone with half a brain knows that reducing the number of international students (and migration in general) will help to ease the rental crisis. The association between the increase of international students and temporary migration is clear. Temporary visa numbers in Australia have increased by around 500,000 over the pre-pandemic peak, as shown in the

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 06:56 Source

Forty (40) years ago, the ALP ran its national conference at what was then called Noah’s Lakeside Hotel, with uranium, Timor, taxation, David Combe and south-west Tasmania prominent in discussions. But, who is this meeting up on the dancefloor after the day’s debates and double-crossings?

 

 

Political void: The end of the Wharf

 

     By Andrew Fraser

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 06:39 Source

DXY is a runaway freight train as EUR succumbs. AUD is huddled in a corner hoping nobody will notice. But they will as the Crap Complex is mown down. North Asia is already responding to looming tariffs. Commods are being crucified as gold and oil do the limbo. Dirt is breaking down. Miners abandon hope.

The post Australian dollar crushed by America First appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 06:17 Source

Kiev has reportedly chosen to channel military resources to its incursion into Kursk Region in Russia rather than reinforcing its positions in Donetsk People’s Republic, newspaper El Pais reported on Sunday.According to Ukrainian servicemen fighting in Kursk Region who spoke with the Spanish outlet last month, while they occasionally experience shortages of weapons and equipment, there are no such problems with personnel.

 

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 05:52 Source

I finally wrapped up my three-month-long watch of Continuum on Amazon over the weekend. (And immediately plated up the BBC’s last Day of the Triffids adaptation for fun).

It’s been a while since I’ve enjoyed a series as much as I did Continuum. Made me think I should go back and finish watching that other Canadian time travel romp, Travellers. Not sure why I dropped out of that one. I think it might have been because it got cancelled and I’m not sure they wrapped up the story.

No such problem with Continuum, although the final season was only six eps rather than the usual 12, so something went on.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 12, 2024 - 05:52 Source

Australian territory has been used in supporting US B-2 bombers en route and in return from strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen on October 17, and highlights the profound strategic significance of this event for the future role Australia may play in US strategic bomber operations against China, in the Asia Pacific and beyond.

 

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