Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Monday, March 24, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The iron ore jaws are wide. Either rebar must rise or iron ore fall. Not much hope of the former! Steel demand sucks. Steel supply is better this week but still sucks. May is not a good period for iron ore, and March has been unseasonably weak already. Mwahaha.

The post Iron ore jaws yawn wider appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 24, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Oh dear. The Australian. Jim Chalmers will extend energy bill rebates for another six months in Tuesday’s budget, adding an extra $1.8bn to the pre-election spending splurge with an aim of setting up a cost-of-living fight with Peter Dutton. Despite energy bills being set to increase by up to 9 per cent next financial year,

The post Labor embraces Gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 24, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday night saw a very hesitant risk complex trying to digest the recent Bank of England and Swiss Central Bank meetings, while trying to anticipate what the Fanta Fuhrer in the Oval Office is going to do next with tariffs. Wall Street initially pulled back slightly in line with European stocks before rebounding later in

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, March 24, 2025 - 08:30 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, March 24, 2025 - 07:54 Source

Response to the latest Israeli/US slaughter in Gaza shows the world’s citizens looking into a moral precipice. How will they act? Will they ponder the principles of humanitarian law let alone ideals of a common humanity?

Can there exist any citizens who support Israeli/US brutalities and the cowardly complicity of Western governments, including Australia’s? If so, will they please step forward.

 

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Your Democracy Monday, March 24, 2025 - 07:30 Source

Esoteric Trumpism delves into the profound and often unexplored dimensions of Donald Trump’s political journey, presenting it as a pivotal moment in the grand narrative of Western civilization. Through the lens of Oswald Spengler’s cyclical theory of history, the book explores Trump as a Faustian figure, striving against the tide of decline, embodying the spirit of American exceptionalism and the fierce battle for national identity.

 

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 24, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Harry Ottley, economist at CBA, published a terrific set of charts showing the explosion in non-market jobs, where there is often a lack of market prices and wages are heavily subsidised by the government, and the implications for Australia’s labour productivity. Ottley shows that in the year to Q4 2024, the number of employed persons

The post Australia is sowing the seeds of a productivity disaster appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, March 24, 2025 - 05:31 Source

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MacroBusiness Monday, March 24, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Department of Education released data on the number of international students studying in Australia. A record 1.095 million international students were enrolled in Australia at the end of December 2024. This was up around 150,000 from the pre-COVID peak in 2019 and around 500,000 higher than a decade ago. International student commencements also hit

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 21:46 Source

How the West Made Trump's Destruction Possible

A guest article by Herfried Münkler on DER SPIEGEL

Donald Trump's geopolitics resembles a gigantic demolition project. The world after him will be a landscape of rubble. And will Europe be a plaything of the great powers?

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 12:52 Source

Households are guaranteed a further $150 in energy bill rebates after the Coalition immediately matched Labor’s budget commitment, despite describing the support as a “Band-Aid to a bullet wound” of high power prices.

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 10:19 Source

A delivery of second-hand Australian Abrams tanks to Ukraine faces possible complications after US President Donald Trump's recent temporary freeze on military assistance to the war-torn nation. 

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THE BLOT REPORT Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 10:13 Source

The decline in religion is something that interests me greatly, as anyone who reads this blog can attest. I originally wrote about in in 2019, with an essay on the decline of religion in the Anglophone world, wherein I tracked the proportion of the population who, according to the census, had no religious affiliation. In 1966, only 0.8% of the population reportedly had no religious affiliation whereas, at the time the last census for which data was available (i.e. that of 2016), indicated that 30.1% of the population had no religious affiliation1.

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 09:34 Source

Australia must take up the challenge presented by its rift with the United States over trade and foreign policy to strengthen bilateral relationships with other countries in these critical areas. We should also move to capitalise on the opportunities President Donald Trump has created by pulling back on climate commitments and USAID.

 

John HewsonRoad map to a US reset

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 09:26 Source

 

A New York Times report on Thursday is either fake or people at the FBI or CIA ran to the paper to undermine their boss, though there’s no real reason both can’t be true.

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Renew Economy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 08:44 Source
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Renew Economy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 08:32 Source
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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 06:58 Source

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu paid the asking price for Itamar Ben-Gvir’s return to the government in advance. Not out of his own pocket, of course, but with the blood of the 59 hostages whose fate could be sealed by the resumption of the war, which has already sealed the fate of hundreds of Palestinians, including women and children.

 

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Your Democracy Sunday, March 23, 2025 - 06:20 Source

Russia’s diplomacy chief, Sergey Lavrov has had to deal with eight US secretaries of state, impressing almost all of them. Let’s have a glimpse at his track record with US diplomats.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 20:48 Source

DXY is back and EUR flamed out. AUD is getting kicked in the teeth. And the shorts have piled back in. Lead boots tripped. Trump will regret damaging Iranian oil output. Commodities were hammered. Big miners are in a big bear market. EM yawn. Junk stressed a bit. Need more. Yields flat. Stocks flat. AUD

The post Australian dollar falls as RBA loses credibility appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 18:31 Source

WHEN SVANTE ARRHENIUS DID HIS CALCULATIONS IN THE LATE 19TH CENTURY, HE PREDICTED THAT THE AMOUNT OF CO2 RELEASED INTO THE ATMOSPHERE BY THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION STARTED 50 YEARS EARLIER WAS ENOUGH TO RAISE GLOBAL TEMPERATURES BY ABOUT 2 (TWO) DEGREES CELSIUS. 

WAS HE CORRECT?

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 11:53 Source

Yesterday I read the following lines on the Internet – unfortunately without an author’s reference: This has never happened before: a man who has not even been elected chancellor yet negotiates the biggest borrowing in the history of the Federal Republic of Germany with parties that lost the election, in a Bundestag that has long since been dissolved.

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 08:39 Source

Retired Royal Navy Rear Admiral Chris Parry stated that Russia would not be able to defend itself against a massive ICBM strike.

"One Trident submarine has the ability to incinerate 40 Russian cities very quickly. That is a lot of food for thought for Putin and that should make any world leader fearful," he told The Telegraph.

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New Politics Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 08:00 Source

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 07:44 Source

The big news on house insurance this week was the response of the insurance industry’s peak body to a parliamentary committee’s extensive criticisms of its treatment of people claiming on their policies after the massive floods of 2022.

 

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 06:47 Source

Former US President Joe Biden has offered to raise funds, campaign, and do whatever is needed to help Democrats regain ground lost to the Republicans during his tenure, NBC News reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.

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Your Democracy Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 06:00 Source

Broken promises and burned pipelines: Why diplomacy with Kiev is a dead endUkraine blew up a Russian gas facility just days after a mutual agreement not to do just that. As if anyone expected something different.

By Nadezhda Romanenko

 

In a brazen act of duplicity, Ukraine has once again demonstrated that it is not a reliable partner for diplomacy – let alone peace.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 00:10 Source

By Stephen Saunders  Major-party election-offerings are unsympathetic to ordinary voters. Coalition indolence (and overstated Trump fears) may well re-elect Labor or (heavens no) Labor-Greens. At MacroBusiness also The Australian, I’ve portrayed Election 2025 as a winning romp for the top 20% regardless of who becomes prime minister. Meaning, little improvement across crucial indicators such as

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MacroBusiness Saturday, March 22, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Global Reading: Trump’s trade war could claim a new victim: Canada and Europe are reconsidering $150 million Lockheed Martin fighter jets – Fortune Billionaire Peter Thiel Warns of a Looming Real Estate ‘Catastrophe’—A ‘Massive Hit to the Lower Middle Class and Young People’ Who Can’t Buy Homes – Yahoo Trump’s US Commerce Secretary, who owns

The post Weekend reading and MB media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, March 21, 2025 - 21:47 Source

Russian President Vladimir Putin would breach a peace deal with Ukraine if it is not defended, Sir Keir Starmer has said, after attending a meeting of senior military leaders in London.

The UK prime minister said any agreement to stop the fighting between Russia and Ukraine would "only be lasting" if there were "security arrangements in place".

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