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Macro Afternoon

September 3, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

Asian share markets are seeing a broad selloff as the riskoff mood in the wake of bond sales continues to dominate the marketplace as we await Friday’s NFP print from the US. The USD is lifting slightly after being against a wall of selling against the majors but all eyes on are US Treasuries as

New Zealand desperately tries to reignite house prices

September 3, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

New Zealand’s economy and housing market remain in a funk. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Kiwi-GDP nowcasting model suggests that the nation’s GDP may have declined in Q2 2025 by 0.3%. New Zealand’s labour market is also suffering its weakest conditions in a decade outside

Aussie growth craters with government spending

September 3, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

The Aussie economy has passed the zenith of its historic government spending splurge as public investment peaks, according to Westpac. Today’s data showed that public investment was the primary drag. As the pipeline of public investment projects turns lower, this is feeding through into weaker activity. This quarter new public investment declined 3.4%qtr to be

Recession ends with GDP boost

September 3, 2025 - 12:04 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the national accounts for Q2 2025, which revealed stronger than expected growth. Analysts had tipped a 0.4% rise in headline GDP, and the RBA had forecast 0.5% growth. However, a 0.6% rise was recorded, led by household and government spending. Headline GDP grew by 1.8% over the 2024-25

Will data centres bleed money?

September 3, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Recently here at MacroBusiness, I explored how during the industrial revolution the investors in the stocks of American railroad companies did not see the huge returns that one might have expected, despite railroads dramatically transforming and boosting the U.S. economy. The piece posed an important question regarding the rise of AI: it’s entirely possible to be

Into the bear’s lair

September 3, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on a bubble whose time has come. Breaking down SPX is breaking below the trend line that has been in place since May. Note we took out the 21 day…and are trading close to the 50 day as of writing. No bueno. Source: LSEG Workspace NASDAQ as well NASDAQ is falling below

Iron ore turns into fruitcake

September 3, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Steel prices are in an outright rout. This is the opposite of what the Beijing parade should produce. Yet everybody wants town iron ore with Simndou two months hence? This is fruitcake time. Chinese steel margins are collapsing as inventories pile up. There is only one outcome here. Production must fall, and all ferrous inventories

Australia should ignore UN on ‘net zero’

September 3, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

UN climate director Simon Stiell flew to Australia to blame us for the world’s climate troubles. Stiell warned that Australia will cause the world to “overheat” and that fruit will be a “once-a-year treat” if the Albanese government does not increase its clean-energy aspirations. He also warned that unambitious interim aims would undermine Australia’s “high

Migration lies, damn lies, and statistics

September 3, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The left-leaning media have come out in force against the notion that Australia’s immigration intake remains too high. The SMH/Age posted a weak sauce ‘fact check’ on claims that Australia has experienced “unprecedented immigration” and “Big Australia by stealth”. The authors Natassia Chrysanthos and Shane Wright claim that the recent migration surge is merely ‘catch-up’

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