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Meet Australian housing’s liar-in-chief

July 24, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

Federal Housing Minister Julie Collins continues to lie about the housing crisis and blame the former Coalition government. According to Collins, Australia “doesn’t have enough homes and hasn’t for a long time”. “For a long time, we haven’t been building the homes that Australia needs and the former government wasted a decade in office while these

Stocks hit the wall of worry

July 24, 2024 - 10:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear peers inside the correction. Anatomy of a semis pullback This chart shows Semis drawdowns relative to the S&P500. Outside of big fundamental / risk-off episodes (Fall’22), most ‘pulbacks’ are in the ~10% range +/-relative to the S&P (2021, 2H’23, 1H’24)….BUY BUY BUY….? GS Just another violent pullback On Semis, JPM TMT specialist

Chinese property sinks faster

July 24, 2024 - 10:00 -- Admin

Chinese property sales are going nowhere: All cities down: Marginal progress on inventory: Completions down but not out: It’s all coming from the top: Chinese economists say they can’t tell whether their proposals are being heeded, with officials mostly nodding and taking notes in meetings, the people added. Comments from prominent analysts are deemed noise

Iron ore trapdoor opens

July 24, 2024 - 09:30 -- Admin

It had to happen and it is. SGX iron ore futures cracked yesterday: Mad Dalian broke support: Coking coal is in the bottomless pit: It ain’t complex: Iron ore crumbled below $100 a ton as a policy meeting in China failed to deliver major stimulus, while supplies stayed strong. We still have the Poliburo meeting over

Aussie flash PMI stagflates

July 24, 2024 - 09:06 -- Admin

The Judo Bank flash PMI is pulling back but hardly swiftly. Flash Australia Composite PMI Output Index: 50.2 (June: 50.7), 6-month low Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index: 50.8 (June: 51.2), 6-month low Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI Output Index: 46.3 (June: 46.8), 4-month low Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI: 47.4 (June: 47.2), 2-month high Business

Macro Morning

July 24, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

Tech stock earnings dominated the risk flow overnight, leaving Wall Street with a flat finish while a surging German DAX was the only thing keeping European shares afloat as Euro and other major currency pairs fell back further under the weight of a stronger USD. All but Yen of course which continues to appreciate while

More density won’t make housing affordable

July 24, 2024 - 07:00 -- Admin

AustralianSuper and HESTA have joined forces to back the Assemble platform to develop 17,000 “affordable” apartments over the next 10 years at a proposed cost of $15 billion. AustralianSuper estimates that Australia’s national housing shortage is around 230,000 homes a year, and CEO Paul Schroder has called for more land release and loosening of regulations

International student “exports” raid food banks

July 24, 2024 - 00:10 -- Admin

Last week, I provided evidence that the famed $48 billion of international education exports were a statistical con. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) calculates this fantastical export figure by combining “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of the total expenditure on course fees”. The ABS incorrectly classifies

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