Recently, the issue of how migration is measured has exploded into the headlines, with several media outlets and other organisations, including 2GB, the Daily Mail, the Institute of Public Affairs and Macrobusiness, receiving correspondence from the ABS on the issue. To quote from Leith’s article on this from last week: On Wednesday evening, I received
Asian share markets are trying hard to translate the Friday night gains on Wall Street due to the seemingly dovish pivot by the US Federal Reserve but not all risk markets are buying it with the USD clawing back some of its losses, particularly against Yen although the Australian dollar remains robust just under the
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 2.5%, with another 0.5% worth of rate cuts expected by the end of 2026. As shown below by Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro, the fall in the OCR has reduced the cost of new mortgages, which should have increased housing demand
It is big. Very big. The Market Ear. But it can get bigger! Or not… A period of sorting and cleansing is underway For a time, the dominant narrative suggested that AGI was only two or three years away — that “magic AI” would emerge and rapidly take off into superintelligence. As discussed on the
Iron ore soared overnight thanks to Jay Powell. Unsustainable. Steel demand in China remains down year to date, but up for the week year on year. Steel production is far above last year. But this is misleading. My Steel is supposed to, but obviously doesn’t, cover EAF. Steel recycling has collapsed. In raw volume terms
Goldman with the note. As we flagged in a note earlier this year, spending on the NDIS has risen from 0% of GDP a decade ago to almost 2% of GDP currently (~A$50bn), around double initial projections, with the overshoot largely driven by higher take-up rates among children with autism and psychosocial conditions. While the
There are two key migration data sets published by the ABS. These are regularly utilised by analysts, the media, and the government. There is the official quarterly net overseas migration (NOM) data, which is published on a six- to nine-month delay. The latest official data available is for Q4 2024, eight months ago, and the
There was the Henry Tax Review, left gathering dust on the shelf. Now, there is the heavily prescribed Productivity Roundtable, which will do likewise. A cowardly Albo has ruled everything out. The Australian. Anthony Albanese has laid down his conditions for economic reform in an era of growing polarisation, declaring any policy changes need to
Australia is slowly transforming into 1984’s Ministry of Truth. First, we saw the Albanese government backflip and announce that Australians under 16 would be banned from accessing YouTube. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese also wants to make Australia’s draconian media ban global. Albanese announced that he will promote Australia’s world-first social media age ban and encourage
Australian consumers have been trapped in a recession. The March quarter national accounts showed that real per capita household consumption has been negative for seven consecutive quarters on an annual basis, down 2.4% from its peak. As illustrated below by CBA, the Australian consumer is the largest component of the economy. And the sluggish pace