MacroBusiness
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 09:30
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DXYT softened last night as the great narcissist resumed attacking the Fed. AUD firmed. Lead boots are rolling over. Oil liked the chaos, oill did not. Metlas no bueno. Big mining bear fully intact. EM tried. Junk too. As yields cooled on a softish PPI. Stocks meh. The PPI helped offset yesterday’s bad CPI (in The post Australian dollar chaos as loon Fed attacks Fed appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 09:21
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IN SIXTY SO SOON, PUBLISHED SOME YEARS AGO (2006), BILL FIRMAN MAKES THE ARGUMENTS FOR GOD… SCIENTISTS WHO BAT FOR TEAM-GOD ARE OFTEN USED AS A PROOF OF HIS (GOD) EXISTENCE… SAYS BILL: Scientist Henry Schaefer restates the five traditional arguments for the existence of God which are often referred to in astrophysical literature:
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 09:00
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A busy night of data, geopolitics, plus absurd politics as the Trump regime looks to fire Fed Chair Powell because he won’t lower rates (even though he only has one vote and there’s clear evidence of an inflationary push from the tariffs). This kept Wall Street on its toes but eventually Trump TACO’d out again The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 08:00
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Tuesday’s net permanent and long-term arrivals data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggested that immigration is surging, with a record 245,890 net arrivals recorded over the first five months of 2025. It appears that the surge in arrivals has been driven, at least in part, by international students, with the ABS reporting 39,210 The post So much for the ‘crackdown’ on international students appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 07:30
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The activist group Palestine Action was designated a terrorist organization by by Parliament on July 2 after it splashed red paint on a British war plane in protest of it assisting Israel’s genocide in Gaza. The non-violent group is in court challenging its designation by a violent government. The author, a former British diplomat, was in the courthouse and filed this report. This is the second and last installment of his two-part article. |
Your Democracy
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 06:30
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The US must be told that we will not be involved in any way and at any time in a war with China over Taiwan. Trump is pressing US allies to increase their defence expenditure. Anthony Albanese has wisely responded that the Australian Government will decide how much we spend on defence, and not the US.
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Your Democracy
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 05:55
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Another possible surrogate for the control of potential enemies of society is the reintroduction, in some form consistent with modern technology and political processes, of slavery. Up to now, this has been suggested only in fiction, notably in the works of Wells, Huxley, Orwell, and others engaged in the imaginative anticipation of the sociology of the future.
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, July 17, 2025 - 00:05
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RIO’s treason mine has been brought forward again. Pilbara iron ore achieved its highest Q2 production since 2018, recovering well from Q1 extreme weather impacts. Simandou first shipment accelerated to around November 2025, with 0.5 to 1.0 Mt of shipments expected in 2025 (SimFer scope from Blocks 3 & 4). Continued progress with our Iron The post Pilbara killer ahead of schedule appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
THE BLOT REPORT
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 23:20
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Most people have been appalled or sickened by the images coming from Gaza, of flattened cities, rows of shrouded corpses, dead or dismembered children, mangled babies, emaciated children, lists of journalists and health-workers targeted. In the western world, people have been demonstrating in their many thousands against this genocide in Gaza. So what do governments do? They are more concerned with placating Israel and stopping the protests than stopping the genocide, even to the point of criminalised protesting1. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 21:47
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 17:13
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 16:40
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 16:00
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Risk markets continue to weigh up last night’s US CPI print with tariff inflation beginning to hit the US domestic economy, with the Fed likely to hold instead of cut for the rest of the year. More “frameworks” and “thinkings about deals, maybe” are being announced by the Trump regime as US Treasury yields drift The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 14:00
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After experiencing a reprieve last year, the latest net permanent and long-term arrivals data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) suggests that net overseas migration (NOM) has surged back in 2025. There were 1,128,480 permanent and long-term arrivals in the year to May, offset by 680,860 departures, with both tracking at close to a The post Australian immigration surges back in 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:30
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As we know, Australia hates Donald Trump in part because of his stance on climate change. What most Australians don’t know, however, is that the US has done a much better job of decarbonising itself cheaply than we have. The recent change has been part of the post-COVID recovery. While the US has rehabilitated industry, The post US energy transition far better than Australia’s appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:00
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I am ideologically opposed to taxpayer-funded subsidies for private car transportation. Most of these subsidies go to higher-income earners. Thus, they are a prime illustration of the reverse Robin Hood phenomenon, in which the rich benefit at the expense of the poor. Electric vehicle (EV) subsidies are extremely expensive and inequitable, worsening the long-term sustainability |
Renew Economy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 13:00
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:36
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:30
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The groveller-in-chief will grovel. China Daily, a state media outlet, trumpeted the unusual length of Albanese’s visit (six days) and claimed the prime minister’s office saw the trip as a “friendly gesture” made “against the backdrop of rising tensions between the United States and many countries”. …Earlier in the day, TV journalists at the Drum The post Albo is a Xi Jinping mini-me appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:01
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Renew Economy
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:01
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MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 12:00
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Let’s call it what it is: a recession. Even a depression. Much like Japan before it, it is of the golden variety, hidden by fiscal bridges to nowhere. The Chinese economy grew a fanciful 5.2% in the June quarter. But even the slow-moving and captured are asking pointed questions now. Bloomberg. Nominal GDP, which accounts The post China’s golden depression plods on appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 11:30
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The Market Ear with equities latest. Tech mania Stat of the day: “In the past 3 months since April, global investors have raised their allocation to the tech sector by the largest amount since Mar’09“. Source: BofA NASDAQ – no problem? NASDAQ futures printing new ATHs as of writing as tech breaks above the little The post Bears on the prowl appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 11:00
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ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index has languished below the neutral 100 mark for more than three years, the longest and deepest stretch this century. The ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index last reached positive territory above 100 in March 2022, just before the Albanese government was elected into office. “Low confidence isn’t just a mood |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:30
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The ferrous complex is looking toppy. Yesterday’s June data was bad for Chinese steel. The only conclusion one can draw from this chart is that deep output cuts are underway. Private data is not capturing it. The decline of green steel continues. But both BOF and EAF output have topped at the mid-year peak well The post Chinese steel sickens appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Cheeseburger Gothic
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:08
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I stopped reading movie reviews before watching the film many years ago. Decades really. It was a film reviewer called Ana Maria Del’Oso (apologies for inevitably getting the spelling wrong, A.M.) wot done it to me. I'd been looking forward to watching Clint Eastwood's return to the Western with Unforgiven and naïvely picked up her review, which might have been in the Fairfax papers, or maybe some posh magazine. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:00
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Last month, credit ratings firm S&P estimated that Australia’s state and federal governments’ combined budget deficits totalled $52 billion, with net debt exceeding 60% of GDP. This translates to a $1,897 per capita deficit and a net debt of $45,183 per person. Meanwhile, the aggregate net debt of the federal, state, and territorial governments is |
xkcd.com
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 10:00
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The Tally Room
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 09:30
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Hare-Clark is basically unique amongst Australian electoral systems because there is a realistic possibility that a member of parliament will lose their seat to a fellow member of the same party – indeed it happens fairly regularly. Another unusual feature is the use of countbacks. Members of parliament often choose to quit mid-term, and are replaced by a fellow member of their party without the need for a by-election. But those mid-term replacements often struggle to retain their seats against other candidates at the following election. |
MacroBusiness
Wednesday, July 16, 2025 - 09:30
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DXY is back and EUR is trash. AUD has a nasty double top. Lead boots are OK. Gold and oil are in trouble. Ditto metals. Big mining rotation, my butt. EM pumped and dumped. Junk is warning. As yields spike. Nasdaq also pumped and dumped. US inflation was pretty good at 0.3% MoM and +2.7% The post Australian dollar smashed by US tarifflation appeared first on MacroBusiness. |