Blogotariat

Via CBA: Lowe signals another cash rate cut is imminent Following Lowe’s speech today we are now expecting the RBA to cut the cash rate in July rather than August. We expect another 25 basis point cut later in year, probably November, taking the cash rate to 0.75%. Once again, the RBA have emphasised that

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Here’s Phil Lowe reporting on the RBA’s failure to meet its performance targets and refusal to do anything about it:

This decision [to cut rates by 0.25%] was not in response to a deterioration in the economic outlook since the previous update was published in early May. Rather, it reflected a judgement that we could do better than the path we looked to be on.

If anyone can fill me in on what that means, I’d be grateful.

Via Goldman comes the market for anything: Given the assumption that the observed datapoints are normally distributed, barometer readings can be seen as the market-implied probability for a “trade deal” if one believes the historical highs (Jan 19) or lows (Mar 18) over the past 18 months are in fact reasonable representations of those outcomes.

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By Leith van Onselen Last weekend, CoreLogic released its preliminary auction clearance rates, which revealed the following results: Today, CoreLogic has released its final auction results, which reported a 4.6% decline in the final national auction clearance rate to 61.8% – well above the same weekend last year (52.4%) and way above last week’s 48.3%:

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By Leith van Onselen You would be hard pressed to find a bigger racket than Australian pharmacies. How many any other industries in Australia have had laws implemented that ban new entrants from opening within 1.5 kilometers of an existing business? How many other industries allow only registered professionals in the field to own and

The post How the Pharmacy Guild gouges Australians appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The NT's untapped economic potential could be realised through large-scale investment in solar energy, a new BZE report has found.

By Leith van Onselen The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released its Australian Demographic Statistics for the December quarter of 2018, which revealed that Australia’s population continues to grow manically led by surging net overseas migration (NOM), mostly into Sydney and Melbourne. According to the ABS, Australia’s population rose by 1.6% in the 2018

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Renewables could power up to 90% of major new manganese project, and show how cheap wind and solar can help Australia compete in refining and value-added products.

With the net debt of Australia’s state governments set to rise sharply in coming years to finance infrastructure projects for Australia’s population ponzi, analysis shows they have almost $220 billion worth of assets that could be privatised. Accordingly, IFM Investors CEO, Brett Himbury, is calling for further asset sales to the nation’s superannuation funds. From

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OZ minerals will use a hybrid solar, wind and battery system to power its Carrapeteena Copper-Gold Mine in an effort to reduce diesel costs.

By Leith van Onselen Statistics New Zealand has released national accounts figures for the March quarter of 2018, with Gross domestic product (GDP) rising by 0.6% over the quarter to be up 2.7% year-on-year. GDP per capita rose by 0.1% over the March quarter and rose by 0.9% year-on-year – the lowest annual GDP per

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This week’s LIVE webinar (12:30pm AEST, Thursday 20th June) – we dive into our take on the current state of the global liquid dinosaur trade. Key short term fundamentals reflection on recent price volatility What are the implications for global growth, markets and interest rates? How do these short term measures play into our longer forecasts? Join

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APRA released quarterly ADI property exposures yesterday. It is a great guide to many things but I use it mostly to track interest only mortgages. The good news is that the interest only mortgage bubble that drove the last leg up in Australian house prices is now massively de-risked. The March quarter saw IO mortgage

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