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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 15:55 Source

The clock is ticking to block Annalena Baerbock’s appointment as President of the 80th United Nations General Assembly.

The UN General Assembly is meant to represent the world’s majority.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:52 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:44 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:00 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:57 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Since the issues facing China’s property sector exploded into mainstream view in 2021, it has been a rollercoaster ride of different perspectives and scenarios on how it will all play out. While the issues faced the Chinese economy have now faded from the headlines, the reality is the risks within the Chinese economy remain significant,

The post China’s economic Titanic about to go under appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:20 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:00 Source

I don’t think gender is relevant to stupidity, but The Australian does. They are the three women ­steering the nation’s economic course, a triumvirate of power not afraid to push back and make tough decisions. …On Tuesday, Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson attended her first RBA board meeting, ­replacing former secretary Steven Kennedy and ­shifting the

The post Lady economists drive economy into a ditch appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Card-carrying China groveler Geoff Raby is like a weathervane of Chinese influence in Australia. His return to the AFR tells us that his tailwind is growing, as we have seen around Albo’s China pivot, and it is safe to re-emerge and argue for a further selling out to Beijing. He doesn’t have much to say

The post Revenge of the China grovellers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:00 Source

When the Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe first began raising interest rates in May 2022, the question in the minds of many commentators and economists was, when will they be cut again? What followed was the largest and swiftest relative rise in interest rates in Australia’s history. But then the Reserve Bank did something that

The post Burnout Economics delivers shock Reserve Bank rate pause appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:00 Source

With the release of the latest national accounts data, it was revealed that Australia’s GDP in per capita terms is once again contracting. Meanwhile, in headline GDP terms, the economy grew by 0.2%, surprising to the downside of the analyst consensus of growth of 0.4%. Australian GDP per capita has now contracted in 9 of

The post The epic failure of Australia’s economic growth strategy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Nice pop in the NAB survey yesterday. However, under the bonnet, it’s exaggerated with construction confidence distorting the survey. Price indicators remain weak. Rate cuts working some magic. Better, but no cigar.

The post Builder confidence pops on rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:00 Source

For that is what they are. AFR. Senior Japanese officials have expressed concern the Albanese government is considering a domestic gas reserve, telling West Australian Premier Roger Cook during a trade visit that their country cannot be a long-term investment partner with Australia if LNG isn’t readily available. …“What they said to us is that

The post Ignore Japanese LNG drama queens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous market is bifurcating as traders wonder about the steel ouput cut. CISA steel output is falling anyway. My view is we are likely to follow the 2023 pattern in H2 as official cuts, steel export falls, and tariffs take their toll. UBS has joined the bears. As the market moves from balance to

The post Iron ore bears gather appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY is trying to push higher. AUD is a bit stalled. Lead boots too. And gold. I don’t know what oil is doing. Perhaps chasing copper as Trump slams the market with a 50% tariff. Nothing can save the big miners. EM rolled. Junk false breakout. As Trump tarifflation is back. Stocks no likee. Yields

The post Australian dollar rally flames out appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:00 Source

We're building on our earlier success getting web developers to pay to change the backslashes in our displayed payment URL to forward slashes.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

After years of failure, the RBA has given up entirely on forecasting and is driving through the rearview mirror. Goldman. In her post-meeting press conference Governor Bullock stressed that the decision to pause the easing cycle was “about timing rather than direction” with the RBA just “looking for further confirmation we are on the forecast

The post Abolish the RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

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The Tally Room Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

You need a quota to win a seat in a Tasmanian House of Assembly election. But in practice no-one polls exactly a quota. In reality, the final seats are decided by partial quotas and the distribution of preferences.

Yet these patterns are not random – parties that poll over a certain vote share are much more likely to win a certain number of seats, and parties that poll below a certain vote share have little chance of winning that last seat. Given a certain vote share, some parties are more likely to win a seat on that vote than others, and those trends have shifted over time.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw Wall Street was uneasy with a lack of confidence and direction as trade “negotiations” continued via threats from the Oval Office, including an early morning barb against Australian exports which will likely see pharmaceutical stocks here locally suffer on the open. Remember to keep all eyes on the US Treasury market with 10

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 08:29 Source

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has dismissed efforts by members of the European Parliament to oust her, branding her critics “conspiracy theorists” and accusing them of acting on behalf of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

 

Von der Leyen blames Russia for no-confidence motionThe EU chief has labeled her critics “conspiracy theorists”

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 08:03 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 07:15 Source

Iran-Russia Defense Pact Rejection:

Iran previously declined a formal defense pact with Russia for religious and strategic reasons—they didn’t want to be obligated to support a war they didn’t endorse.

Instead, the January 17 agreement allows for loose military cooperation, including potential Russian air defense support for Iran.

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 00:02 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 8, 2025 - 22:53 Source

French President Emmanuel Macron began a three-day state visit to Britain on Tuesday, which will see him address parliament and try to rekindle a purportedly warm relationship with King Charles III.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 8, 2025 - 18:45 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 8, 2025 - 17:54 Source

Under President Erdogan, Türkiye has moved away from its earlier identity as a secular, peaceful Cold War ally. Instead, it is now trying to become a strong regional power by following a foreign policy influenced by Islamic values. This question looks at how a country’s image and role are changing in today’s world.

 

The Hindu Op-ed: Erdogan’s neo-Ottoman foreign policy

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 8, 2025 - 16:00 Source

The big surprise in the newsflow is not the Epstein list no longer exists its that the RBA actually held interest rates steady in today’s meeting, launching the Australian dollar higher. The RBA is highlighting the uncertainty of the Trump regime’s tariff tirade as one reason but also domestic concerns play a big point. The

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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