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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 1, 2025 - 00:05 Source

With the end of the month, so too comes the release of the latest housing price data from Cotality (the artist formerly known as Corelogic) and PropTrack. Amidst recent rate cuts in February and May, and the expectation of significantly more to follow, both data providers noted that conditions were increasingly favourable for housing sentiment.

The post The new house price boom begins appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 21:51 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 21:36 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 20:09 Source

Israel is doing a damn fine imitation of Lt. Frank Drebin, a character played by Leslie Nielsen in the 1988 comedy film The Naked Gun: From the Files of Police Squad! In an iconic scene, Lt. Drebin stands in front of a fireworks explosion and chaos while trying to calm the crowd by saying:

“Nothing to see here, please disperse! Nothing to see here!”

 

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 16:30 Source

The start of the new trading week is coinciding with the end of the month and for some, the financial year, which is leading to a lot of window dressing across risk markets in Asia. However Wall Street is riding the wave higher after the Canadians gave in to the public demands of the Trump

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 15:00 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 14:52 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 14:42 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 14:34 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 14:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Livewire with the note. CBA operates in a domestic banking market with limited credit growth in Australia, selling an identical product to that offered by four other competitors (now including Macquarie), all of which have the same cost of production (capital).  This current rally has seen CBA move into the world’s top ten most valuable

The post Pilbara killer also CBA bubble burster appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Three weeks ago, the Chinese government and the Trump administration came to a very rough agreement on trade, tariffs, and the supply of vital materials each side respectively controlled. While the agreement was likely more of a temporary ceasefire in the trade rather than a more meaningful long-term armistice, it was meant to restore the

The post China throttles supplies of vital materials to U.S economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 13:00 Source

This is ridiculous. The White House has again called on Australia to increase its defence spending, and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has again refused to budge. Karoline Leavitt, Donald Trump’s press secretary, said the recent move by NATO member states to raise defence spending to 3.5 per cent of their GDP should be a model for

The post Slash NDIS, boost defence spending appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 12:52 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The gas cartel’s corrupt mouthpiece, the Grattan Institute, is facing more backlash over its idiotic gas ban taken up by an even more stupid Allan government. Thousands of Victorian restaurants are threatening to close their doors for a day to protest the Allan government’s gas reforms, in strike action which would create chaos across the

The post Victoria cooks itself in Grattan Institute corruption appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers loves to pose as a reformer of great reknown but is just another cookie-cut Canberra immigration sodomite. Jim Chalmers has issued a plea for a new era of “collaboration and compromise” from politicians, unions and business ­leaders, ­declaring a generational ­approach from all parties is ­needed to secure economic ­reforms that

The post Aussie chickens gather to hatch productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 11:53 Source

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 11:30 Source

As Australia’s mediocre media cheers another entirely predictable “shock” better than expected budget balance, a glance beyond our nose tells us that something much messier is squeezing down the pipe at speed. First, the good news. Westpac. While expenses are lower than profiled, higher than expected tax revenue drove much of the significant improvement in

The post Aussie bedpan economy about to make a big mess appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 11:08 Source

Australia needs to lift its defence spending so it can be a better ally while pushing back against military actions from China, former prime minister Tony Abbott has urged while expressing hope the economic giant may become the world’s most benign superpower.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 11:00 Source

In recent weeks the issue of AI has been on the Albanese government’s agenda, as the run-up to the government’s “roundtable” on productivity continues. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has thrown his weight behind soft-touch regulation of AI, emphasising that the government’s priority is how it can be used to boost productivity rather than establishing guardrails for

The post AI to decimate Australian jobs by 2030? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 10:30 Source

There’s a nice little head and shoulders bottom on iron ore futures that I hope runs for a bit on the broadening melt-up. If we get anywhere near $100, it will be the short of a lifetime. CISA output has well and truly rolled for the year. The base case is for a steep downside

The post Iron ore joins the melt-up appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

In an article last Monday for the ABC, Patricia Karvelas made the case that demographic shifts in the nation’s electorate would assist Labor in its efforts to tackle the issue of tax reform. “Labor’s timidity may finally be evaporating. The demographic shifts among Australia’s voting base also help Labor.  With Gen Y and Z now

The post Albo and the dwindling power of Australia’s young appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Monday, June 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

It's important for devices to have internet connectivity so the manufacturer can patch remote exploits.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Market Ear with the charts. What a week! “Markets are built to recover, we as humans are built to not trust it”  What a week with NDX up 4%, SPX/RTY +3% while US 10YR eased 10bp. This thanks to a rapidly improving macro backdrop, an increased enthusiasm around AI and light positioning. Any way

The post Stocks only go up appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 30, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Stock markets on Friday night pushed to new highs or tried to return to them on both sides of the Atlantic but risk was hit by another Trump temper tantrum as he failed again to actually negotiating a trade deal, this time with the Canadians, still unable to look up the word “concession” in the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, June 30, 2025 - 06:49 Source

I’ve held off posting this in the hope of coming up with some kind of positive response, but I haven’t got one.

When I wrote back in November 2024 that Trump’s dictatorship was a fait accompi there was still plenty of room for people to disagree. But (with the exception of an announced state of emergency) it’s turned out far worse than I thought possible.

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John Quiggin Monday, June 30, 2025 - 06:38 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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Your Democracy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 06:23 Source

The [UK] government’s plan to ban Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation is a hugely significant step in the steady erosion of civil liberties.

This decline began under Tony Blair’s premiership, was advanced by the last Tory government and is now pursued enthusiastically by Keir Starmer, a former human rights lawyer.

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Your Democracy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 05:44 Source

As the nations bicker, squabble and fight among themselves, their ultimate disintegration becomes more certain and more imminent with each passing day.

Enthralled by the spectacle of leaders of paralysing stupidity disgorging lies, bombs and bombast ad lib, many people seem to have forgotten or chosen to overlook the real monster that is creeping up behind them, sharpening its claws to bring down the entire civilisation.

 

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Your Democracy Monday, June 30, 2025 - 05:30 Source

Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, one of the lead sponsors of the sanctions bill, stated earlier that the legislation would impose "bone-breaking sanctions" on Russia and its customers.

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