MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 13:00
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Peter Cook, cross-posted from Pearls & Irritations. If ecological sustainability must be the basis for population policy, as argued by Jenny Goldie, then a vital ingredient for sustainability is water – the essence of life. If population policy requires identifying a desirable population size for Australia in the future, we must consider whether there will be enough The post Water is a vital part of population policy appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 12:30
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For a short while, anyway, Goldman. Both IMF and Elane (a Chinese shipping data company) provide vessel traffic data categorized by ship type. The IMF has developed a sophisticated algorithm to project export and import volume for major ports in China. While they generate daily series,the data is published weekly with a one-week lag. Elane The post Chinese exports crater (sort of) appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 12:00
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This comes straight from the annals of the Department of Redundancy Department. Via Bloomberg: Australia’s Productivity Commission has identified 15 priority reforms to examine in the course of five inquiries it’s conducting for the government to try to boost economic efficiency and raise living standards. The five inquiries being conducted are: Creating a dynamic and resilient economy |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 11:30
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You can’t keep a good Titanic up, and there’s no better example than Chinese property, which continues to sink despite Beijing’s next efforts. The price hole ripped into her side is still sucking in water. The iceberg of too high real interest rates is slowly melting, but why buy either of the below when you The post Chinese property keeps on sinking appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
The Tally Room
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 11:23
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For today’s booth map of the day I’ve gone to Calwell, the most complex seat of 2025. This booth map shows the primary vote for Labor, Liberal and the two leading independents, and swings for Labor and Liberal. The major parties lost primary votes pretty much all over the seat. The biggest swings, but also the biggest primary votes for the two independents, appear to be in the geographic middle of the seat, although you’d probably describe it as the north of the seat when factoring in how the outer north of the seat doesn’t have that many booths. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 11:00
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China (31.5% in 2023) and India (8.1% share in 2023) are driving the growth in global carbon emissions. The reason is simple: both have an insatiable appetite for coal. The following chart from Oxford Economics on electricity generation sources tells the tale. While the developed world has weaned itself off coal over the past decade, The post China, India double-down on coal appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 10:30
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The Market Ear wraps us up. Fade the rip? “…one of our contrarian trading rules…when >88% of MSCI global stock indices trading above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages then you sell, and vice-versa; currently 84% of MSCI indices trading above 50dma/200dma”…global stock markets v close to “overbought”…good “fade-the-rip” reminder” (Hartnett) Teflon tech NASDAQ at The post BTFD returns appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 10:09
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MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 10:00
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Steel is showing the tariff strain. We are entering the year’s weakest seasonal period so iron ore ought to follow. Chinese property is weak. Export volumes have held up. But is it all diversion. Sooner or later, the crashed prices needed to muscle into new markets will flow back up the supply chain. Steel demand The post Iron ore shows the tariff strain appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 10:00
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MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 09:30
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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) published data last month revealing that Victorians pay the highest state and local taxes in the country. Victorian state and local government taxes were $6,348 per capita in 2023-24, $654 (11.5%) higher than the state and territory average. Victoria also saw a 40.5% increase in state and local government The post Victoria careens into financial Armageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 09:00
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Risk markets seem to have concluded that the Trump Tariff Tax Trade Tiff is nearly over, and everything will go back to being normal, even though almost all the macroeconomic indicators suggest otherwise as the US economy slows down as stagflation rears its ugly head. The Trump regime ability to goose the stock market back The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 08:21
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MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 08:00
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According to Cotality (formerly CoreLogic), Australian rental affordability has never been worse, with tenants required to sacrifice a record share of their income to rent the median home. This decline in affordability follows a circa 50% increase in asking rents since the pandemic. Last week, leading apartment developer Tim Gurner warned that Australia’s rental crisis The post Australia’s rental crisis is permanent appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 07:56
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MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 00:05
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The construction sector has experienced the nation’s highest rate of insolvencies, with 2,795 firms failing this financial year, up 24% on 2024. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, construction sector insolvencies are tracking at around double the pre-pandemic norm: Mirvac CEO Campbell Hanan warned that the failure of around 7,000 builders and The post High costs bleed Aussie home builders appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, May 19, 2025 - 00:03
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DXY continues its rebound as the world restocks US assets. AUD is holding support. Lead boots too. Gold look very shaky. Thankfully, so does oil. Metals are nervous about growth. Miners meh. EM is shit. But non-China EM is worth a look. Junk’s got some spunk. Yields are a pest. Any higher and the rally The post Australian dollar the world’s most hated currency appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
The Tally Room
Sunday, May 18, 2025 - 13:29
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There’s been a lot of discussion in the last few days about the merit of Australia’s electoral system. In response to some conservative attacks on our preferential system, sometimes implicitly or explicitly suggesting a first-past-the-post system would be somehow more legitimate. |
Renew Economy
Sunday, May 18, 2025 - 11:00
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Club Troppo
Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 18:16
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Renew Economy
Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 11:42
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Renew Economy
Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 09:27
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MacroBusiness
Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 00:15
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The latest data suggests that momentum in the housing market has softened as buyers await further interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). This week’s mortgage finance data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed that the value of new housing lending declined by 1.6% in the March quarter, taking the annual The post Bulls circle Australian property appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Saturday, May 17, 2025 - 00:05
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International Reading: DOGE worker admits the government works fine and was hoping for more easy wins. – Futurism What has Elon Musk’s Doge actually achieved? – FT Mike Johnson Argues Congress Needs Stock Trading to ‘Support Their Families’ Due to ‘Frozen’ Salaries – Latin Times GOP civil war breaks out over Medicaid as right calls The post Weekend reading and media releases appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
George Monbiot
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 22:46
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Keir Starmer’s attack on our planning system is an almost-perfect repeat of Boris Johnson’s disaster. Why can’t he see that? By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 15th May 2025 The precedent is uncanny, and the failure to learn from it downright mystifying. Keir Starmer is rushing gladly towards the catastrophe Boris Johnson inflicted on himself in 2020. Had he set out to stymie Labour’s chances of re-election, he couldn’t be doing it better. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 16:57
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AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225 The post Macro Afternoon: 16 May 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:32
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Renew Economy
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:28
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Renew Economy
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:22
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Renew Economy
Friday, May 16, 2025 - 15:15
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