Over the next few days I will be posting about a number of the most interesting seats in the NSW election, including a breakdown of the seat’s results by sub-area, and maps of booth results. The first seat today is Lismore.
Lismore has been the most captivating seat so far in the election, with a large swing to the Greens and Labor putting the Greens in with a chance of winning a Nationals seat that was held with a margin of well over 20%.
In Lismore, I’ve changed my estimated preference flows based on fresh information from scrutineers suggesting the Greens are not picking up quite enough Labor preferences to win. Having said that, this is still a projection and the Lismore result is still unclear.
In East Hills, the Liberal Party has solidified their lead, and look set to win the seat.
I’ll be posting a ‘late counting’ summary post at the end of each day.
At the moment there are five seats which are worth tracking. Three are close races between Labor and Liberal: East Hills in southern Sydney, and Gosford and the Entrance on the central coast. The other two are National/Greens races in northern NSW: Lismore and Ballina.