It’s been a relatively good finish to the trading week here in Asia despite epic overseas volatility with stock markets putting scratch sessions or slightly higher closes. The currency and bond markets are poised for tonight’s US unemployment print, the result of which hinges on the Fed’s next interest rate move. The Shanghai Composite has escaped
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I still have a third hypothetical bet open with Bill Evans that the next move in rates is down (having won the first two, not that he knows about it). I reckon the RBA will be cutting by June 2019. It would be earlier if not for the elections.
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There’s a locust plague at News: Buyer’s agent Nick Viner believes now is the time to buy in Sydney and Melbourne, with many discounted premium properties available with minimal competition. “This environment is the absolute perfect time to buy because you’ve got more time to consider your options and there’s more choice in terms of
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From our Chris today: To APRA’s immense credit, it has managed to pull off a minor miracle: bursting the bubble during the boom. Debelle has previously noted that there was no evidence of a wealth effect, or positive feedback loop into consumption, during the upswing when Melbourne and Sydney house prices surged 50 per cent
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Via Argues: Brazil’s Samarco mine is likely to restart in early 2020, bringing a major source of high-grade iron ore back into the market, mining company Vale’s chief executive Fabio Schvartsman said today. “The worst part seems to be behind us,” Schvartsman said of the process to bring Samarco back on line after a fatal
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New lows for the great ponzi scam: Doomed! For more try our podcast this week Erik Tonwsend, crypo doyen:
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Via the AFR: As Sydney and Melbourne house prices continue to fall, Mr Shorten signalled that an originally planned July 1, 2019 start date could be deferred until 2020. He said Labor remained committed to its three-year policy of reforming negative gearing to make the system fairer for first-home buyers against investors who now receive
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AUD is still struggling through the morning: Bonds are paring gains but yields are now trending down nicely. More to come: ASX is hanging on at the cliff’s edge: Dalian has opened with a minor bid: Big Iron likewise: Big Gas is hopeful of an OPEC rescue. I am not: Big Gold has a Fed
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By Leith van Onselen The latest Roy Morgan Research (RMR) unemployment estimate for October remained unchanged at 9.4% but fell 0.3% over the year: Below are the key points from the release: Australian unemployment is 9.5% (down 0.3%) and under-employment is 7.7% (down 0.7%) are both down on a year ago driving a 1% fall
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Via Calculated Risk: On Friday at 8:30 AM ET, the BLS will release the employment report for November. The consensus is for an increase of 190,000 non-farm payroll jobs in November (with a range of estimates between 140,000 to 220,000), and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.7%. Last month, the BLS reported
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