Not that it is gospel or anything but not completely useless either: The Department of Jobs and Small Business’ Monthly Leading Indicator of Employment (the Indicator) has fallen for the twelfth consecutive month in April 2019, following a rise of eight consecutive months. The Indicator’s decline this month is due to falls in the US
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From Capital Economics this time: • China’s economy stabilised in Q1 thanks to a marked improvement in activity last month. Admittedly, the latest surge in industrial production is hard to take at face value and is likely to be partially reversed in the coming months. And some downside risks to broader growth remain. But the
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Global Macro / Markets / Investing: Plummeting battery prices to make electric cars cheaper than gas cars in 3 years – Think Progress Price of Gold Fundamental Daily Forecast – Lower for the Year, Vulnerable to Steep $15 – $20 Break – FX Empire Middle class struggles are now threatening the global economy –
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Mixed conditions across Asian stocks markets today with Chinese markets absorbing the trifecta of economic prints without much fuss while Japanese bourses advanced on a selloff in Yen. The Australian dollar still wants to move higher almost breaking through 72 cents and a new weekly high. The Shanghai Composite has floated along to close only a handful
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Yesterday we heard from Grattan: …there have been a notable absence of savings measures in the past two budgets, other than the now almost obligatory measures to extract more efficiencies from the welfare budget. Budget consolidation has mainly been a revenue story. Revenues have increased by a full 2 per cent of GDP since 2013-14.
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It never rains but it pours, via the AFR: The Tax Office is ramping up audits of taxpayers with rental deductions after finding nine in 10 claims contained errors. The ATO audited 1500 taxpayers with rental claims and applied penalties totalling $1.3 million in 2017-18, but expects to carry out 4500 audits this tax time.
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By Leith van Onselen Shadow industry minister Kim Carr has flagged the possibility of imposing temporary import quotas on certain products if it wins the federal election, in order to prevent low-cost imports from flooding the domestic market. Carr has also expressed concern that the Trump administration’s tariffs on steel and aluminium imports could eventually
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The AUD is off and running, bursting above 0.72 for the first time in two months: Bonds are selling too: XJO does not like it: Dalian is hit by Brucutu: So is Big Iron. If this gets going it could be a decent buy: Big Oil is serene in the face of growing political risk:
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By Leith van Onselen The Australian reports that the proportion of investors who are aged 60-plus rose from around 15% to about 23.5% between 2000 and 2017, whereas the number of negatively geared investors also surged from 631,000 to about 1.3 million over the same period: The statistics show that between 2000 and 2017, the
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Chinese data for March is out and is, as always, eye-popping. GDP slowed markedly in the quarter 1.4% though annual held up at 6.3%: Under the bonnet it starts to get stupid. Industrial production rocketed to 8.5% as the trade war crushed output. That’s just a plain lie in my book but we can’t have
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