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Articles from MacroBusiness

Macro Afternoon

March 28, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian stock markets are having a poor finish to the trading week with most markets down amid noise around more Trump tariff nonsense, while the latest Japanese inflation figures sent local stocks sharply lower. The USD is lifting slightly against the major currency pairs, particularly Euro while the Australian dollar was pushed back below the

A new gas shock builds in Europe

March 28, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Progress towards peace in Ukraine is slow to the point of being imperceptible.  Worse, European gas inventories are sharply depleted after a cold winter. ANZ. Europe faces challenges restocking its stores of liquid natural gas following sharp drawdowns over winter. This is likely to increase pressure on the global LNG market. Increasingly tight supplies resulted

Australians would be wealthier with a smaller population

March 28, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

The “Stats Guy” Simon Kuestenmacher, is a renowned immigration lobbyist. For years, he has pumped out propaganda supporting a Big Australia. Last year, Kuestenmacher seemingly experienced a Damascus moment, recognising that Australia’s business model is fundamentally flawed and harming the middle class: The Atlas of Economic Complexity, produced by the Growth Lab at Harvard University,

Chinese stocks are the new widowmaker

March 28, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Goldman says China is back. 1.China is back on the radar, at least in terms of investor interest; 2.We expect more fundamental upside for Chinese stocks after ~20% gains ytd, but reiterate our tactical view that the bull run may slow on event risks and profit-taking pressures; 3.Equity investors seem relaxed about US tariff concerns,

NDIS black hole fuels job boom

March 28, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Tuesday’s federal budget revealed that the cost of the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) will reach $50.8 billion next financial year, surpassing the $51 billion allocated to the defence budget. While the NDIS has created a significant financial burden on the federal budget, it is mainly responsible for driving Australia’s job growth and maintaining the unemployment

The iron ore jaws remain wide

March 28, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

The jaws remain wide. There is good news in steel output. Hot metal production in March increased by 56,700 tons to 2.3626 million tons month-on-month. This is well above last year for the time being. However, it is coming on the top of a very slow January and February. Worldsteel. World crude steel production for

Australia’s wealth is a mirage

March 28, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

I reported this week on how the nation’s residential housing stock reached a record $11,032.2 billion at the end of 2024, with the average dwelling valued at $976,800. The average dwelling value of nearly one million dollars has created a nation of paper millionaires. It is also a key reason why Australian households are ranked among

Don’t trust the budget’s migration numbers

March 28, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Recall that Tuesday’s federal budget forecast a significant slowing of net overseas migration over the forward estimates. Net overseas migration is projected to slow to 335,000 this financial year, then to 260,000 in 2025-26, and 225,000 in 2026-27. As a result, Australia’s population growth forecasts have also been downgraded. Australia’s population is projected to grow

Australian dollar tied to stocks

March 28, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

DXY faded. AUD was stable. Lead boots are heavy. Gold is melting up. Oil is a pest. Alwyas sell copper before Goldman does. Miners meh. Em meh. More junk stress please! Curve steepened, though. Stocks fell. US pending home sales were dreadful again, while initial unemployment claims are showing no sign of DOGE damage outside

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