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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are mainly stepping back in response to the falls overnight on Wall Street but more so on the burgeoning bond troubles as the US fiscal position looks to go into permanent deficit decline with the imminent passing of the Trump regime’s “tax” aka wealth redistribution billr. In currency markets, the USD

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 15:01 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:53 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:38 Source

Banana Range and Dawson wind farm EDF

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 14:17 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:48 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Recent polling by SEC Newgate Australia suggested that Victorians do not consider the $200 billion Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) a high-priority project. The SRL is the state’s largest-ever infrastructure project. Yet, it was barely mentioned in Victorian Treasurer Jaclyn Symes budget speech on Tuesday. The only mention of the SRL was the following spin: “The

The post Victorian government spins Suburban Rail Loop lies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market on the return of bad. Pausing SPX reversed right on the huge 6k resistance. First bigger support at 5800. Note the slightly negative RSI divergence. Source: LSEG Workspace Risk love Global Equity Risk-Love jumps to the neutral zone from the Panic levels witnessed in April. BofA writes: “Washed-out sentiment, followed by marked improvement

The post The Liz Truss market returns appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Via S&P. A Trump dump we might call it. Nothing too serious yet, but it’s hardly an economy running on all cylinders. 

The post Aussie flash PMI into the bog appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:05 Source

Join us in this week’s investment podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, and Chief Economist, Leith van Onselen, discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate cut and explore its impact on residential housing and the broader economy. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up on the content via Podcasts or our recorded Videos.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Here is the PC’s recipe to lift Aussie living standards. There is nothing, and I mean NOTHING, on that list to move the needle on productivity. It is all microeconomic waffle that is already underway or useless. Here’s what you do instead. Slash immigration to zero to force up wages, investment, and debottleneck infrastructure plus

The post Sack Danielle Wood to lift productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The financial destruction of the State of Victoria over the past decade is astonishing. In the Labor government’s first state budget in 2015, Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion. It has since climbed to $155.5 billion and is projected over the budget forward estimates to hit $194 billion by 2028-29. Victorian net debt per

The post A decade of budget negligence appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 11:04 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The federal government recently used its submission to the Fair Work Commission’s (FWC) annual wage review to call for an “economically sustainable” increase in the minimum wage. FWC president Justice Adam Hatcher has asked the Treasury whether wage growth forecasts of 3.1% to 3.25% in 2025-26 would be consistent with inflation staying within the Reserve

The post Lift wages to boost productivity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY no bueno. AUD bueno. Lead boots going nowhere. Gold bueno. Metals no bueno. Miners no bueno. EM no bueno. Junk no bueno. Yields very no bueno. Stocks no bueno. Here’s the issue. The Trump administration has no credibility with markets after the tariff debacle. Now it is going to unleash its tax cut bill

The post Australian dollar bulls charge back appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 10:00 Source

I have often argued that the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) reported $51 billion of education exports is exaggerated and grossly overstates the benefits of international students to the Australian economy. The ABS calculates this remarkable export figure using “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of total expenditure

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 09:45 Source
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The Tally Room Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Next up on booth map of the day, I’m looking at two seats that were previously considered safe Labor seats, but were very narrowly retained against independent challengers: Bean in southern Canberra and Fremantle in Western Australia.

For each map I’ve shown the Labor vs Independent 2CP map (but no 2CP swing map), primary vote maps for the independent, Labor and Liberal, and primary vote swing maps for Labor and Liberal.

First, to Bean, where Jessie Price currently trails Labor’s David Smith by 599 votes, achieving 49.7% of the 2CP vote after a primary vote of 26.4%.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Its all about bonds overnight with the Japanese selloff extending to US sovereign debt as the latest Trump “Tax” Deal (aka blowing out the deficit forever) and a weak 20 year auction saw yields rise to new heights across the curve. This led to a selloff on Wall Street and is ringing alarm bells across

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 08:00 Source

RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s media appearance this week was viewed as a victory lap in the fight against inflation. Bullock admitted that the RBA board had considered cutting the official cash rate by 0.5% at its Tuesday meeting, but “it wasn’t the strongest argument in the room”. She also suggested that the RBA was less worried

The post Aussie house prices are tipped to boom! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 22, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Nobody believed that the federal government’s target to build 1.2 million homes over five years was realistic. The highest single year of construction in Australia’s history was 225,500 in 2017, 6% below the annual target of 240,000 homes a year. As shown above, new housing supply is tracking near decade lows, with only 177,000 new

The post Government forecasts permanent housing shortage appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 17:17 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 17:17 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are building positive momentum despite the flat sessions on Wall Street overnight although all eyes are on Japan as their longer dated bond yields spike again while the fiscal situation in the US is deteriorating the Trump regime continues to ram through its wealth redistribution tax bill that will enshrine trillion

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 16:29 Source

In memory of the great George Wendt, I went looking for great Norm moments from Cheers.

He’s hardly in this one, but he makes it work.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 15:14 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 15:13 Source

sun cable 5b solar northern territory optimised

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 14:02 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 14:02 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 13:53 Source
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