Blogotariat

You need a quota to win a seat in a Tasmanian House of Assembly election. But in practice no-one polls exactly a quota. In reality, the final seats are decided by partial quotas and the distribution of preferences.

Yet these patterns are not random – parties that poll over a certain vote share are much more likely to win a certain number of seats, and parties that poll below a certain vote share have little chance of winning that last seat. Given a certain vote share, some parties are more likely to win a seat on that vote than others, and those trends have shifted over time.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has dismissed efforts by members of the European Parliament to oust her, branding her critics “conspiracy theorists” and accusing them of acting on behalf of Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Von der Leyen blames Russia for no-confidence motionThe EU chief has labeled her critics “conspiracy theorists”

Iran-Russia Defense Pact Rejection:

Iran previously declined a formal defense pact with Russia for religious and strategic reasons—they didn’t want to be obligated to support a war they didn’t endorse.

Instead, the January 17 agreement allows for loose military cooperation, including potential Russian air defense support for Iran.

French President Emmanuel Macron began a three-day state visit to Britain on Tuesday, which will see him address parliament and try to rekindle a purportedly warm relationship with King Charles III.

Under President Erdogan, Türkiye has moved away from its earlier identity as a secular, peaceful Cold War ally. Instead, it is now trying to become a strong regional power by following a foreign policy influenced by Islamic values. This question looks at how a country’s image and role are changing in today’s world.

The Hindu Op-ed: Erdogan’s neo-Ottoman foreign policy

Jesus, what a pack of nupties. Maintaining price stability and full employment is the priority. The Board continues to judge that the risks to inflation have become more balanced and the labour market remains strong. Nevertheless it remains cautious about the outlook, particularly given the heightened level of uncertainty about both aggregate demand and supply.

The post Lunatic RBA refuses to cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Victoria has issued new visualisations of what offshore wind turbines in its Gippsland offshore wind zone might look like to the naked eye, and there isn't much to see.

Morgan Stanley with the note. The headlines have already started to trickle in: Canada repeals digital services tax, Vietnam agreement secured, EU on track. These seem like the previews before the movie starts – but what are we actually watching? Many of our conversations with clients point to July 8/9 as a catalyst for risk.

The post What now for tariffs? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

When it comes to economic statistics, few are as hotly contested as government employment data. Issues such as survey response rates, one hour of work per week counting as being employed and the likelihood of significant later revisions are often cited as potential distortions to the “true” picture of the nation’s labour market. For this

The post Aussie dole queue booms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

In recent years, the hard reality of the economic, social and fiscal situation of Britain have gradually come to the forefront. Some examples have been surprisingly humorous, such as the livestream of a lettuce that ended up outliving the government of Conservative Prime Minister Liz Truss. Others have been cold and concrete, such as the

The post Britain’s dark days are Australia’s Future appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Melbourne innovator says new electrolyer platform can lower costs, is easily paired with wind and solar, and operate during brief windows of low or negative energy prices.

The Market Ear on equities. Approaching neutral “This week, positioning has continued to rise and is approaching neutral but is still a little shy of it (-0.14sd, 35th percentile)” Source: Deutsche Bank Far from max long Goldman’s Wilson sums it up: “…on our latest estimates CTAs would have another $95b of US equities to buy

The post Maxed out and underweight appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Because, increasingly, you will have neither. Ahead of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s upcoming trip to China, Sussan Ley said Australia should be wary of the expansion of an existing free trade agreement to include artificial intelligence and the digital economy. In an opinion piece in the Financial Review, China’s ambassador to Australia, Xiao Qian, urged

The post Do you want multiculturalism or democracy? appeared first on MacroBusiness.