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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 14:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 14:41 Source

As widely expected by financial markets and economists, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25% to 3.85%. In coming to its decision, the statement noted that “inflation continues to moderate”, with “annual trimmed mean inflation (2.9%) was below 3% for the first time since 2021 and headline inflation

The post RBA cuts by 0.25%. Remains coy on forward guidance. appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has not ruled out extending the federal government’s $6.8 billion energy rebates again. It was originally meant to expire in mid-2025, but has been extended for another six months. “From budget to budget, we see if we can do more”, Chalmers has said. Some members of Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Economic ­Inclusion

The post Australia faces energy inflation shock appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:43 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:37 Source

Nationals Senate Leader Bridget McKenzie, Newly elected Nationals leader David Littleproud and newly elected Nationals Deputy Leader Perin Davey.</body></html>

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Steel sagged while iron ore firmed. April output for steel fell back to earth. But it is still largely EAF that is pancaked, protecting iron ore. The property bust absorbs more long steel which was EAF focused. China is never going decarbonise steel at this rate.

The post Property crash saves iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:02 Source

SMA solar farm

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Australia faces an extended period of Labor Party rule following the collapse of the federal Coalition. National’s leader David Littleproud today announced that the party has separated from the Liberal Party for the upcoming federal election. Littleproud said that he and incoming Liberal leader Sussan Ley tried unsuccessfully to reach an agreement: “This morning after

The post The Coalition collapses appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 12:30 Source

DXY sagged as stocks came off. AUD up. The trend is intact. Lead boots give you wings. Is gold setting up for another run? Metals growth no bueno. Miners meh. EM meh. Junk OK. Yield relief. Stocks BTFD. When the risk bid comes, AUD is the world’s most loved currency. This is the complete opposite

The post Australian dollar world’s most loved currency appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 12:00 Source

First it was China, now it is Japan. IEEFA. As both Eastern and Western Australia face gas shortfalls, Japan is onselling vast volumes of Australian LNG at a handsome profit. In-depth analysis of LNG shipment and contract data shows Japanese companies are lucratively onselling about half as much as they import from Australia. Last year

The post Japan rorts Aussie gas to death appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 11:30 Source

When a market is rising with so few participants, BTFD gets very strong. The Market Ear.  Breaking Good US mega-cap tech has broken its 5-month downtrend. Let’s have a look at all things going for the super-sector (and some things that are not). Source: Bloomberg Convincingly The ratio of NDX over RTY convincingly took out

The post BTFDWBH appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Q4 national accounts, released in March, revealed that Australians finally emerged from their two-year recession after recording positive per capita GDP growth of 0.1%. The latest OECD Economic Outlook interim report predicts only 1.9% aggregate GDP growth in 2025 and 1.8% growth in 2026, suggesting that Australia will remain in the slow lane. As

The post Australia’s economy is stuck in the emergency lane appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 10:30 Source

There is no end in sight for the Chinese property bust as prices keep falling. Starts keep on falling. It’s the bad, the worse , and the ugly. Indeed, there is so far to fall given the inventory of unsold, incomplete, and holes in the ground that the downside remains epic. -17% completions are not

The post Nothing can save the Chinese property Titanic appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 10:09 Source

For today I’ve got two maps, covering five seats in mid-suburban Sydney. While these seats are adjacent to each other, I’m keeping them as separate maps because the dynamics in these seats are different. The first map shows Bennelong, Parramatta and Reid. The second map shows the “Muslim seats” of Blaxland and Watson.

First, heading to Bennelong, Parramatta and Reid, these seats showed enormous and consistent swings on the two-party-preferred vote from Liberal to Labor, with almost every booth in the three seats swinging to Labor.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Australia’s labour market has shown remarkable resilience. Last week’s April labour force release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported strong (89,000) employment growth, well above the consensus forecast of 22,500. Trend job growth also increased slightly, with 26,300 jobs created over the month. The unemployment rate was steady at 4.1% due to a

The post Australia’s job market slowly bleeds out appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Uncertainty seems to be returning to risk markets if you look beyond the headline stock indices with the Moody rating cut still reverberating amid geopolitical concerns over Russia, Gaza and the impending hurt from the Trump tariffs. US sovereign debt concerns were on the mind of more than one overnight Fed speaker and while the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 08:15 Source

The SMH’s Jenna Price lamented that “Australia is in desperate need of tens of thousands of tradies over the next five years” and that “job snobbery” is worsening labour shortages: Forty years ago, experts told us the shortage of tradespeople would only be temporary. In April 1999, when thousands of roofs in Sydney were destroyed

The post Labor’s university reforms de-skill Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Melbourne’s housing market has experienced the lowest value growth since the beginning of the pandemic. Between March 2020 and April 2025, Melbourne dwelling values grew by 16.2%, versus 43.3% growth across the combined capital cities. As a result, Melbourne’s median dwelling value ($781,000) is the second cheapest out of the five major capital cities, just

The post Buyers line up for Melbourne property appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Monday, May 19, 2025 - 22:50 Source

Neoliberal economics began when a group of economists (Friedrich Hayek, Milton Friedman, Ludwig von Mises, Frank Knight) met at the Swiss resort of Mont Pèlerin to draft what they hoped would become the dominant economic model. Their model was inspired by the pro-market writings of classical economic liberals such as Adam Smith (1723-1790) and David Ricardo (1772-1823). While they said they were pushing back against the state totalitarianism of communism embodied by the increasing influence of the USSR, their neoliberalism morphed into market fundamentalism1.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 17:31 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 17:24 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, May 19, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are reacting with some trepidation after the Friday night cut by ratings agency Moody on US debt, with all stocks in the red with US Treasury futures also falling. This is all about the burgeoning fiscal deficit problem in the US Congress which is trying again to vote on the Trump

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Monday, May 19, 2025 - 16:11 Source

The two-candidate-preferred count in Bradfield has finished, with teal independent Nicolette Boele finally taking the lead right at the end, thanks to a very strong batch of postal votes and also a favourable batch of pre-poll ballots.

The AEC website says that there are 59 votes outstanding, but I have been informed by the AEC media team that these ballots can only be counted for the Senate, not the House, and so the House count has finished.

Nicolette Boele now leads by 40 votes, or a margin of 0.02%. Any seat with a margin of 100 votes or less is automatically subject to a recount.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 15:04 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 15:01 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, May 19, 2025 - 15:00 Source

Got this story from Jason, who got it from Vice. I think this is what happens when you watch too many boxing roo videos on YouTube:

52-year-old Eric Slate died after he fought a kangaroo at a children’s petting zoo in Horry County, South Carolina.

According to officials, Slate died from “multiple blunt force injuries” after entering an enclosure at 5 Star Farms. Slate is the brother of the zoo’s owner, Robert Slate. Eric regularly entered the kangaroo’s enclosure so he could “roughhouse” with a kangaroo named Jack.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, May 19, 2025 - 14:14 Source

Ace Power narrogin solar and bess

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MacroBusiness Monday, May 19, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Gareth Aird, head of Australian economics at CBA, notes that markets have priced a 95% probability of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cutting the official cash rate by 0.25% at Tuesday’s monetary policy meeting. “Both the Q1 25 trimmed mean CPI and the Q1 25 wage price index printed right in line with the

The post Green light for 0.25% rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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