MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 14:00
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Wednesday’s monthly inflation gauge from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that housing inflation is falling fast, helping to lower trimmed mean inflation. The annual CPI rental inflation rate declined to 5.5% in February 2025. This was down from the August 2023 peak of 7.8% and the lowest reading since March 2023: New dwelling The post Aussie housing inflation continues to fall appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 13:30
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Progress towards peace in Ukraine is slow to the point of being imperceptible. Worse, European gas inventories are sharply depleted after a cold winter. ANZ. Europe faces challenges restocking its stores of liquid natural gas following sharp drawdowns over winter. This is likely to increase pressure on the global LNG market. Increasingly tight supplies resulted The post A new gas shock builds in Europe appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 13:26
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MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 13:00
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The “Stats Guy” Simon Kuestenmacher, is a renowned immigration lobbyist. For years, he has pumped out propaganda supporting a Big Australia. Last year, Kuestenmacher seemingly experienced a Damascus moment, recognising that Australia’s business model is fundamentally flawed and harming the middle class: The Atlas of Economic Complexity, produced by the Growth Lab at Harvard University, |
Renew Economy
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 12:43
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MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 12:30
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Goldman says China is back. 1.China is back on the radar, at least in terms of investor interest; 2.We expect more fundamental upside for Chinese stocks after ~20% gains ytd, but reiterate our tactical view that the bull run may slow on event risks and profit-taking pressures; 3.Equity investors seem relaxed about US tariff concerns, The post Chinese stocks are the new widowmaker appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 12:29
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MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 12:00
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Tuesday’s federal budget revealed that the cost of the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) will reach $50.8 billion next financial year, surpassing the $51 billion allocated to the defence budget. While the NDIS has created a significant financial burden on the federal budget, it is mainly responsible for driving Australia’s job growth and maintaining the unemployment The post NDIS black hole fuels job boom appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 11:30
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The jaws remain wide. There is good news in steel output. Hot metal production in March increased by 56,700 tons to 2.3626 million tons month-on-month. This is well above last year for the time being. However, it is coming on the top of a very slow January and February. Worldsteel. World crude steel production for The post The iron ore jaws remain wide appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
THE BLOT REPORT
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 11:20
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QAnon is a multifarious conspiracy theory originating in forum posts on the far right wing website ‘4chan’ in October 2017. Adherents to this idiocy believed that then US president Donald Trump was waging a secret war against those running the world, and in the US, the ‘deep state’1.This conspiracy theory had, at its core, lurid claims that an elite cabal of child-trafficking paedophiles, comprising, among others, Hollywood A-listers, leading philanthropists, Jewish financiers and Democrat politicians, covertly rule the world2. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 11:00
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I reported this week on how the nation’s residential housing stock reached a record $11,032.2 billion at the end of 2024, with the average dwelling valued at $976,800. The average dwelling value of nearly one million dollars has created a nation of paper millionaires. It is also a key reason why Australian households are ranked among The post Australia’s wealth is a mirage appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 11:00
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MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 10:30
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Recall that Tuesday’s federal budget forecast a significant slowing of net overseas migration over the forward estimates. Net overseas migration is projected to slow to 335,000 this financial year, then to 260,000 in 2025-26, and 225,000 in 2026-27. As a result, Australia’s population growth forecasts have also been downgraded. Australia’s population is projected to grow The post Don’t trust the budget’s migration numbers appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 10:00
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DXY faded. AUD was stable. Lead boots are heavy. Gold is melting up. Oil is a pest. Alwyas sell copper before Goldman does. Miners meh. Em meh. More junk stress please! Curve steepened, though. Stocks fell. US pending home sales were dreadful again, while initial unemployment claims are showing no sign of DOGE damage outside The post Australian dollar tied to stocks appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 09:30
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The ACCC is in panic mode about the gas shortage. We forecast a shortfall of 9 PJ in the east coast market over July-September 2025 (quarter 3) if LNG producers export all their uncontracted gas, and a surplus of 6 PJ if they only export their anticipated spot sales. This is a 22 PJ decline The post Dutton’s gas plan is a Bobby Dazzler appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 09:00
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More tariff fallouts overnight as the April 2 deadline looms with Trump whining about Canadian-EU collaboration in the latest round of threats, while stocks put in slight selloffs amid the low volatility reactions. The USD pulled back ever so slightly against Euro and Pound Sterling but remains firm against Yen while the Australian dollar was The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 07:00
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CBA head of Australian economics, Gareth Aird, has explained why he believes the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut the official cash rate at its May monetary meeting. Aird noted that “the recent run of domestic data has on balance been a little softer than the RBA forecasts imply”. The softer readings include the The post RBA readies May rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 06:54
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Renew Economy
Friday, March 28, 2025 - 06:23
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 22:35
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I was wrong to have written off Peter Dutton and the Coalition. On Thursday night, Dutton gave his budget reply speech. And while there were some minor things I disagreed with, I believe he got the biggest policy issues right. Below are the announcements I liked, followed by those I didn’t. Liked alot: East Coast The post Why I am voting for Peter Dutton appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 18:27
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One could say the purpose of Nature on planet Earth is to create more of itself in various formats in given conditional environments. In order to achieve optimum survival, many of the species in nature develop defence against other species to avoid annihilation, as life needs to acquire (steal) proteins from another being — from the smallest to the biggest, relative “food chain”. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 17:51
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 17:30
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Noise around the latest tariff tirade from Trump, this time on cars from – well everywhere – has not really affected Asian stock markets that much relatively speaking as regional concerns outweigh the dummy spitting from the White House. The USD is lifting slightly against the major currency pairs, particularly Euro while the Australian dollar The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 15:32
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Your Democracy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 15:20
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The center-right and center-left parties seeking to form Germany's new government have said they will invest "whatever it takes" in Germany's defenses. That could include modernizing the Bundeswehr on a massive scale. But what would that mean in detail? |
Renew Economy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 15:20
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Renew Economy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 15:03
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 14:00
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Goldman has pumped copper and is now turning. A key signal that the top is near. The US looks set to announce copper import tariffs in the coming weeks, according to apress report. This would shorten the timeline for tariffs, which we were expecting between September and November. What is the impact on physical market The post Sell copper, buy gold appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 13:30
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Let us recall the spectacle of Raja Albo dining with his fellow lords of Indian immigration over a damn good curry and discussions about how to gut the Australian border. Perhaps the suspected baksheesh was insufficient, or the Rajas underestimated Albo’s nature because, today, it is reported the man behind the party is not doing The post Albo’s immigration Raja crashes and burns appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, March 27, 2025 - 13:29
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