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Articles from MacroBusiness

All Australians will pay for Victoria’s SRL train to nowhere

November 18, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Virtually all infrastructure experts opposed the Victorian government’s Suburban Rail Loop (SRL) because the cost was prohibitively high, the project lacked a business case, failed any objective cost-benefit analysis, and would not generate enough customer demand. For example, Victoria’s Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) conducted a cost-benefit analysis and discovered that the SRL East and North

AI bubble quivers again

November 18, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear leads us off. Delicate levels NASDAQ is trading right on the 50-day moving average. Friday saw a huge doji candle, indicating nobody is in control. Let’s see how this develops from here, but the longer-term trend line is a must-hold. Source: LSEG Workspace Relative tech stress VXN – VIX spread has shot

The coming war within the LNP

November 18, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

With the release of the latest polling RedBridge, it was revealed that Labor now hold 51% of the votes of Gen Z, followed by the Greens with 24% of the vote. This compares with Labor securing 40.3% of the Gen Z vote at the ballot box at May’s federal election, with 27.2% for the Coalition

Job market still tight outside Sydney and Melbourne

November 18, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Australia’s labour market has been gradually softening over the past year. This softening is evident in the gradual rise in Australia’s unemployment rate: As illustrated below by AMP chief economist Shane Oliver, the various measures of job openings have also weakened: Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors has published an interesting set of charts

Macro Morning

November 18, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Its been a very cautious start to the trading week with more selling but not quite dumping on Wall Street overnight with a parallel selloff in Bitcoin not helping. The run back to USD continues even though without any key economic indicators being published by the Trump regime in the last two months, this looks

Macro Afternoon

November 17, 2025 - 17:00 -- Admin

Not a good start to the trading week with most Asian stock markets in the red as a slew of macro events and central bank speeches along with the restart of the US federal government is clouding the short term outlook. Currency markets appear nonchalant however with the Australian dollar holding somewhat steady but looking

Vertical fiscal imbalances are wrecking Australia

November 17, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Nine Media’s Shane Wright and Millie Muroi have written a detailed report explaining how the nation’s asymmetric responsibilities and vertical fiscal imbalances are harming service delivery, infrastructure, businesses, and overall productivity and living standards. There is an increasing number of Australian politicians and policymakers who believe that the nation’s federal system is a key cause

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