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Articles from MacroBusiness

Housing shortages to drive prices higher

January 30, 2026 - 10:00 -- Admin

KPMG’s January 2026 outlook paints a picture of broad‑based, shortage‑driven price growth, with affordable suburbs and unit markets outperforming, and Melbourne, Brisbane, and Perth emerging as standout markets. Despite affordability challenges, Australia’s housing market is expected to remain tight, competitive, and upward‑trending through 2026. Last year recorded stronger‑than‑expected growth, with national house prices rising by

Australian dollar explodes

January 30, 2026 - 09:30 -- Admin

DXY is not recapturing former support levels. This is TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) as his “massive armada” closes in on Iran. AUD literally exploded last night: up, down and sideways. North Asia is still supportive. Can oil catch gold? Military preparations look more like surgical strikes than an all-out war, despite the rhetoric, so

Macro Morning

January 30, 2026 - 09:00 -- Admin

Overnight saw Wall Street take a hit on tech stock earnings with Apple the next cab off the rank this evening. Microsoft slumped while Meta surged as Tesla stumbled, while European stocks remain hesistant as the war drums are beating in the Middle East. Oil prices continue to surge on the upcoming Iranian/US war while

Australia needs stable baseload power

January 30, 2026 - 00:01 -- Admin

Australia’s energy demand will soar over the coming decades due to a combination of rapid population growth, the mass build-out of data centres, and the likely need for a fleet of energy-hungry water desalination plants. The latest projections from the Centre for Population, released this month, show that the nation’s population will balloon by 13.4

Macro Afternoon

January 29, 2026 - 17:00 -- Admin

Asian share markets are generally higher as all risk markets look on with hesitation around the seemingly inevitable Iran/US war as both oil and gold prices blowout. This is keeping the Australian dollar on a tear as it barrels in on the 71 handle while other undollars took a breather overnight after a wide dumping

Stocks bombed in Iran?

January 29, 2026 - 13:30 -- Admin

Charts from TME. All-time highs again, with nowhere to go as volatility climbs on safe haven bids. Skew climbing with tail risks. Long gamma a big headwind as, “gs futures strats calculate $6bn of long gamma at spot, which increases to $12bn long gamma +100bps higher… in english, a 100bps rally in spx cash creates supply

Blame excessive government spending for inflation

January 29, 2026 - 13:00 -- Admin

Chris Joye, a portfolio manager with Coolabah Capital, recently wrote an article in the Australian Financial Review arguing that the expansion of government spending was placing upward pressure on inflation and, by extension, interest rates. “At the federal level, the annualised monthly trend budget deficit has deteriorated rapidly from $12 billion in December 2024 to

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