If there is one country that has come to embody the absolute failure of developed world policymakers to address existential economic and social issues, it is South Korea. Despite it’s status as one of the most technologically advanced economies in the world and one of only a relative handful to reach developed world status outside
The Market Ear on the melt-up. Buy signal up here? NDX just put in the golden cross. Golden crosses over the past years were followed by big melt up phases… Source: LSEG Workspace Not enough McElligott sums it up well: “There’s simply not enough “Net” leverage / Beta -“on” and returns have under captured the
The NSW government’s budget papers show that the state is expected to post a deficit of $5.7 billion for the 2024-25 financial year. The deficit is projected to narrow to $3.4 billion in 2025-26, although it is well above the $2.2 billion deficit that Treasury had forecast in the mid-year budget update. Treasurer Daniel Mookhey
Inflation is falling across the advanced world. As a result, monetary policy is easing globally, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro: As shown above, the decline in official interest rates has lagged other advanced nations. The recent local data shows that inflationary pressures in Australia are rapidly easing. Wednesday’s monthly inflation indicator
DXY is at the breaking point. EUR is soaring. AUD should be catapulting, but markets are beginning to understand that Labor’s immigration-led growth model produces no inflation. Lead boots plod higher. Gold has lost its energy. Oil bottom. Metals reflation is here. Except for the big bears. EM yawn. Junk on the verge of a
Wall Street struggled to find a reason to continue the post “Mission Accomplised” Iranian strike rally with European shares slumping despite a commitment of more military spending at NATO. Softer home sales in the US and a very cautious Federal Reserve Chair saw the USD sold off yet again, with almost all the undollars picking
With the release of the latest rental vacancy rate figures from SQM Research, it was revealed that, at a national aggregate level, zero progress had been made in addressing the nation’s rental crisis over the last 12 months. While SQM’s rental vacancy rates are not seasonally adjusted, a comparison of the same month in the
In handing down Western Australia’s latest budget last week, WA Treasurer Rita Saffioti announced $1.4 billion worth of measures aimed at addressing issues in the WA housing market. With the Western Australian housing market seeing rapidly rising prices and a dire lack of rental housing, Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA) chief economist Cassandra
Equity markets in Asia are somewhat bullish although the latest softish CPI print kept Australian stocks and the dollar steady, despite further calls of cuts from the RBA. The USD is trying to clawback lost ground but its really all about the Yen at the moment as the BOJ indicates some hawkish positioning around their
Following a wave of softer-than-expected data and the dovish May RBA decision, CBA has revised its expectations for interest rate cuts forward. “We now expect the RBA to cut the cash rate by 25bp to 3.60% at its 7-8 July meeting”, CBA senior economist Belinda Allen wrote. “And a follow up 25bp rate cut in