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Articles from MacroBusiness

Why high immigration harms productivity and living standards

March 9, 2026 - 10:00 -- Admin

Proponents of high levels of immigration typically argue that it lifts productivity and living standards because migrants tend to be better educated and more highly skilled than the average Australian. They generally cite spurious modelling to support their claims, ignoring the actual empirical evidence showing that Australia’s labour productivity and per capita GDP growth slowed

Iron ore roars as fundamentals collapse

March 9, 2026 - 09:00 -- Admin

The world is falling apart, but the jaws are back. According to scuttlebutt, the proximate causes are: China’s state-run iron ore buyer told several traders this week to buy fewer seaborne cargoes of BHP’s flagship products, including Mac fines and Newman fines, people with knowledge of the matter told Reuters, as a months-long contract dispute

Brace for $10 petrol prices

March 9, 2026 - 08:30 -- Admin

Goldman reckons oil is going higher. The analysis highlights rapidly rising upside risks to oil prices from a severe disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The base case forecast previously assumed Brent crude in the low $80s in March and the high $70s in the second quarter, based on the expectation that

The worst is yet to come

March 9, 2026 - 00:01 -- Admin

Since the latest round of conflict in the Middle East kicked off on the 28th of February, the cost of a barrel of oil (WTI) has risen by $23.98 compared with the final close of markets prior to the war, representing a rise in oil prices of 35.6%. Taking a longer view, the current level

Weekend reading & MB media appearances

March 7, 2026 - 00:01 -- Admin

International Reading: Susie Wiles at center of ‘screaming’ panic inside Trump’s White House as Iran war sends gas soaring – Daily Mail Documents Reveal a Web of Financial Ties Between Trump Officials and the Industries They Help Regulate – Pro Publica Democrats Are Very Skeptical About Funding For Trump’s Iran War – Huff Post A

New Zealand’s economy seeks life after housing crash

March 6, 2026 - 13:00 -- Admin

New Zealand is slowly recovering from its sharpest economic downturn since the Global Financial Crisis. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, real GDP and income per capita have fallen sharply from their recent peak: New Zealand’s decline in real GDP per capita is among the sharpest in the advanced world: New Zealand’s

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