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Macro Afternoon

October 18, 2024 - 16:00 -- Admin

Lots of action on Asian risk markets although stocks remain somewhat mixed after the release of Japanese inflation figures and the start of PBOC stock buybacks. The USD remains strong against the undollars following the rate cut from last night’s ECB meeting.  Australian stocks have pulled back while the Aussie dollar is having a peekaboo

Negative gearing reform to house 18 months of migrants

October 18, 2024 - 13:00 -- Admin

Ah yes, the fake left: More than a quarter of a million renters could own their own homes if Labor revived dumped plans to wind back generous tax breaks for residential property investors, new analysis shows. A Parliamentary Library analysis of NSW Treasury modelling and census data, commissioned by Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather, found home

APRA’s mortgage buffer needs reform

October 18, 2024 - 12:30 -- Admin

Twice this month, I have attacked the Coalition’s Andrew Bragg for promising to ease lending standards to help, including by scrapping responsible lending laws (see here and here). I have argued consistently that twenty years of empirical evidence demonstrates that demand-side “affordability” measures, such as looser credit provision, have helped push up the price of

Builders: population growth behind housing crisis

October 18, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

Strategic Property Group managing director Trent Fleskens warned that it is highly unlikely that the Albanese government’s housing targets would be met, meaning that Australia’s structural housing shortage will inevitably worsen. “This is a boom fuelled by two things: cost inflation and mass immigration – neither of which are abating to levels our industry can

Temporary visa holders must be sent home

October 18, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

The e61 Institute has published an interesting report examining so-called “visa hopping” by international students to extend their stays in Australia. e61 found that the share of visa hoppers has increased “very sharply over recent decades, from about 2.5% for those receiving their graduate visa in 2009 to over 25% for those receiving it in

Trump win crunches gold

October 18, 2024 - 10:40 -- Admin

Markets are repricing across the spectrum for a Trump win but not analogue bitcoin when it is arguably one the most vulnerable. UBS has more. 1. Gold’s recent performance has largely been driven by demand from central banks, especially China. 2. Risks to gold prices are now skewed toward a potential move lower. 3. Chinese

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