Polls have just closed for the Tasmanian state election. Polls will also close in the Dunstan state by-election in South Australia in half an hour.
I won’t be liveblogging here tonight because I’ll be appearing on air on ABC Radio’s election night broadcast. You can hear it on ABC Hobart and ABC Northern Tasmania local radio, as well as ABC News Radio. The show will start at 7:30pm.
While I won’t be posting here, feel free to chat about the results in the comments.
One last bit of analysis before the results come in: the TEC announced a record number of pre-poll votes cast in 2024, while postal voting rates currently look likely to fall short of 2021. As a share of enrolment, pre-poll is up from 17.7% to 20.3%, while postal voting has gone from 6.8% to 5.6%, and could go as high as 7.2% if all remaining postal votes are returned (they never are). Overall it seems likely that the number of election day votes will go down, but it depends on the overall level of turnout. Tasmania has higher rates of election day voting than other state, but it’s still heading in a downward direction.