Oz Blog News Commentary

Articles from The Tally Room

How did below-the-line voting perform in Victoria?

January 28, 2023 - 12:00 -- Admin

I spent a lot of energy before the Victorian election talking about below the line voting – encouraging voters to use the method and analysing its impact on previous elections. We now have all the data to assess how things went. While the below-the-line rate reached a new record, it wasn’t that much above last election, and suggests that it will be hard to see the rate reaching much higher under the current system.

The overall rate reached 9.4%, up from 8.8% in 2018.

Voting patterns for left-wing minor parties in Victoria

January 27, 2023 - 11:00 -- Admin

One of the most fascinating aspects of the Victorian state election was the role of the small left-wing minor parties. The Greens used to have this lane largely to themselves, but a number of other parties have now emerged, with two of these parties winning seats in the upper house. Those parties also changed the direction of the upper house by opting to preference each other (and then Labor and the Greens) rather than deal with other small parties.

Victoria 2022 – informal vote drops despite bigger ballots

January 25, 2023 - 11:00 -- Admin

The informal rate reached a record high at the 2018 Victorian state election. With record-large ballot papers at the 2022 election, I had wondered what might happen to the informal rate last year. While the informal rate was the second-highest on record for the lower house, it did not increase in line with the numbers of candidates running.

Victoria 2022 – the early vote majority

January 24, 2023 - 11:00 -- Admin

The recent Victorian election was the first such election since the COVID-19 pandemic started, and it was yet another example of the trend towards people voting early being accelerated by the pandemic.

This was the first Victorian state election where a majority of votes were cast before election day, with over 60% of votes cast early as either a postal ballot or at a pre-poll centre. In comparison, only 15% of voters used these methods in 2006.

The non-classic contests in Victoria

December 21, 2022 - 09:30 -- Admin

One way of looking at the Victorian election is to examine which seats ended up being ‘non-classic’ contests – seats where the two-candidate-preferred count didn’t end up being a Labor vs Coalition count.

This statistic peaked in 2018, and has gone slightly backwards in 2022, but the number is still much higher than in pre-2018 elections.