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Tariffs to the moon, stocks to hell

April 1, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

JPM kicks us off. Country-Level: we look at Australia, Japan, and the UK as being relative safety havens. China may work, too, given the potential to add fiscal stimulus but that is a lower conviction long. US Sector Level: Energy and Utilities (ex-AI plays) are the two best longs and look for Lower-Income Discretionary and higher beta

Renewables need gas. How much do you want of pay for it?

April 1, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) does not mince words. GPG plays a critical function in supporting the reliable and secure operation of the power system. When coal generation and/or renewable generation output is low, it is often the role of gas-powered facilities to increase output to firm available electricity supplies. Analysis from the 2024

Iron ore hit by output cuts

April 1, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The ferrous complex continues to struggle. At issue are steel output cuts. Beijing said it intends to curb steel production in the country due to overcapacity. While there is no official release yet, some steelmakers have voluntarily reduced production in anticipation of the formal announcement, therefore curbing demand for iron ore. Furthermore, worries over demand

Good news: Aussie inflation continues to fall

April 1, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

Last week’s softer-than-expected monthly inflation gauge from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) was matched by the Melbourne Institute’s (MI) trimmed mean inflation gauge for March. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the seasonally adjusted trimmed mean inflation fell to its lowest level since 2020 on a 3-month average basis. The following

Macro Morning

April 1, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

As the April 2 deadline looms for the Fanta Fuhrer’s Tariff Tirade, Wall Street had to react to the weekend newsflow and did so with volatility plus, falling sharply before a late rebound while currency markets were more sanguine, waiting for actual results. The USD held against Euro and Pound Sterling while the Australian dollar

Macro Afternoon

March 31, 2025 - 17:30 -- Admin

A sea of red across Asian stock markets in response to the poor finish to the trading week on Friday night on Wall Street with Japanese bourses falling sharply as exporters worry about the next round of Trump tariffs. The USD is losing ground against most of the major currency pairs although the appreciation in

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