On Wednesday, I wrote an article explaining how both China and India—the world’s largest and third-largest carbon emitters (combined share of 40.1% of global emissions in 2024)—planned to aggressively expand their coal production and generation. China currently produces around 10 times more coal than Australia, and India over two times more: Both nations also import
DXY was strong last night, likely because the situation with Iran is coming to a head. It refuses to break down technically. AUD was quite weak, chasing JPY and CNY. Oil popped with gold. AI metals rose, but there is an almighty peak behind it. Big miners, too. EM stocks are at the highs. Remember,
It’s a lot of motherhood statements so far, but they are good ones, at least. “Tiny” Tim Wilson has given us a sort of philosophy. Mr Wilson flagged plans for a two-tier system of company taxes and regulations that provided a more generous environment for small business owners. “I’m looking exclusively at how it is
I was interviewed via email earlier this week by Harrison Christian, a senior reporter at News.com.au, asking why the US economy is performing so much better than Australia’s. In particular: US real GDP growth is 4.4%, compared with Australia’s 2.1%. US CPI inflation is 2.4% compared with Australia’s 3.8%. The US is still cutting interest
By Salvatore Babones, Associate Professor at Sydney University and author of the book “Australia’s Universities, Can They Reform” Universities Australia (UA) has published its pre-budget submission, and it opens with the claim that its members educate “1.5 million Australians every year”. That is incorrect. They educate roughly 1.5 million people every year—of whom only about
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) revised its forecasts on CPI inflation and wage growth in the February Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP), as summarised below: The key takeaway was that the RBA does not anticipate that real wages will recover over the forward estimates, as illustrated below: By the June quarter of 2028, Australia’s real
The six-month annualized growth rate of the Westpac–Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which shows how much economic activity is expected to change in relation to trend three to nine months from now, went down from +0.44% in December to +0.02% in January. Westpac argues, as I do, that the most recent data shows that the momentum
The minutes from the RBA’s February monetary policy meeting were released on Tuesday. The key takeaways are that the RBA is highly uncertain about the outlook for inflation and interest rates: “Members agreed that the prevailing uncertainties meant it was not possible to have a high degree of confidence in any particular path for the
Charts from TME. NDX is flirting with serious support levels while tech volatility trends higher.. Sag 7 in trouble. It’s pretty clear the market wants less capex spending. Apple is showing the way. Concentration is falling. NDX skew is nasty. Lot’s of bears here. Diffusion is extraordinary as the market gyrates wildly through winners and
There’s no escaping the fact that buying a property in Australia will naturally entail high costs. This is especially true in populated regions near major cities like Sydney and Melbourne—places where demand for housing is steadily and sharply rising well beyond the $1 million barrier. The good news is that prospective homeowners don’t have to