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Articles from MacroBusiness

IMF: excessive population growth has driven up house prices

February 17, 2026 - 11:00 -- Admin

Commentators like Greg Jericho from The Australia Institute argue that the Howard Government’s decision to halve the rate of capital gains tax (CGT) in 1999 was the primary driver of Australia’s house price boom and affordability crisis: While there are good reasons to reduce the CGT discount on equity and budget sustainability grounds (explained here),

Gold $20k or sell?

February 17, 2026 - 10:30 -- Admin

Société Générale uses options markets to read psychological pivots for precious metals. Gold:Fast up, fast down.As we wrote last week, we remain bullish on gold as we believe the fundamental rationale for precious upside remains despite one area of uncertainty being removed–namely lower Fed institutional chaos. We always believe a correction can be very healthy.

Victoria’s ballooning debt is a national problem

February 17, 2026 - 10:00 -- Admin

We have repeatedly warned that Victoria is headed toward financial ruin. Victoria has the highest per capita debt and the lowest credit rating among the states. In November, the Victorian Auditor-General warned that debt, deficits, and infrastructure cost blowouts pose long-term dangers to the state’s financial viability. Victoria’s liabilities currently surpass $150 billion, with debt

Bondi was not “Australia’s worst terror attack”

February 17, 2026 - 09:30 -- Admin

Bondi was horrific, but it was not this. Naveed Akram has appeared in court for the first time since allegedly committing Australia’s worst terror attack. “Australia’s worst terror attack” was the Bali bombings, which took 88 Australian lives and 202 lives altogether. It clearly targeted Australians. This is deliberate misinformation. It’s wrong, politicised, and disrespectful

Even more iron ore

February 17, 2026 - 08:30 -- Admin

China is closed for CNY for a week. SGX is closed for two days. Steel profits have improved, and we will probably see a decent rebound in output post-holiday. However, I expect this will only serve to drive steel prices lower amid stalling (and contracting) steel export growth plus weak domestic demand. On the supply

Australia replaced the mining boom with a government spending boom

February 16, 2026 - 12:30 -- Admin

Australia is experiencing a major economic shift driven by a decade-long surge in federal and state government spending: Economists claim government spending is now structurally reshaping the economy in a way comparable to the early‑2000s mining boom. Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, clearly illustrates the shift from the mining boom to the government-spending

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