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Australia’s household income recession ends

December 12, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Australians experienced one of the world’s largest declines in real per capita household disposable income after the pandemic, reflecting soft nominal wage growth amid high inflation, tax increases, and rising interest payments. Australia’s growth in real per capita household disposable income has also been among the softest in the world over the past decade, according

Macro Morning

December 12, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

A wobbly night on Wall Street due to Oracles earnings but also a “normalised” US initial jobless claims print proving the labour market is soft as the Fed claimed in its rate cut the previous session. While tech stocks pulled back, European shares lifted with futures indicating a boost for Asian markets here on the

Australia’s broken visa system “unable to cope with the volume”

December 12, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

I reported last week how Chief Executive and Principal Registrar at the Administrative Review Tribunal (ART), Michael Hawkins, informed Senate Estimates that the ART was being overwhelmed by an “explosion” of international students appealing their visa rejections. Senate Estimates was told that the ART is struggling to process a whopping 46,590 student visa decisions as

Macro Afternoon

December 11, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

Its not been all roses and sunshine following last night’s rate cut by the Fed with Asian share markets mixed at best while commodity and currency markets are moving into risk off mode on the escalation in the Caribbean by the Trump regime’s seizure of an oil tanker and some questioning around AI spending via

Victoria: the unemployment state

December 11, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Thursday’s labour force release for the month of November handed Victoria another unwanted title: the unemployment state. As illustrated in the next chart, Victoria’s trend unemployment rate was the highest in the nation at 4.7%, significantly above the national average unemployment rate of 4.3%: As illustrated below by Alex Joiner from IFM Investors, if you

Far from a bubble?

December 11, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

From the Market Ear: Inverse HS? Is SPX flirting with an inverse HS formation? A proper close above the 6900 area (futures) and things could get squeezy. If November was just a shake out of weak hands, and the trend channel remains the compass, then we have room to push this substantially higher. Russell roaring

Australia’s labour market is weaker than it looks

December 11, 2025 - 12:05 -- Admin

The latest Statement of Monetary Policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) forecasts the unemployment rate will remain at 4.4% through to the end of 2027. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the November labour force report, which reported that the unemployment rate remained at 4.3% in both seasonally adjusted and trend

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