Australia’s Treasurer of propaganda, “Spin” Jim Chalmers, can’t stop spreading misinformation about the state of the economy. A few weeks back, Spin Jim claimed that Labor had delivered the “longest period of consecutive real wage growth in almost a decade” following eight consecutive quarters of annual real wage growth: Spin Jim’s brag came despite a 0.5%
Wall Street loved the rate cut from the Fed last night and the apparently neutral not hawkish future position espoused by Fed Chair Powell. Other risk markets also saw a lift while the USD was poleaxed across the board with Euro up sharply. Oil prices saw a small lift as did other commodities while the
Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, posted the following chart on Twitter (X) showing the long-run collapse in construction sector productivity: “If we want to address supply issues in residential construction and deliver non-resi and infrastructure projects on time and budget, then we need to foster productivity growth in the construction sector”, Joiner said.
Tuesday’s interest rate decision saw the RBA leave the official cash rate on hold at 3.60%. In its media statement accompanying the decision, the RBA noted that the recent rise in CPI inflation had been partly driven by temporary factors, though the extent was uncertain. The RBA also noted that Australia’s labour market remains “a
The latest Chinese inflation numbers were slightly higher than expected which has seen the potential for a BOC RRR cut next year move lower, also pushing mainland shares down as well. All other Asian markets are in the red as well with the risk complex awaiting tonight’s FOMC meeting to see what is in store
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has delivered 3.25% of interest rate cuts since July 2024. This reduction in the OCR has delivered a corresponding decline in new mortgage rates to pre-pandemic norms: Normally, such a sharp reduction in mortgage rates would result in a lift in homebuyer demand and prices. However, as illustrated below
From the Market Ear: Stuck SPX remains stuck inside the range that has been in place since September. Bull flag and a break out, or a double top? We aren’t getting excited until we break out of the range. Until then, treat this as a mean-reverting market. Stability… …at these levels, but dealers turn short
When Australia closed the book on the 20th century, the median home at a national level could be purchased by a household with a median household income. The typical mortgage consumed 25% of gross income, assuming they had the cash for a 20% deposit, stamp duty, and other transaction costs. This marked the last ‘hurrah’
The ABC’s Ian Verrender neatly summarised the forms of East Coast gas reservation being considered by the Albanese government as it attempts to overcome a pending supply shortfall: Those in the know say the federal government is considering two options. The first option is that each of the exporters must supply a certain quantity of
The latest Statement of Monetary Policy from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) forecast that the official unemployment rate would remain around its current level until the end of 2027: With “full employment” being one of the RBA’s mandates (the other being “price stability”), an increase in unemployment significantly above the forecast implies an increased