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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 19:23
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 19:17
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THE BLOT REPORT
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 17:32
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So, what is Australia doing for the future? Cutting funding to science, that’s what. Since the beginning of 2024, 800 staff have been cut from Australia’s leading scientific research agency, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), and another 350 are to be cut in 2026, which brings the total cuts to over 16% of the organisation’s staff. The Labor government has dealt the CSIRO some of the largest job cuts in the organisation’s history. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 16:00
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As a new trading month gets underway Asian equity markets are quite mixed across the region as Japanese inflation and Chinese manufacturing contraction concerns overshadow the potential invasion of Venezuela by the Trump regime. The USD is falling and gold rising among other undollars with chances of a cut by the Fed at its upcoming The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 14:44
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 14:00
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The weather vane of financial market interest rate forecasts has swung hawkish following stronger-than-expected CPI inflation prints. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, financial markets are now pricing a potential 25 bp hike in the cash rate in 2026: The Melbourne Institute’s trimmed mean inflation gauge, which rose solidly again in November, The post RBA tipped to hike interest rates appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:30
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It was MB that led APRA to adopt macroprudential tools designed to lean against the cycle and aid monetary policy. Alas, like everything else in the Australian political economy these days, APRA’s latest round of macroprudential tightening is purely performative, or fake, achieving the opposite. Back in the 2015 lending bubble, MB forced AHPRA to The post Fake macroprudential green lights property bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:29
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:14
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:12
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:00
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The Market Ear kicks us off. Welcome weekend CTAs swing wildly, risk appetite collapses, tech suffers its largest outflows in 4 years, and AI finally shows up in real earnings. Here are the 10 charts we’re watching this weekend — from market panic to full-stack AI dominance. 1 – CTAs What is the next CTA The post Stocks bull roarer into 2026 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 12:30
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Statistics New Zealand released its filled jobs survey on Friday, which revealed that October filled jobs were unchanged. However, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the October data incorporated downward historical revisions, with the level of employment in September around 0.2% lower. As a result, hiring was a mere 0.1% higher in The post Why young Kiwis are escaping to Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 12:00
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China isn’t growing. Just ask the PMIs. Manufacturing. Services. Combined. This economy is pancaked as its property sector implodes. China uses various tricks to exaggerate GDP: focusing on the supply side, failing to write down investments, and underestimating the GDP deflator. All of these overestimate growth that is not there. Now it is going to The post The Chinese economy hasn’t grown in two years appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:35
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Newly declassified files show President John F. Kennedy’s alleged assassin Lee Harvey Oswald was monitored for years by James Angleton, the CIA’s infamous veteran counterintelligence chief, right up until the President’s death. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:30
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The latest ABS Labour Force survey painted a deeply mixed picture of the job market. On the one hand, this single print presented a compelling picture: a substantial increase of 42,200 new jobs, all full-time in net terms, and a robust growth in hours worked. However, a longer view reveals a decidedly more challenging picture. As The post Australia’s hidden labour market recession appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:17
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:00
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The ferrous complex remains paralysed by iron ore prices that are too high for steel profits. But we are in some equilibrium, as steel demand and supply are locked together. Modestly reduced steel supply has been drawing down inventory. While lifting iron ore inventory at ports. Something needs to change to rebalance. Either the government The post Pilbra killer fails to fire a shot appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:00
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Your Democracy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 10:48
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 10:46
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 10:30
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The Australian National University (ANU) is one of the nation’s key purveyors of immigration propaganda. Propagandists like “Dr Demography” Liz Allen are regular mouthpieces on the pro-Big Australia migration circuit, as are the ANU Migration Hub’s Peter McDonald and Alan Gamlen. When Australia’s net overseas migration hit 530,000 in the year to December 2023, the The post ANU propagandists spin more migration lies appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 10:00
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I long for a competent opposition. The Albanese government has sabotaged energy policy to such an extent that it is a miracle it remains in power. Check out some examples today. Cathy King is the owner of hairdressing business Toni&Guy, which has 22 salons across Sydney. Ms King, who manages three salons, says her electricity The post The gas cartel is destroying Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 09:30
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Last week, the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) released its new prudential standard, effective February 2026, which caps high-risk mortgages (debt-to-income ratio over 6x) at 20% of new lending. APRA’s announcement aims to manage housing vulnerabilities preemptively amid rising prices but excludes new housing builds and applies portfolio-wide, allowing banks flexibility while aligning with government goals |
Your Democracy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 09:16
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UNFORTUNATELY, THE FOLLOWING ARTICLE IS TOO REAL... IT COULD BE A SPOOF — OR WELL DISGUISED SATIRE AS FAR AS I COULD MAKE IT... BUT..... |
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John Quiggin
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 09:01
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I’ve been seeing more and more alarmism about the idea that, on current demographic trends, the world’s population might shrink to a billion in a century or two. That distant prospect is producing lots of advocacy for policies to increase birth rates right now. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 09:00
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Friday night saw Wall Street return from its short Thanksgiving break and aside from some technical difficulties trading was bullish across the major indicies, with European stock markets also lifting into the month end. All eyes are still on the Fed’s December meeting where a rate cut is a given, with USD pulling back again The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
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John Quiggin
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 08:56
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Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please. I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here. |
The Tally Room
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 08:30
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Ben was joined by Sarah Cameron from Griffith University, to discuss the results of the 2025 Australian Election Study, including Peter Dutton’s unpopularity, foreign policy, voter dealignment, and how the vote splits by gender, generation and whether people own their own home. |
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Renew Economy
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 07:42
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MacroBusiness
Monday, December 1, 2025 - 07:00
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DXY held, but the uptrend looks set to be tested. AUD is ready to rise. CNY supportive. Gold whoa! Metals mania returns. The chosen one. EM lagging. EM junk warning. Yields firmed. Stocks too. Goldman reckons DXY is ready to fall meaningfully. We believe that as the US data backlog is slowly cleared it will The post Major bank: Australian dollar to rise into 2026 appeared first on MacroBusiness. |











