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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 14:02 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 13:53 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Productivity Commission (PC) recently announced a review of the corporate tax system, with the PC expected to release a draft report in late July and its final recommendations in December. Commission chair Danielle Wood says the review will examine issues such as tax incentives for new capital expenditure and cutting the tax rate paid

The post Australia must not cut the 30% company tax rate appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Some more on sinking Chinese property today, a subject that just keeps on giving. Anywhere outside of Tier One is a black hole. Another yawnulus bites the dust. Inventory improved a little. So long as you don’t count all those half-finished hulks and holes in the ground. I reckon I’ll be writing this post for

The post Chinese property goes down appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Australia is a kind of mind-moulding autocracy in which the words “immigration” and “racist” are interchangeable. At the zenith of this ersatz society sits a central bank that is paid to do one job and one job only: never mention the word “immigration”. In an immigration-led labour market expansion economy, it is therefore entirely predictable

The post Genius RBA realises there’s an excess of labour appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 12:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Market Ear on the machines. —- Volatility compression – extreme edition S&P average stock IV has decreased by 12.6v over the last month. For additional context, the 1-month change in the 10-day moving average of intraday volatility is at the lowest level since COVID and second lowest since 2010. Source: GS Fear evaporated Goldman’s

The post Machines tire of stocks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 11:59 Source

Nationals’ leader David Littleproud has singled out nuclear energy as a key reason for his party’s spectacular split from the Liberals, as both parties seek to rebuild following the Coalition’s devastating election loss.

Speaking to the media on Tuesday, Littleproud said:

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 11:05 Source

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has refused to rule out extending the federal government’s energy rebate for a third time. However, he acknowledges that the government is aware that the $6.8 billion rebate must end at some stage, which is why it has been extended for only six months rather than a year. “We only extended it

The post Replace energy rebates with gas reservation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 11:01 Source

Yesterday, the Nationals announced that they would not be renewing the coalition with the Liberal Party following the 2025 federal election. This is unlikely to be a permanent break, but rather the parties taking some time apart to re-assess their positions after a devastating election defeat.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Westpac summarises the drivel. One area that the RBA had previously pointed to as a reason for not being confident that inflation can be sustained at current levels is the tightness of the labour market. While it still highlighted indicators that suggested remaining tightness, the forecasts for unemployment have been lifted slightly, while those for

The post More rate cuts are cooking in the tandoor appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:55 Source

Westpac with the note. The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, slowed to 0.2% in April from 0.5% in March. The above-trend growth pulse that emerged at the start of the year

The post Leading index steps into a bog appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY down. AUD down too. Leads boots again. Oli and gold up. Metals undecided. Miners EM stuck. High yield. Yields stable. Stocks stall. Credit Agricole. Higher long-term Treasury yields and tighter swap spreads have come following Moody’s Ratings downgrade. Moody’s downgraded the US to Aa1 from Aaa and changed the outlookto stable from negative on

The post Australian dollar gets an upgrade appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:08 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:00 Source

I explained last week why Australia’s energy costs will inevitably soar as the nation replaces traditional baseload generation with renewables in pursuit of Labor’s 82% renewable energy target. The reasons for the high cost of renewable energy are straightforward. They depend on the weather; therefore, they are intermittent and have low load factors. Renewables need

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xkcd.com Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 10:00 Source

169 is a baker's gross.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 09:48 Source
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John Quiggin Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 09:44 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Although the macro newsflow was relatively light on overnight it was all about the bond and currency markets as the latest Canadian inflation numbers following yesterday’s cut by the RBA led to further introspection on the trajectory of the ECB, which has led to the USD being pushed back across the board. US sovereign debt

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 09:06 Source

I did an advanced class at Jujitsu last night, only because it was one of those weird nights when mostly senior belts were in attendance. I think we had one yellow belt on the mat, so we were able to break out the secret techniques. We just put the yellow belt in a corner to do some grading work.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 08:40 Source

The media release accompanying the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) 0.25% cut to the official cash rate (OCR) on Tuesday was a fairly vanilla affair that took a neutral stance. The release noted that risks to inflation have become “more balanced”, that policy is now “somewhat less restrictive”. The RBA also remained “cautious about the

The post Markets dial up rate cut forecasts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Last year, former federal Treasury official Stephen Anthony warned that Victoria may need a federal “bailout” due to increasing state debt, which reached $27,729 per person in 2023-24. “Victoria is on a suicide mission to record borrowing, just as global interest rates are about to hit 5%”, Anthony warned. “Potholes can’t get filled, emergency departments

The post Victoria leeches off NSW appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 07:47 Source
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John Quiggin Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 05:00 Source

Sorry about the delay on this one, and absence of recent posts. I’ve been in a bit of a rush, getting ready for travel. Will hopefully return to normal service soon.

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 21, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australian Industry Group’s analysis of data from the Productivity Commission underlines the downturn in the nation’s housing sector. The Ai Group’s report shows that while labour productivity across the economy has increased by 24% over the last decade, this metric has fallen by 14% in relation to overall housing construction over the same period, and

The post Why Australia sucks at building homes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 19:36 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are somewhat mixed in reaction to the flat sessions on Wall Street overnight with the Friday night cut by ratings agency Moody on US debt still reveberating, particularly within bond markets. The Trump regime is still failing to make deals with Japan which is seeing further strength in Yen while today’s

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 16:13 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 20, 2025 - 15:28 Source
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