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Your Democracy Monday, January 20, 2025 - 05:19 Source

30 April 2024 — The Duchess of Edinburgh has become the first member of the Royal Family to visit Ukraine since the Russian invasion.

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MacroBusiness Monday, January 20, 2025 - 00:10 Source

Australia’s economy is on public sector life support. The overwhelming majority (87%) of jobs created over the past two years have been in the non-market (government-funded) sector. Much of this job growth has been related to the NDIS, which has driven explosive growth in the healthcare and social assistance sector. “When governments, as they often

The post Australia’s economy is unsustainable appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 09:30 Source

There’s been a recent fuss in various media arising from a tweet from economist Ben Golub regarding astonishment that economists haven’t “worked through” Smith and Marx. English professor Alex Moskowitz chimed in with a claim that economics can’t be a real discipline because economists don’t know the history of their own discipline.

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Your Democracy Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 08:41 Source

If Peter Dutton ever had a so-called “two-term strategy”, that strategy disappeared on Sunday when he soft-launched his election campaign in the Victorian seat of Chisholm.

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Your Democracy Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 07:47 Source

The United States has begun the forward deployment of a new generation of its B61 nuclear gravity bomb at bases in Europe, a senior administrator has announced. What signal does the deployment send to Moscow? What impact will it have on strategic security in Europe? Sputnik turned to a senior former Pentagon insider for answers.

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Your Democracy Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 05:51 Source

Humanity stands at a crossroads, its future bound not to conquest but to synthesis. The world before us is not one of irreconcilable opposites locked in perpetual conflict but an intricate ecosystem of human Adaptive Systems, each defined by its strengths and vulnerabilities.

 

A garden of civilisations    By Kari McKern

 

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Your Democracy Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 05:07 Source

Moscow and Tehran have taken their cooperation to the level of strategic partnership with a “truly epochal” pact, Farhad Ibrahimov, a Middle East expert at the Moscow-based Valdai Discussion Club, told RT on Friday.

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Your Democracy Sunday, January 19, 2025 - 04:41 Source

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MacroBusiness Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 11:45 Source

Aussie inflation is beaten. The RBA should and likely will cut rates in February. Timely monthly core measures are in free fall. Headline is even better. Business surveys are smashed. Inflation expectations are perfectly anchored. Wage growth is sagging dangerously into Albo’s Indian inundation. This has dragged the carpet from under rents and wider services

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MacroBusiness Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 11:25 Source

DXY rallied back. AUD barely hanging on to COVID lows. CNY got nuthin’ from GDP lies. Oil is overbought. Gold is getting flirty. So is dirt. Miners firming. I’m licking my chops to load up on shorts if these runs. EM stocks meh. Junk wants run but… …it’s all about duration, which is still threatening.

The post Australian dollar rocket rolls onto launch pad appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 07:49 Source

‘I’m tired of these blatant misrepresentations’: Judge blows up at CNN’s lead attorney during defamation case and says he owes Navy veteran ‘an apology’ for calling him a liar...

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 07:39 Source

Advisers to President-elect Donald Trump are crafting a wide-ranging sanctions strategy to facilitate a Russia-Ukraine diplomatic accord in the coming months while at the same time squeezing Iran and Venezuela, people familiar with the matter said.

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 07:33 Source

German election will be test for Sahra Wagenknecht and BSWMarcel FürstenauThe former parliamentary leader of the Left party is seeking to enter the Bundestag with her BSW. But the party will need to make inroads in the western states where she has always performed weakest.

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Your Democracy Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 07:28 Source

President-elect Donald Trump said his swearing-in ceremony will be held inside the Capitol Rotunda due to expected freezing temperatures in Washington D.C. on January 20.

President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration ceremony is moving indoors to the Capitol Rotunda because of expected dangerous cold temperatures in the nation's capital, Washington D.C.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, January 18, 2025 - 00:34 Source

  Otway Coast near Lorne   The rest American shoppers wrap up the year in a spending mood, boding well for the U.S. economy – AP Global growth forecast to flatline as tariffs add to strains – BBC Immigrant US farmworkers prepare for Trump mass deportation plan – Reuters China to start probing US exports

The post Weekend Wrap: 18 – 19 January 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 14:37 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 14:29 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 14:15 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 14:07 Source
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Your Democracy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 14:00 Source

US President-elect Donald Trump has named movie icons Jon Voight, Mel Gibson, and Sylvester Stallone as his “special ambassadors” to Hollywood, a position apparently invented by the incoming president on Thursday.

”It is my honor to announce Jon Voight, Mel Gibson, and Sylvester Stallone, to be Special Ambassadors to a great but very troubled place, Hollywood, California,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform on Thursday.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 17, 2025 - 13:58 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The gas cartel breather is over. It’s back to gouging you to death with gas at $14.50Gj. Electricity prices are still up 150% year on year. AER prices are going to jump in 25/26. The pipelines south from QLD’S huge gas resources are still running near empty when they should be filling up much larger

The post Victoria should reserve all gas for itself appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The bubble of a lifetime in CBA shows no signs of bursting at 26x growthless earnings. Hilariously, on two-year forward earnings, CBA is the Magnificent 8th! And Aussie banks are plain stupid in context. I still maintain that this bubble is going to burst when rate cuts begin. The mass immigration economy does not do

The post Magnificent 8th, CBA, enters ludicrous bubble phase appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on the Trump cross-currents for equities. The 10 year US 10 year putting in the biggest down candle in a while post the CPI numbers. First support at 4.6%, where the 21 day comes in. The 50 day is down at 4.43%. Source: Refinitiv Bond convexity CTA 1 month upside convexity is

The post Stocks caught in Trump crossfire appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Steel prices are continuing to show some life. Not so iron ore. CISA steel mill output for the first 10 days of January was strong. However, that is unlikely to last beyond the seasonal rebuild. RIO confirmed strong guidance (though its recent record has been shit). More to the point, RIO confirmed the Pilbara killer

The post Pilbara killer on schedule appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, January 17, 2025 - 11:00 Source

I wonder what surviving human held the record before balloons (excluding edge cases like jumping gaps on a mountain bridge). Probably it was someone falling from a cliff into snow or water, but maybe it involved something weird like a gunpowder explosion or volcano.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 10:30 Source

ANZ has an interesting chart today. Without putting too fine a point on it, there is a correlation between population growth and job creation. This is pretty uncontroversial and part of the well-understood demographic dividend. When the inflows are accompanied by an exogenous boom, such as between 2003 and 2012, this makes perfect sense. The

The post More migrants equal more jobs but less money appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 10:00 Source

December’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Update (MYEFO) upgraded Australia’s net overseas migration projection for 2024-25 from 260,000 to 340,000 (see below table). Every budget and MYEFO released by Labor since it was elected has badly underestimated Australia’s net overseas migration. Specifically: 2022-23: Began at 235,000, rose to 400,000, ended up being 535,500. 2023-24: Began at 215,000,

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is taking a well-earned breather. Australian dollar is threatening a bigger bounce. But the CNY concrete shoes will not come off. Oil is a worry. Copper is delusional again. Miners sagged. EM meh. Junk meh. Yields coming off. But stocks couldn’t follow through, except in Europe. Fed hawk Governer WAller was dovish. The inflation

The post Australian dollar dead cat fails to bounce appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 17, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street failed to advance on its latest surge overnight mainly due to a fall in tech stocks, led by Apple while European shares remained boisterous across most of the continent. The USD fell back against most of the undollars although Euro only advanced slightly on its new weekly high as Yen continued its own

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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