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MacroBusiness Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is trying to rally. AUD has flamed out despite RBA’s inept monetary policy. Lead boots are going downhill again. Gold is shaky, oil stupid. The copper chaos intensifies. Miners meh. EM meh. Junk up. With yields down. A stalled EUR is rescuing stocks. UBS captures the moment. British pop group Bucks Fizz gained international

The post Australian dollar run over as Bullock drives backwards appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw Wall Street rebound on the back of tech stocks with NVIDIA leading the way while broader industrials were dragged along amid the tariff chaos. Its becoming increasingly clear the Trump regime is using the tariff mechanism to browbeat, bully and extort trading “partners” not due to trade imbalances (real or imagined) but as

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 08:55 Source

"Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori'*

Is all very well, but I think that before I

Would try it, I'd rather the maxim were amended

Thus-'Patriots are more useful living than when dead.'

 

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Your Democracy Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 07:16 Source

In deciding to hold off on another interest rate cut, the Reserve Bank’s board appears to be waiting to find out what the past was like. Michael Pascoe reports.

I don’t know where to begin with six of the nine RBA board members, the ones who want to wait for another meeting so they can consider what the Bureau of Stats (ABS) will tell them was happening some three months ago. They have no grasp of the present, so forget about the future.

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Your Democracy Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 06:52 Source

Australia is facing the prospect of a Trump administration review demanding it pay more for submarines under the $368 billion AUKUS pact and guarantee the boats support the US in a conflict over Taiwan.

Sources familiar with the review by Trump’s Undersecretary of Defence, Elbridge Colby, believe he intends to urge major changes to the program before Australia can get the nuclear submarines it has been promised.

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Your Democracy Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 05:55 Source

Amid rising global instability, Washington’s aggressive pursuit of nuclear and geopolitical dominance threatens the foundation of multipolarity—and China knows it.

 

Washington Warns Beijing and Its Partners: “The Bomb Will Not Save Multipolarity”

Lama El Horr

 

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Renew Economy Thursday, July 10, 2025 - 03:23 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 21:18 Source

When Russia recognized the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan last week, it didn’t just open a new embassy – it opened a new geopolitical front. For the first time since the Taliban’s return to power in 2021, a major world player has gone beyond informal contacts and embraced Kabul’s de facto rulers as legitimate partners.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 17:30 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Most Asian share markets are lifting higher despite a very weak lead from Wall Street, while local stocks are taking a double whammy due to the expected rate cut from the RBA turning into a hold and then the Trump regime’s bullying tariffs on pharmaceuticals. There’s more tariff announcements and letter printing on the way,

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 15:55 Source

The clock is ticking to block Annalena Baerbock’s appointment as President of the 80th United Nations General Assembly.

The UN General Assembly is meant to represent the world’s majority.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:52 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:44 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 14:00 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:57 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Since the issues facing China’s property sector exploded into mainstream view in 2021, it has been a rollercoaster ride of different perspectives and scenarios on how it will all play out. While the issues faced the Chinese economy have now faded from the headlines, the reality is the risks within the Chinese economy remain significant,

The post China’s economic Titanic about to go under appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:20 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 13:00 Source

I don’t think gender is relevant to stupidity, but The Australian does. They are the three women ­steering the nation’s economic course, a triumvirate of power not afraid to push back and make tough decisions. …On Tuesday, Treasury secretary Jenny Wilkinson attended her first RBA board meeting, ­replacing former secretary Steven Kennedy and ­shifting the

The post Lady economists drive economy into a ditch appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Card-carrying China groveler Geoff Raby is like a weathervane of Chinese influence in Australia. His return to the AFR tells us that his tailwind is growing, as we have seen around Albo’s China pivot, and it is safe to re-emerge and argue for a further selling out to Beijing. He doesn’t have much to say

The post Revenge of the China grovellers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:00 Source

When the Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe first began raising interest rates in May 2022, the question in the minds of many commentators and economists was, when will they be cut again? What followed was the largest and swiftest relative rise in interest rates in Australia’s history. But then the Reserve Bank did something that

The post Burnout Economics delivers shock Reserve Bank rate pause appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 12:00 Source

With the release of the latest national accounts data, it was revealed that Australia’s GDP in per capita terms is once again contracting. Meanwhile, in headline GDP terms, the economy grew by 0.2%, surprising to the downside of the analyst consensus of growth of 0.4%. Australian GDP per capita has now contracted in 9 of

The post The epic failure of Australia’s economic growth strategy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Nice pop in the NAB survey yesterday. However, under the bonnet, it’s exaggerated with construction confidence distorting the survey. Price indicators remain weak. Rate cuts working some magic. Better, but no cigar.

The post Builder confidence pops on rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 11:00 Source

For that is what they are. AFR. Senior Japanese officials have expressed concern the Albanese government is considering a domestic gas reserve, telling West Australian Premier Roger Cook during a trade visit that their country cannot be a long-term investment partner with Australia if LNG isn’t readily available. …“What they said to us is that

The post Ignore Japanese LNG drama queens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous market is bifurcating as traders wonder about the steel ouput cut. CISA steel output is falling anyway. My view is we are likely to follow the 2023 pattern in H2 as official cuts, steel export falls, and tariffs take their toll. UBS has joined the bears. As the market moves from balance to

The post Iron ore bears gather appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY is trying to push higher. AUD is a bit stalled. Lead boots too. And gold. I don’t know what oil is doing. Perhaps chasing copper as Trump slams the market with a 50% tariff. Nothing can save the big miners. EM rolled. Junk false breakout. As Trump tarifflation is back. Stocks no likee. Yields

The post Australian dollar rally flames out appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 10:00 Source

We're building on our earlier success getting web developers to pay to change the backslashes in our displayed payment URL to forward slashes.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

After years of failure, the RBA has given up entirely on forecasting and is driving through the rearview mirror. Goldman. In her post-meeting press conference Governor Bullock stressed that the decision to pause the easing cycle was “about timing rather than direction” with the RBA just “looking for further confirmation we are on the forecast

The post Abolish the RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, July 9, 2025 - 09:30 Source

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