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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 11:00 Source

I’m not saying it’s over, but we now see how it could be. TME with the charts. Oil is back as anarcho-imperialism builds a risk premium. Room to run. Too many bulls. Not enough bears. Long-end selling like hotcakes. Duration and tech are not good bedfellows. Gold doesn’t care. But if DXY gets moving with

The post The equity bull meets its end appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 11:00 Source

Some surfaces may seem difficult to glue. But if you research the materials, find tables of what adhesives work on them, and prepare your surfaces carefully, you can fail to glue them in a fun NEW way that fills your house with dangerous vapors.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 10:54 Source

I’d better say this before I am arrested in two days. The CBA Labour and Wage Report (is that a religious text I can quote from?) is a terrific leading indicator for wage growth. For the quarter and the year ending in December, wages increased by 0.8% and 3.1%, respectively. December saw the addition of

The post Wage growth keeps falling appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous jaws remain wide! Bears are on the run. S&P. What’s happening? The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea is expected to have limited immediate impact on Australia’s Pilbara iron ore market in 2026. Logistical constraints and a gradual production ramp-up will restrict the project’s market entry, according to market participants who spoke to Platts.

The post Iron ore short irresistable appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 10:00 Source

Every year, consumer confidence surveys perk up as households bask in the afterglow of the holiday season and make New Year’s resolutions, creating a brief rise in optimism that conditions might be better in the year ahead. According to the latest data from the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index, this year might be a little

The post Worst start to a year since the 1991 recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 09:30 Source

I abhor all forms of racism. Period. I condemn the Bondi Massacre. Yet the following legislative response is so extreme that anybody and everybody should reject it. The Combatting Antisemitism, Hate and Extremism Bill 2026 is the end of Australian freedom as we have known it. You have 24 hours to respond. Part 5—Racial vilification

The post The end of Australian freedom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the release of the “official” US CPI print for December, and while the outcome was softer than expected risk markets were more wary of the continued political pressure on the Fed from the Trump regime and the burgeoning US government debt levels. Some earnings reports on Wall Street gave pause to the actual

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 08:47 Source

 

On the Feb. 22 episode of Dilbert creator Scott Adams’ podcast and nightly YouTube livestream, Real Coffee with Scott Adams, he began his hourlong show like he always does, by inviting his audience for a ceremonious “simultaneous sip.”* He went on with his standard fare—a handful of headlines accompanied by his quick takes—until he steered to a “provocative” new Rasmussen poll.

 

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 08:31 Source

Smallgoods company will join VPP, getting paid to power down its refrigeration units to relieve pressure on the grid at times of peak demand.

The post Flexible with fridges: Iconic smallgoods company joins VPP to support grid at times of peak demand appeared first on Renew Economy.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 08:25 Source

A 48 MW solar farm has been added to an existing hydro power facility to create the first hybrid of its type for one European energy giant.

The post European energy giant commissions its first hybrid solar hydro project appeared first on Renew Economy.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 08:00 Source

Recall the recent boast of Australia’s Treasurer of propaganda, “Spin” Jim Chalmers, claiming that Labor had delivered the “longest period of consecutive real wage growth in almost a decade” following eight consecutive quarters of annual real wage growth: Chalmers’ misleading comment came after the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released Q3 2025 wage data showing that real

The post Aussie real wages plunge lower appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 06:53 Source

Since the overthrow of his father, Iran's last shah, Reza Pahlavi has spent nearly half a century exiled in the United States.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 06:05 Source

 

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 14, 2026 - 00:01 Source

Cotality has released its Chart Pack for December, which shows that dwelling values nationally increased by 8.6% in 2025, with the regions (9.7%) outpacing the capital cities (8.2%): Cotality also reported that Australia’s dwelling stock was valued at $12.3 trillion at the end of 2025, spread across 11.4 million homes. This means that the average

The post Average Aussie house price nears $1.1 million appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are booming in today’s session led by Japanese shares as BOJ and government officials try to talk down the volatility around Yen as it weakens steeply against USD. However looming risk from the Trump regime’s attacks on Federal Reserve’s independence threatening ratings while the possibly of the Supreme Court reversing the tariffs

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 15:29 Source

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 15:03 Source

The 110-metre smoke stack for the shuttered Bell Bay power station, one of the last oil-fired generators in the country, has been demolished.

The post Smoke stack at one of Australia’s last oil-fired power stations demolished in controlled explosion appeared first on Renew Economy.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 14:16 Source

The owners of a competing renewable energy hub have had a minor court win in their push back against Fortescue's giant 2GW wind project in the Pilbara.

The post Fortescue faces new scrap over fence line for its massive Bonney Downs wind project appeared first on Renew Economy.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 13:04 Source

A boom in solar PV saw output overtake that of lignite power stations and help keep the share of renewables in Germany's grid stable at 55.9 pct in 2025.

The post Solar overtakes lignite to keep Germany’s renewable electricity share stable at 55.9 pct in 2025 appeared first on Renew Economy.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 12:30 Source

Victoria’s household gas prices have jumped 208 per cent since 2009, the biggest increase in Australia. New analysis of St Vincent de Paul Society and Alviss Consulting’s annual tariff tracker shows Victorians are the most exposed to long‑term gas price inflation with prices soaring far above the national 134 per cent rise. …According to analysis of Essential

The post Why are Victorians choking on gas bills? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 12:28 Source

Queensland flags "call ins" for two giant battery projects in the heart of its coal region, including one winner of federal Labor's Capacity

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Your Democracy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 11:52 Source

A bill seeking to make Greenland the 51st US state has been introduced in the House of Representatives, escalating a controversial push by President Donald Trump to bring the Danish territory under American control.

Trump claimed last week that the US must annex Greenland – an autonomous former Danish colony under Copenhagen’s sovereignty – to contain Russia and China, suggesting that the two countries would “take over”the island unless Washington did it first.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 11:30 Source

Charts from TME. The golden rocket channel holds. It ain’t specs. ATH again and again. Daily RSI OK. Monthly RSI whoa! Bugger fake gold. Japanese connection holding. Miners up and away. Explorers and juniors fly as it boils over. But cheap if you believe. “In the short term, a 100pt increase Geopolitical Risk Index translates

The post Golden rocket returns appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 11:11 Source

Westpac measures headed for Hades. In January, Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment fell 1.7% to 92.9. The move is driven by deteriorating perceptions of the near-term prognosis. Now, over two thirds of customers anticipate an increase in mortgage rates in 2026. Customers are less optimistic about their employment prospects. Most people between the ages of 18

The post Rate hike prospects smack consumer sentiment appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 11:05 Source

Once upon a time, there was a country in which you grew up in a good house and played in abundant green space. Occasionally, you visited your grandparents in some suburb near or far. Life was good. Now the kids will be emptying their grandparents’ Tenna support pants instead. In an attempt to combat the

The post Australian property turns granny slum appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 11:00 Source

As protests continue on the streets of cities across Iran against the government of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, it’s worth reflecting on why this nation at the heart of the crossroads between Central and West Asia is so vital. At its narrowest point, the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf is only 39 km across

The post Why Iran matters appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 10:30 Source

Last week, the Canadian government, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, announced that it would no longer accept sponsorship applications for parent and grandparent visas. In 2013, the Fraser Institute, a Canadian think tank, estimated that the lifetime cost to taxpayers for the 70,000 parents and grandparents admitted to Canada between 2012 and 2014 would

The post Canada ends parent visa train wreck appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 10:00 Source

Iron ore and coking coal are obliterating steel mill margins. Scuttlebutt is crazed. China’s cabinet held a meeting on Friday about implementing a package of fiscal and financial policies to boost domestic demand, including initiatives to spur household consumption, state broadcaster CCTV reported. A need for restocking as well as decreasing global iron ore shipments from Australia

The post Iron ore downgrades rain appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 09:55 Source

 Equis Australia.Locals who say they overwhelmed by three neighbouring big battery projects force one gigawatt proposal to be reviewed by independent panel.

The post New England locals force huge battery project proposal to go before independent panel appeared first on Renew Economy.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, January 13, 2026 - 09:45 Source

I would observe this with relief. In a short statement on X, former prime minister Kevin Rudd thanked Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Foreign Minister Penny Wong for their kind words. “It has been an honour to serve as Australia’s Ambassador to the United States over the last three years,” he wrote. “I also thank

The post Rudd returns from whence he came appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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