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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are doing a little better despite the lack of a lead from a closed Wall Street with the focus on positive Chinese industrial production numbers. However currency markets are still wanting to push the USD down further with a somewhat hawkish talk from the BOJ not helping the USDJPY pair while

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 16:08 Source

Just wrapped a five-hour shift uploading books to the various online stores, and lemme tell you—I am feeling it. It’s been a while since I’ve done a big indie publishing run, and tomorrow’s release is shaping up to be the biggest one yet.

Part of the complication? I decided to release the books as individual titles on Amazon to meet their monopolistic Kindle Unlimited exclusivity requirements. This meant I then had to bundle those same books into a three-volume collection to sell everywhere else—because I’m still finishing the third volume, that bundle had to go up as a pre-order.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 15:42 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 15:12 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 14:59 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Leith and I have both explored the extraordinary price of coffee in Australia, with causes as varied as the price of beans in Brazilian drought to local labour costs and draining income. Coffee is now a luxury item. And the cafepocalypse in full swing. I admit, we’re not losing much here. I have long criticised

The post How to get a free cup of coffee appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 13:59 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Market Ear with more. So little exuberance Positioning and sentiment remain muted across the board. Hedge fund leverage is at cycle lows, CTAs and systematics are neutral, and there’s over $7 trillion parked in money markets. With so little exuberance, it’s hard to get truly bearish from here. Let’s examine the latest positioning and

The post Stocks stuck in the mind of a child president appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Except that it is very common! GPs in NSW will soon be able to diagnose and prescribe medication for attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), under major changes that will slash appointment wait times and make it more affordable for children and adults to receive a diagnosis and treatment. The NSW Labor government will pay for GPs

The post The economic burden of ADHD appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Here comes the bear doves, via The AFR: Tim Toohey was the local chief economist at Goldman Sachs for more than a decade. Now at major money manager Yarra Capital, Toohey said he expected five quarter-point rate cuts, to 2.6%, by August next year. Toohey said he had two reasons for this unorthodox position. First,

The post Toohey: Interest rates to crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 12:14 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 12:08 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Victoria has become an economic leech on the nation. In 2024-25, Victoria received a massive $3.8 billion boost in its GST, whereas Queensland lost $384 million and NSW lost $188 million. Victoria also received $411 million in additional grants from the Commonwealth in 2024-25. For 2025–2026, Victoria’s GST allocation was increased again by $3.7 billion,

The post Victoria is a giant economic sinkhole appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 11:49 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 11:30 Source

According to Robert Gottliebsen, the architect of Australia’s compulsory superannuation system, former prime minister and treasurer Paul Keating, is said to be furious about current Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ plans to tax unrealised gains within superannuation for balances above $3 million. Back in the early 1990s, Keating and union leader Bill Kelty joined forces to implement

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Deloitte Access Economics has released its Quarterly Employment Forecasts Report, which paints the picture of a job market propped up by record government spending. Deloitte notes that almost 390,000 Australians found jobs in the past year, with around two-thirds being full-time, “highlighting the labour market’s resilience”. However, “the overall strength of the labour market has

The post Australia’s boom in unproductive jobs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Chinese steel futures buckled yesterday, both long and flat. It doesn’t make a lot of sense to let this happened when you have already mooted the solution of passing the price weakness upstream to iron ore via steel output put cuts. Chinese growth prospects are hardly shotting the lights out, either. Morgan Stanley. Milder growth

The post Steel buckles, iron ore next appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 10:00 Source

I keep arguing that Australia’s transition to renewable energy will be incredibly expensive and drive up power bills. The reasons are straightforward. Renewable energy sources depend on weather conditions, which makes them intermittent and results in low load factors. As a result, renewables require backup hydrocarbon generation and loads of storage. They also need a lot

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 09:50 Source
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The Tally Room Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The vote count is now getting to a point where pretty much all primary votes have been counted, even if we don’t have all of the preference counts yet. So that means we can now begin to analyse the informal voting trends – where it went up or down, and what some of the causes could be.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 09:30 Source

It is clear that the world wants to sell DXY. The problem is, there’s nothing else to buy. EUR might be it but its on the end of a tariff bashing. AUD follows EUR. Lead boots are growing wings. Gold, gold, gold! Metals picking up some DXY tailwind. Not miners. EM meh. Junk meh. Yields

The post Australian dollar an absolute mess appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 09:00 Source

With Wall Street closed for the long weekend, most risk markets reacted positively to the 180 degree spinning top EU tariffs by the Trump regime, with European shares taking back their Friday night losses. Meanwhile the broader selloff in USD continued Pound Sterling making a new yearly high while Euro, Loonie and Yen all consolidated

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The latest data from the Department of Home Affairs shows a record 2,541,651 temporary visas on issue in Australia (excluding tourists) in Q1 2025. This figure was almost 120,000 more than the previous year and approximately 580,000 higher than Q1 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic. Since Q1 2019, the increase in temporary visas has been

The post Australia inundated with bogus asylum seeker claims appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, May 27, 2025 - 00:10 Source

The NSW and Victorian governments are pushing hard to liberalise planning and encourage the rapid construction of high-rise towers within inner and middle-ring suburbs. Last year, the NSW Productivity and Equality Commission recommended bigger towers, smaller apartments, less storage and natural light, smaller balconies, and fewer parking places as solutions to the state’s housing crisis.

The post Australia’s slum city future appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 26, 2025 - 19:27 Source
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The Tally Room Monday, May 26, 2025 - 16:38 Source

Monday 4:38pm – As everyone had called, the Liberal Party has lost their third seat in South Australia’s to Labor’s Charlotte Walker. That is a 4-2 split. It’s worth remembering that traditionally these 4-2 splits are rare. Prior to 2025, Labor had gained two 4-2 splits (with the Democrats the fourth “left” senator) in NSW in 1990 and 1998, two in Tasmania in 2007 and 2010, and one in Western Australia in 2022.

South Australia was the most certain for 2025, but 4-2 splits also remain possible in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia, with the possibility of a 4-1-1 split in Tasmania also possible.

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MacroBusiness Monday, May 26, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia were mixed to start with on the Trump regime EU tariff bomb from the weekend gap but then the inevitable 180 spin got stocks at least somewhat back on track while currency markets continue to selloff the USD, believing the facts behind the demented spin. The Australian dollar is now at

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, May 26, 2025 - 15:12 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, May 26, 2025 - 15:08 Source
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