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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 12:30 Source

Earlier this month, Tony Webber from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries warned of a clear consumer shift from battery electric vehicles (EVs) toward hybrids. “The Australian experience with EVs is similar to many major markets overseas such as Europe, New Zealand and the USA”. “Car makers are responding to regulatory settings that mandate an

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 12:00 Source

In 2013, Labor Resources Minister Gary Gray made the fateful decision to allow the Gladstone liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals to be built without the requirement to reserve gas for domestic users: “Let me say very clearly, a reservation policy could not lead to lower gas prices or more gas,” Gray said. “Calls for intervention

The post Decade of gas idiocy ends in disaster appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 11:51 Source

Today isn’t the last working day of the year for me. I have a commission I want to wrap up before NYE and I’m this close to finishing it. But not close enough. So I’ll be chipping away at that after Boxing Day.

I hope everyone else is winding down for the year. It’s been, well… a year. Another one coming right at us. 2024 finished badly, with the news about Andrew Reilly. My heart breaks for his friends and family.

Best wishes to everyone. Look out for yourselves. I’ll see you on the other side.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 11:33 Source

Australia and New Zealand are experiencing protracted recessions. However, New Zealand’s recession is far deeper than Australia’s, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro. New Zealand’s unemployment rate is also significantly higher than Australia’s. The differing outcomes between the two nations are explained by the exceptional growth in the non-market (government-funded) sector in

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 11:00 Source

By Stephen Saunders Last Friday, Treasurer Jim Chalmers quietly let slip Australia’s fifth Population statement, in which he and the Treasury constitute public enemy No. 1.  Treasury’s Intergenerational Report is Coalition chicanery, warmly embraced by Labor. As is Treasury’s Centre for Population and its Statement. This fifth edition offers nearly 100 pages of pseudo-science and

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 10:30 Source

The past several years have seen Australia’s rental market plunge into crisis following the importation of nearly one million net overseas migrants in only two years. This deluge of migrants hit a supply-constrained market, worsening the housing shortage. The impact on the rental market has been brutal. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean

The post Australia’s rental crisis rolls into 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese indicated in January 2022—four months before the federal election—that his government would run a lower immigration policy if elected: In The Australian, Albanese wrote that Australia had relied too long on temporary migrant workers rather than training locals, suggesting Labor would not follow the approach of former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s

The post High immigration is a political killer appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 09:00 Source

The final trading week is still looking a lot like Christmas with Wall Street continuing its Friday night bounceback on Friday while European stocks slid back as markets start to quieten down over the Xmas break. The latest US consumer confidence figures weren’t impressive but King Dollar fought back against the relatively mild fightback from

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 08:00 Source

I have frequently maintained that the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported $48 billion in education exports are inflated and vastly overstates the benefits of international students to the Australian economy. The ABS obtains this impressive export figure using “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of total expenditure

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 07:24 Source

Peter Dutton’s nuclear energy announcement has been totally nuked, so to speak, but Michael Pascoe argues it is nonetheless working just fine.

If a major Australian political party has had a core policy more quickly and comprehensively debunked, destroyed and generally defenestrated than the LNP’s nuclear power play, I can’t remember it. But that’s irrelevant to Peter Dutton and Atomic Ted O’Brien.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 05:47 Source

Why do American Christian evangelists support Israel’s genocide in Gaza?

At this time of year many Christians express ‘tidings of comfort and joy’ toward their friends, family and even complete strangers. Good for them. No doubt it’s just what we need in these increasingly troubled times.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 05:26 Source

Only a few years ago, most of Western Europe seemed like a fortress of stability in international politics. With robust economies, solid social systems, and the grand edifice of “European integration,” it gave an impression of permanence, impervious even to major geopolitical upheavals. Now, however, it has become an inexhaustible source of peculiar headlines and confusion.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 05:25 Source

"Under the Trump administration, it will be the official policy of the United States government that there are only two genders — male and female. Doesn't sound too complicated, does it?" Trump said, speaking at the Turning Point Action conference in Arizona.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 24, 2024 - 00:05 Source

Recall that the Orwellian Centre for Population has projected that Australia’s population would balloon by 4.1 million residents over the next 10 years—most of whom will live in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Perth. This population expansion will see Sydney’s and Melbourne’s populations swell to around 6.5 million. Brisbane (3.3 million) and Perth (2.9 million) will

The post Australian home builders crippled by costs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, December 23, 2024 - 19:13 Source

PEACE FROM ALL AT YOURDEMOCRACY.NET 

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, December 23, 2024 - 16:56 Source

I heard this morning that Andrew Reilly has died. He was only here a couple of days ago, making me smile with his usual deft wit.

Some of you knew Andrew better than I did, and some not at all apart from his comments here and at the Boob.

Either way, he is a great loss to us all.

But mostly of course to those who knew and loved him best.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 16:00 Source

Asian stock markets are having solid sessions going into the Xmas break with local stocks finally seeing a solid bid as speculation around more Chinese stimulus measures grows. The USD is firming up again after pulling back on Friday night on the slightly cooler than expected PCE inflation but Euro is holding above the 1.04

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, December 23, 2024 - 15:59 Source

Plan International Australia Media Release December 26 marks 20 years since the Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami, which claimed the lives of 230,000 people and [...]

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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, December 23, 2024 - 14:53 Source

He looked like a young, freshly sprouting Henry Kissinger, before complicity in war crimes coarsened him, and plagiarism became commonplace in allegedly relevant academic texts.The [...]

The post Concentrated Markets and Iceless Fokkers appeared first on The AIM Network.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, December 23, 2024 - 14:25 Source

Oxfam Australia Media Release Barefoot children forced to search through rubbish for food scraps across Gaza. Of the meagre 34 trucks of food and water [...]

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 12:30 Source

Sydney and Melbourne dwelling values have ended 2025 deep in the red, dragging down prices nationally. The following chart illustrates that CoreLogic’s daily dwelling values index has recorded declines of 0.6% across Sydney and Melbourne over the past 28 days, pulling values at the 5-city aggregate level down by 0.2%. The value decline matches the

The post Aussie house prices fall into 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, December 23, 2024 - 12:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Australia is experiencing its longest-running per capita recession on record at seven consecutive quarters. This hasn’t stopped Treasurer Jim Chalmers from boasting that record public spending has saved the nation from recession. “It’s pretty clear that if we had taken a lot of the free advice we’ve been getting over the last 12 to 18

The post Jim Chalmers takes credit for avoiding recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, December 23, 2024 - 11:58 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 11:30 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) Q3 national accounts revealed that real consumer spending had stalled despite households receiving Stage 3 personal income tax cuts. The result suggested that households had saved rather than spent the tax cuts, as evidenced by the increase in the savings rate. Higher frequency data on household spending showed that

The post Aussie savings swell as tax cuts banked appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Australia’s baby boomers have easily the highest rate of home ownership, which stands at around 80%. Most baby boomers also own their homes outright. For younger Australians, who have seen their homeownership rates collapse, the situation is completely different. Those that do enter the housing market have been left paying jumbo-sized mortgages as they forever

The post Baby boomers want house prices to rise appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Monday, December 23, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Under some circumstances, if you throw a D8 and then a D12 at an enemy, thanks to the D8's greater pointiness you actually have to roll a D12 and D8 respectively to determine damage.

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Your Democracy Monday, December 23, 2024 - 10:42 Source

CHRISTMAS COMES ONCE A YEAR AND IS A WESTERN WORLD INVENTION DATING BACK UPTO 1700 YEARS... THE BIRTH OF CHRIST AND ITS RELIGIOUS DERIVATIVE BEYOND EASTER WAS A FALLACY DESIGNED TO MAKE SURE PEOPLE BELIEVED AND "FOLLOWED THE RULES"... WE (GUS AND HIS DEVILS) HAVE ALREADY EXPLAINED ON THIS SITE, HOW THE TEXT OF CHRISTIANITY WERE INVENTED BACK THEN TO SUIT A POLITICAL CLIMATE. 

 

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 10:30 Source

Last week’s Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO) has downgraded forecast spirit excise collections by $1.7 billion over the four years to 2027-28 when compared to the May budget, while tobacco excise estimates were downgraded by $10.7 billion: “Total excise and customs duty receipts have been revised down by $3.3 billion in 2024–25 and $13.3

The post This budget hole must be plugged appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 23, 2024 - 10:00 Source

Below are CBA’s and Westpac’s November CPI Previews. Both are predicting a trimmed mean inflation to undershoot the RBA’s expectations. Westpac: Westpac’s near-cast for the November Monthly CPI Indicator is 0.4% in the month to be up 2.2% in the year. Post the November Monthly CPI Indicator, not only will we have two thirds of

The post Inflation to undershoot RBA forecasts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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