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Renew Economy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 08:34 Source
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Your Democracy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:25 Source

AS THE INTERCEPT, LIKE MOST LEGACY MEDIA, FOAMS AT THE MOUTH AT THE ELECTION OF A "lawless authoritarian AND AN adjudicated rapist" FOR PRESIDENT OF THE USA (AKA OF "THE FREE WORLD" — A EUPHEMISM FOR DECEITFUL COLONIALISM OF THE WEST [AND OF THE PLANET] BY EMPIRE AMERICA), WE CAN'T ANALYSE A MILLION VIEWS BY A MILLION ANALYSTS AS TO WHAT WENT WRONG FOR SOME, ESPECIALLY SHRIEKING WOMEN OF THE LEFT, AND WHAT WENT GOOD FOR OTHERS — INCLUDING SHRIEKING MAGA WOMEN.....

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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:06 Source

I did surprisingly well yesterday in not following the news. Honestly, it turned out to be easier than I expected once I had a sense of what was actually happening. I’m not sure I’ll be following the news for the next couple of weeks—maybe even the next four years.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 07:00 Source

The key macroeconomic data for Australia shows that this century’s immigration boom has been deleterious to the nation’s productivity and living standards. The following chart plots Australia’s long-run trend per capita GDP growth against labour productivity (GDP per hour worked) and the immigration rate (net overseas migration as a share of the population). Clearly, productivity

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 06:44 Source

DXY whoa! AUD was hammered but bounced into Chinese stimmies: North Asia is now a race to the bottom: Oil and gold are stranded. The latter has a long history of up the escalaor and down the lift: Dirt hosed: Miners too: And EM: Junk is not out of the woods: As yields price out

The post Australian dollar crushed by American boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 05:40 Source

Donald Trump has been declared the winner of the 2024 presidential race, prompting a meltdown in the Kamala Harris camp and the US corporate media – who are struggling to understand what went wrong.

Wall Street analyst Charles Ortel gives the top three reasons behind Trump's victory:

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The Australian Independent Media Network Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 01:05 Source

I do love my morning beach walks. Between 6 and 7, ride the bike down to the beach, greet the various regulars down there, James collecting bits of glass washed up overnight among the shells, Rob and Luke, taking the dogs for a run, Janet likes a swim before heading off to work. The wildlife…

The post How Bad (or Good) is it Today? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Club Troppo Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 00:11 Source

If scientific fraud represents five per cent of scientific papers, we might well expect that we have a great deal of philosophic fraud as well. But in philosophy, how can we detect the fraudsters?

 

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MacroBusiness Thursday, November 7, 2024 - 00:10 Source

The war of words between the Albanese government and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) over inflation and interest rates is heating up. Following last week’s decline in headline CPI, Treasurer Jim Chalmers celebrated that inflation was now within the RBA’s target range. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told a business dinner on Wednesday that inflation

The post RBA blames government for inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 23:44 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 20:54 Source

There is something rather like irony for both parties in this omnishambles US election: whichever one loses, it will be all their own fault. Michael Pascoe.

If the Republicans had chosen Nikki Haley instead of Trump, the election would be as good as over. She would have creamed it, tapping into voter dissatisfaction without stirring voter fear. 

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Your Democracy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 18:49 Source

Former president Donald Trump has taken to the stage in Florida to claim victory in the US election.

It is expected that he has secured enough votes to win the electoral college, with JD Vance as his vice president. 

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 16:30 Source

Asian stock markets have seen a big boost across the region as the US election results come in with a Trump win most likely, giving USD a big boost alongside other risk markets. Euro reversed course alongside Yen while Australian dollar has been slammed back below the 65 cent level. Oil futures are being pushed

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Club Troppo Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 15:29 Source

As the US presidential election count continues, it becomes increasingly likely that Donald Trump will win. It appears that the majority of Americans believe that Trump is more trustworthy than Kamala Harris on economic issues, and they say that the economy is their principal concern.

The irony in this belief is that it is the opposite of the real situation, at least if we assume that Trump will carry out the promises that he has made.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 15:04 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 14:56 Source

By Daniel Raynolds A fierce debate has been ongoing within the international community both in favour and against the UN Chief’s attendance at the BRICS summit in Russia.* Critics, like political scientist Professor Alexander J. Motyl, argue that the UN Secretary-General’s cordial engagement with Vladimir Putin compromises the moral authority of the UN, and the…

The post To Putin or not to Putin appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 14:37 Source

Elon Musk, the world's richest man, is to spend election night with Donald Trump in Florida at his Mar-a-Lago resort, he said on X/Twitter. 

Mr Musk, the owner of Tesla and X, has been aggressively campaigning for the Republican candidate in swing states across the country.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 14:21 Source

Morgan Stanley with the note. Gauging Potential Economic Implications of Higher Tariffs Although future trade policy is heavily debated heading into the US election, our Global Economics team believes the market may still be underappreciating the degree to which higher tariffs, if implemented, could affect the US economy. They estimate that if 60% tariffs on

The post Implications of American tariffs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 13:53 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 13:48 Source

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 13:44 Source

Markets are breaking for Trump with AUD and bonds down hard. The deciding factor in the election at this point is the unexpected flip of Virginia. Harris is doing well in the blue wall but without Virginia she will need to flip another state, unexpectedly, to win. El Trumpo 2.0 looms!

The post Markets break for Trump appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Charlie McElligott at Nomura on a post-election melt-up. Equities are resilient after last week’s mini-wobble and with “Vol leak” pressures building, while USTs are rallying significantly alongside US Dollar being hit lower….as “Harris (Gridlock)” is trending ‘hard’ in final polling, reversing some of that past month’s-worth of “Trump (Red Sweep)” hedging –premium, which is seeing

The post Post-election melt-up? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Former Home Affairs Minister Claire O’Neil lamented last year that Australia’s migration system encouraged too many temporary residents, creating “huge problems” and holding the country back. “Today, really for the first time in our modern history, our uncapped, unplanned temporary program is the centrepiece and driver of our migration system. This simple fact is the

The post Why Labor cannot be trusted on immigration appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 12:30 Source

The Guardian’s Benita Kolovos penned a propaganda piece entitled “Downsizing the Australian dream: why families are trading houses with back yards for apartments”, putting a positive spin on forcing Australian families to live in high-rise apartments. The article profiled a family of four living in a two-bedroom, two-bathroom apartment in the inner Melbourne suburb of

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Ross Gittins needs to do some fact-checking: For several years, we had prices rising at a rate that was actually lower than the Reserve Bank and economists regarded as healthy: less than 2 per cent a year. But then, in the months before the federal election in May 2022, at which Scott Morrison and crew

The post Albo made Australian inflation much worse appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 11:30 Source

ABC political reporter Keane Bourke acknowledges that “Australia doesn’t have enough houses”. Bourke also believes that there is “a hidden capacity in the market which, in theory, could help solve that problem”, namely an abundance of homes with spare bedrooms. According to Bourke, Australia would have capacity “for about five million extra people” if these

The post Migrantocracy invites itself into your bedroom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 11:17 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 11:13 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Australia’s governments want to ‘solve’ the housing crisis by pushing Australians into high-rise apartments. However, high-rise apartment approvals have collapsed, as illustrated in the following chart: Since peaking between 2015 and 2017, high-rise approvals have fallen by the following amounts across the major markets: NSW: down 74% from the September 2016 peak. VIC: down 68%

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 6, 2024 - 10:30 Source

So far, sales of new property have not been better than prior stimulus bursts: Sell-side sentiment is not better, either. The demand side is a bit better. The bounce in new home search measures is barely perceptible and over. There has been some improvement in inventory as completions fall away. There is nothing here for

The post Chinese property bounces along the bottom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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